Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
ATP - ATP Australian Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
We'll definitely have an Italian player in the quarter-finals of the Australian Open. Second seed Jannik Sinner faces the 22nd-seeded Luciano Darderi. The winner will face either eighth-seeded Ben Shelton or 12th seed Casper Ruud next. Time for our match prediction.
Jannik Sinner is attempting to win this outdoor hard court Grand Slam for the third year in a row.
The 24-year-old won his first two matches in this tournament in straight sets with wins over Hugo Gaston and James Duckworth. Then he lost the first set to Eliot Spizzirri before normal service was resumed and Sinner won the next three.
This is his first ever match against his opponent.
Luciano Darderi is in the fourth round of a Grand Slam for the first time in his career. Three previous visits to Melbourne saw him lose twice in the qualifying rounds and then lose in round one last year.
The 23-year-old Italian is trying to reach his second quarter-final of the year, following a last eight appearance in Auckland. Wins in this Grand Slam have come against Cristian Garin, Sebastian Baez and 15th seed Karen Khachanov, the last two both taking four sets.
We tip more than 8.5 games to be played in the first set of this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Luciano Darderi v Jannik Sinner Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 1.01 |
|
|
16 | 1.01 |
|
|
23 | 1.01 |
|
|
11 | 1 |
|
|
12 | 1 |
|
Who will win the Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner match is: more than 8.5 games in the first set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner game on 26/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Luciano Darderi has a 12.52% chance to win against Jannik Sinner according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 23.
- Jannik Sinner has a 87.48% probability of winning facing Luciano Darderi ⭐ with odds of 1.02 at Tonybet.
Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luciano Darderi has a 12.52 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Luciano Darderi | 12.52 % |
| Jannik Sinner | 87.48 % |
Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner Form
Luciano Darderi and Jannik Sinner Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
22 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
15 Nov 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
14 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
12 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
Luciano Darderi - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- All three of Darderi's matches in this tournament have seen more than 8.5 games played in set one.
- Sinner has played more than 8.5 games in the first set in 13 of his last 16 matches.
- 11 of Sinner's last 14 matches in the Australian Open have seen at least nine games played in the first set.
- More than 8.5 games have been played in 11 of Darderi's last 14 matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Luciano Darderi vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
Jannik Sinner rarely loses but he's not always the fastest of starters. That was the case in the last round of this Grand Slam as the defending champion lost the first set against unseeded Eliot Spizziri.
Luciano Darderi is enjoying his best ever run in a Grand Slam and is up to a career-high 23rd in the live rankings. Now he has a first ever match against Jannik Sinner. Our Luciano Darderi v Jannik Sinner prediction is more than 8.5 games in the first set.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
