Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
At the Son Moix Stadium this Saturday, two struggling sides, Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao, will be facing off. Hosts Mallorca are worse off, starting this round in 17th spot, while Bilbao are eighth. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Mallorca’s season has been rocked by poor results but more by fan protests. They sit just one point above the relegation zone following identical 2-1 losses against Girona and Rayo Vallecano to start their 2026.
These results have left them winless in the last four outings, and they’ve managed just three wins across the last 10 matches. Some positivity will come from the fact that in Mallorca’s four league wins, three were at home.
Athletic Bilbao haven't lost to Mallorca in any of the teams’ last eight meetings but has only won twice in the process. In the reverse fixture, back in October, they claimed three points in a 2-1 win.
The most popular result between these two in recent meetings has been a draw. They shared spoils five times in their last seven meetings.
Ahead of this encounter, Bilbao sneaked through in the Copa Del Rey via penalties after a 3-3 draw with Cultural Leonesa. The shakiness was still witnessed as it was in the 5-0 loss to Barcelona earlier in the Super Cup.
In the last five league games, they lost three.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Mallorca v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.2 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.03 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.7 | 3 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Mallorca or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.71% for a win of Mallorca against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.86 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao is 30.47% with odds of 3.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca with odds of 2.27 at 888Starz.
Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mallorca Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 37.81% | 2.27 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 58.01% | 2.23 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 16.99% | 5 at Bet365 |
Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
24 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -9 |
|
15
|
21 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -6 |
Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2024 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
3 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
Mallorca against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Bergstrom
I. Cuellar
DefenderD. Lopez
A. Raillo
J. Mojica
A. Sanchez
P. Torre
I. Salhi
ForwardJ. Llabres
J. Kalumba
Abdon
T. Asano
A. Padilla
DefenderI. Monreal
A. Boiro
I. Lekue
A. Gorosabel
O. Sancet
A. Rego Mora
S. Sanchez Camilo
ForwardR. Navarro
U. Iruretagoiena Lertxundi
I. Williams
Missing players
P. Maffeo
MidfielderM. Morlanes
A. Laporte
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderM. Vesga
B. Prados
ForwardN. Serrano
M. Sannadi
Most goals and assists
Mallorca
Athletic Bilbao
V. Muriqi
(14 Goals)
N. Williams
(4 Goals)
J. Mojica
(3 Assists)
N. Williams
(3 Assists)
Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao lost three of their last five league matches.
- Six of the last eight matches between these two ended in draws.
- At home in La Liga, Mallorca only lost once in their last eight games.
- When hosting this match, Mallorca won once, with four ending in draws.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
Our Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Six of the last eight meetings between these sides ended in draws, but coming into this one, Mallorca can afford some positivity. They haven't been so poor at home, getting the most of their points there as compared to their travels.
This coincides with Athletic Bilbao struggling in their recent league games. The visitors are winless in four of their last five league matches, losing three times in the process. In reality, this match could go either way, but our prediction for Mallorca v Athletic Bilbao is a double chance: Mallorca or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mallorca Athletic Bilbao
| Mallorca vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca wins | 3.62 | 3.86 | +6.6% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.2 | -1.5% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.32 | 2.27 | -2.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.1% and is now 44.1% (0.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Mallorca vs. Athletic Bilbao game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Mallorca and Athletic Bilbao when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
