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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Luca Nardi and Alex De Minaur are set to square off at the Rome Masters. They clash in the second round, with the winner to meet Thiago Seyboth Wild or Felix Auger-Aliasimme. Read on for our prediction of the match.
De Minaur has 24 wins already this season. The Australian has graced the Monte Carlo semis, Barcelona quarters, and fourth round in Madrid over the past few weeks.
With a 7-3 run on clay, he is already having a strong campaign and will feel some silverware is due. He got to the fourth round in Rome last year and should target going deeper.
This is Luca Nardi’s fourth appearance at the Rome Masters. He has never progressed past the second round, so this is his opportunity.
He will have to be at his clinical best, though, to grab the chance, as De Minaur is a top player on clay. It also paints a grim picture that in Nardi’s season, he won only once in the second round at the tour level.
Ahead of this encounter, Nardi’s major undoing is his inconsistency. He has managed just four wins in the last 12 outings. His undeniable tenacity was on display in the first round as he beat Flavio Cobolli in the first round here, in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luca Nardi v Alex De Minaur Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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8 | 1.08 |
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6.5 | 1.1 |
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6.5 | 1.08 |
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7 | 1.08 |
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6.85 | 1.1 |
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Who will win the Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur match is: De Minaur to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur game on 10/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Luca Nardi has a 24.11% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 8.4.
- Alex De Minaur has a 75.89% probability of winning facing Luca Nardi ⭐ with odds of 1.1 at Ladbrokes.
Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luca Nardi has a 24.11 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Luca Nardi | 24.11 % |
Alex De Minaur | 75.89 % |
Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Form
Luca Nardi and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
2 May 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles
1 May 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles
22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur’s last six wins were in straight sets.
- Eight of Nardi’s last nine defeats were in straight sets.
- Nardi is on a run of eight losses in his last 12 matches.
- De Minaur has suffered just five losses in his last 15 matches.
- De Minaur’s 10 clay matches this season have yielded seven wins.
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Our Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex De Minaur has managed to stay in the top 10 without winning many titles. The secret is his consistency. Here he meets a player who has lacked that quality, and De Minaur is expected to dominate.
Nardi has a 4-4 record on clay, and to get it to a winning run at the Rome Masters, he has to give extra. His record at this event isn’t really fruitful, and this is likely another year of lows in Rome. Our prediction for Luca Nardi v Alex De Minaur is for De Minaur to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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