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Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 95 Italy
Luca Nardi
10/05/2025 12:10
ATP 8 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction :

 

De Minaur to win in straight sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions

Luca Nardi and Alex De Minaur are set to square off at the Rome Masters. They clash in the second round, with the winner to meet Thiago Seyboth Wild or Felix Auger-Aliasimme. Read on for our prediction of the match.

De Minaur has 24 wins already this season. The Australian has graced the Monte Carlo semis, Barcelona quarters, and fourth round in Madrid over the past few weeks.

With a 7-3 run on clay, he is already having a strong campaign and will feel some silverware is due. He got to the fourth round in Rome last year and should target going deeper.

This is Luca Nardi’s fourth appearance at the Rome Masters. He has never progressed past the second round, so this is his opportunity.

He will have to be at his clinical best, though, to grab the chance, as De Minaur is a top player on clay. It also paints a grim picture that in Nardi’s season, he won only once in the second round at the tour level.

Ahead of this encounter, Nardi’s major undoing is his inconsistency. He has managed just four wins in the last 12 outings. His undeniable tenacity was on display in the first round as he beat Flavio Cobolli in the first round here, in straight sets.

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The Best Betting Odds for Luca Nardi v Alex De Minaur Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
8 1.08
Ladbrokes
6.5 1.1
Vbet
6.5 1.08
NetBet
7 1.08
1xbet
6.85 1.1
Check all Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur odds
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Who will win the Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur match is: De Minaur to win in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur game on 10/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:

  • Luca Nardi has a 24.11% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 8.4.
  • Alex De Minaur has a 75.89% probability of winning facing Luca Nardi ⭐ with odds of 1.1 at Ladbrokes.

Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luca Nardi has a 24.11 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Luca Nardi24.11 %
Alex De Minaur75.89 %

Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Form

Luca Nardi and Alex De Minaur Last Matches

Luca Nardi Last matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Luca Nardi
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

2 May 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Alex Michelsen

1 May 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles

Alexey Vatutin
0 :  2
Luca Nardi

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles

Luca Nardi
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Hugo Gaston
2 :  0
Luca Nardi

21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Manas Dhamne
0 :  2
Luca Nardi
Alex De Minaur Last matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Jacob Fearnley
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Compare Luca Nardi and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. De Minaur’s last six wins were in straight sets.
  2. Eight of Nardi’s last nine defeats were in straight sets.
  3. Nardi is on a run of eight losses in his last 12 matches.
  4. De Minaur has suffered just five losses in his last 15 matches.
  5. De Minaur’s 10 clay matches this season have yielded seven wins.
Up to $200 to bet on Luca Nardi - Alex De Minaur! 

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Our Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Alex De Minaur has managed to stay in the top 10 without winning many titles. The secret is his consistency. Here he meets a player who has lacked that quality, and De Minaur is expected to dominate.

Nardi has a 4-4 record on clay, and to get it to a winning run at the Rome Masters, he has to give extra. His record at this event isn’t really fruitful, and this is likely another year of lows in Rome. Our prediction for Luca Nardi v Alex De Minaur is for De Minaur to win in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

De Minaur to win in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Luca Nardi vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
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