Lorient vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup
France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in French Cup Predictions
Lorient will host an out-of-form Nice team in the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France. This will be the third meeting between the two this season after their two Ligue 1 battles. Let's have a look at the prediction for this match.
Lorient haven’t lost this season against Nice. They won the first meeting of the season 3-1, which was the last time Nice were in town and then drew the more recent showdown 3-3.
Olivier Pantaloni’s men have dominated their way to the last eight of the Cup. They have scored 12 goals in three matches and defeated Paris FC 2-0 at home in the last round. Les Merlus drew 2-2 with Auxerre over the weekend in Ligue 1.
Nice will be hoping a strong Cup run can inspire a season turnaround in the league. Les Aiglons sit in the wrong end of the Ligue 1 table, hovering above the drop zone with 10 games to play.
Claude Puel’s men arrive in Lorient having won just once in their last seven outings. They have lost three times in this stretch.
Nice, whose most recent win was a 3-2 victory over Montpellier in the previous round of the Cup, are coming off a 1-0 loss to Paris FC in the league.
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Lorient v Nice Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.21 | 3.5 | 3.35 |
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|
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2.03 | 3.38 | 3.58 |
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|
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2.15 | 3.34 | 3.31 |
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|
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2.1 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
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|
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2.08 | 3.4 | 3.45 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Nice?
Our prediction for the Lorient vs Nice match is: Lorient wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2026 between Lorient and Nice in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.41% for a win of Lorient against Nice with odds of 2.21 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Nice is 31.56% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Lorient with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
Lorient - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lorient Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 52.41% | 2.21 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 58.95% | 2.01 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lorient/Lorient | 25.72% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
Lorient vs Nice Form
Lorient and Nice Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
Lorient vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
30 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Lorient against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
Y. Mvogo
DefenderN. Adjei
A. Faye
N. Cadiou
D. Karim
P. Katseris
S. Soumano
B. Mohamed
T. Aiyegun
M. Dupe
DefenderA. Bah
G. Bernardeau
S. Abdul Samed
T. Louchet
D. Coulibaly
ForwardKevin Carlos
M. Cho
T. Gouveia
Missing players
B. Leroy
DefenderS. Toure
MidfielderB. Fadiga
ForwardT. Sanusi
M. Abdelmonem
M. Bombito
MidfielderI. Jansson
Y. Ndayishimiye
ForwardS. Wahi
Lorient - Nice Key Points
- Lorient won when Nice were in town most recently.
- Lorient have won six times in their last nine outings.
- Nice haven’t won in six of their last seven games, losing three times.
- Only once in their last nine games have Lorient failed to score at least twice.
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Our Lorient vs Nice Prediction
Our prediction for Lorient v Nice is that Lorient wins. Lorient haven’t lost to Nice this season and had a strong display in Nice’s last visit to Stade de Moustoir. Another advantage for Lorient coming into this match is their contrasting form to that of Nice.
The hosts have been in splendid form, especially at home, where they haven’t lost any of their last 11 games. Nice, on the other hand, have found it hard to win games and have managed just one victory in their last seven outings. The visitors are also facing a team that has been in free-scoring mode in recent weeks.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Nice
| Lorient vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 2.17 | 2.21 | +1.8% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.55 | +1.4% |
| Nice wins | 3.2 | 3.7 | +15.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.1% and is now 45.2% (-0.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.