Lyon vs Monaco Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lyon
22/03/2026 10:00
Monaco

Prediction :

 

Monaco wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Lyon will be looking to bounce back when they resume domestic action, with a home game against Monaco in Ligue 1. Sixth-placed Monaco will be favorites to bag three points here as they visit their fourth-placed opponents. Between the two is a four-point buffer, and below we have a prediction.

Lyon are on a freefall. The team that recently posted 13 straight wins across all competitions has failed to win any of their last seven. The latest of them saw their elimination from the Europa League at the hands of Celta Vigo.

Les Gones lost 2-0 at home, crashing out of a second competition in two weeks. They now trail third place by two points and will be hoping to avoid dropping more points. 

Monaco would not have wished for a better time to take on Lyon. Les Monegasques were eliminated from Europe earlier and thus had a whole week to prepare.

They are likely to make that count, as they will also be seeking to avenge their 3-1 loss in the reverse match. Monaco’s last visit here resulted in a 2-0 win.

That, and their current run of five straight wins in the league, should offer the needed motivation. The visitors powered their push for the top three with a 2-0 home win against Brest last time out. They’ve now scored 2+ in seven straight games.

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Lyon v Monaco Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.8 3.6 2.55
Melbet
2.63 3.5 2.58
Betwinner
2.84 3.54 2.39
Bet365
2.63 3.5 2.55
Roobet
2.72 3.45 2.44
Check all Lyon vs Monaco odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Monaco?

Our prediction for the Lyon vs Monaco match is: Monaco wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between Lyon and Monaco in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.42% for a win of Lyon against Monaco with odds of 2.96 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Monaco is 33.75% with odds of 3.7 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Monaco vs Lyon with odds of 2.6 at Betway.

Lyon - Monaco Prediction and Best Odds:

Lyon Monaco Prediction Probability Odds
Lyon wins 34.42% 2.96 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 55.27% 2.22 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score: No 51.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon 15.88% 7 at LSbet

Lyon vs Monaco Form

Lyon and Monaco's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Lyon
60 34 18 6 10 +13
7 Monaco
54 34 16 6 12 +6

Lyon and Monaco Last Matches

Lyon
Lyon Last matches
L D D D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Lyon
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Lyon

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Lyon

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Paris FC

5 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lyon
2 :  2
Lens

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  2
Lyon
W W W D D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

19 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Lyon
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Paris FC

5 Mar 2026 - French Cup

Lyon
2 :  2
Lens

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  0
Nice

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lyon
2 :  0
Laval

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  0
Lille
W W L L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Lyon

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Lyon

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  2
Lyon

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
3 :  1
Lyon

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  1
Lyon

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  5
Lyon
Monaco
Monaco Last matches
L W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Brest

6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Monaco

28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Angers

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  2
Monaco

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  3
Monaco

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
PSG
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Brest

28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Angers

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Monaco
2 :  3
PSG

13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  1
Nantes

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
4 :  0
Rennes

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Monaco
0 :  0
Juventus
D L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  3
Monaco

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

PSG
2 :  2
Monaco

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  3
Monaco

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Monaco

5 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Strasbourg
3 :  1
Monaco

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  0
Monaco

Lyon vs Monaco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lyon

67 %

Draw

0 %

Monaco

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  3
Lyon

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Lyon

24 Aug 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
0 :  2
Monaco

28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  2
Monaco

15 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Monaco
0 :  1
Lyon

19 May 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  1
Monaco
Lyon vs Monaco Prediction

Lyon against Monaco Lineups: Starting 11

Lyon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
D. Greif
33
H. Hateboer
22
C. Mata
19
M. Niakhate
3
N. Tagliafico
5
O. Mangala
44
K. Merah
9
Endrick
8
C. Tolisso
17
A. Moreira
10
P. Sulc
9
F. Balogun
10
A. Golovin
11
M. Akliouche
24
S. Adingra
23
A. Bamba
15
L. Camara
4
J. Teze
25
W. Faes
6
D. Zakaria
5
T. Kehrer
1
L. Hradecky

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Monaco

Substitutes

Lyon
Lyon
Goalkeeper

R. Descamps

Defender

S. Kango

H. Hateboer 85'

Abner

Midfielder

A. Karabec

T. Tessmann

O. Mangala 85'

N. Nartey

K. Merah 68'

M. De Carvalho

R. Ghezzal

Forward

M. Fofana

A. Moreira 85'

Monaco
Monaco
Goalkeeper

P. Kohn

Defender

K. Diatta

M. Akliouche 85'

C. Mawissa

S. Adingra 74'

K. Ouattara

E. Dier

Midfielder

S. Idumbo-Muzambo

M. Coulibaly

A. Bamba 46'

Forward

A. Fati

A. Golovin 63'

M. Biereth

F. Balogun 85'

Missing players

Lyon
Lyon
Defender

R. Kluivert

N. Kamara

Midfielder

A. Maitland-Niles

T. Morton

Forward

E. Nuamah

R. Himbert

Monaco
Monaco
Defender

M. Salisu

Vanderson

Midfielder

P. Pogba

T. Minamino

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lyon
CD Huachipato Monaco
Top Goalscorer
France C. Tolisso (11 Goals)
Czech Republic P. Sulc (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA F. Balogun (13 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal A. Moreira (7 Assists)
Brazil Endrick (7 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Akliouche (6 Assists)

Lyon - Monaco Key Points

  1. Monaco won on their last visit to Lyon.
  2. Lyon are coming off a home loss in their last outing.
  3. Lyon are winless in their last seven games, losing three.
  4. In their last five Ligue 1 matches, Monaco posted straight wins.
  5. In their last 10 matches across all competitions, Monaco only lost twice.
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Our Lyon vs Monaco Prediction

Lyon’s bubble was burst after a run of 13 straight wins, and they can’t seem to piece things together anymore. Les Gones are on a seven-match winless streak, and in the process, they’ve been dumped out of two cup competitions.

They are coming off a difficult outing in Europe to meet a well-rested Monaco side. Their visitors are not only fresher but also in fine form, having won five straight Ligue 1 matches. Monaco also won their last away match against Lyon. Our prediction for Lyon v Monaco is that Monaco wins.

Prediction :

 

Monaco wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Monaco

Lyon vs Monaco Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lyon wins 2.5 2.96 +18.4%
Draw 3.74 3.7 -1.1%
Monaco wins 2.88 2.6 -9.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lyon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 18.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 33.8% (-6.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.