Lorient vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup

France - French Cup

Lorient
04/03/2026 14:30
Nice

Prediction :

 

Lorient wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in French Cup Predictions

Lorient will host an out-of-form Nice team in the quarter-finals of the Coupe de France. This will be the third meeting between the two this season after their two Ligue 1 battles. Let's have a look at the prediction for this match.

Lorient haven’t lost this season against Nice. They won the first meeting of the season 3-1, which was the last time Nice were in town and then drew the more recent showdown 3-3.

Olivier Pantaloni’s men have dominated their way to the last eight of the Cup. They have scored 12 goals in three matches and defeated Paris FC 2-0 at home in the last round. Les Merlus drew 2-2 with Auxerre over the weekend in Ligue 1.

Nice will be hoping a strong Cup run can inspire a season turnaround in the league. Les Aiglons sit in the wrong end of the Ligue 1 table, hovering above the drop zone with 10 games to play.

Claude Puel’s men arrive in Lorient having won just once in their last seven outings. They have lost three times in this stretch.

Nice, whose most recent win was a 3-2 victory over Montpellier in the previous round of the Cup, are coming off a 1-0 loss to Paris FC in the league.

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Lorient v Nice Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.21 3.5 3.35
Melbet
2.03 3.38 3.58
Betwinner
2.15 3.34 3.31
Bet365
2.1 3.3 3.4
Roobet
2.08 3.4 3.45
Check all Lorient vs Nice odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Nice?

Our prediction for the Lorient vs Nice match is: Lorient wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/03/2026 between Lorient and Nice in French Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.41% for a win of Lorient against Nice with odds of 2.21 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Nice is 31.56% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 16.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Lorient with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.

Lorient - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:

Lorient Nice Prediction Probability Odds
Lorient wins 52.41% 2.21 at Stake
Under 2.5 58.95% 2.01 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 53.75%
Half-time / Full-time : Lorient/Lorient 25.72% 3.4 at Bet365

Lorient vs Nice Form

Lorient and Nice Last Matches

Lorient
Lorient Last matches
W W L W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Auxerre

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  0
Angers

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Lorient

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Nantes
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  2
Auxerre

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  0
Angers

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Lorient
2 :  0
Paris FC

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
2 :  1
Nantes

4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Metz

7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  0
Lyon
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Lorient

24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  2
Lorient

16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  3
Lorient

10 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Hauts Lyonnais
1 :  3
Lorient

20 Dec 2025 - French Cup

AS Le Gosier
0 :  7
Lorient
Nice
Nice Last matches
D W D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  0
Nice

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  0
Nice

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Monaco

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Nice
3 :  2
Montpellier Hsc

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  2
Brest
D W D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Monaco

4 Feb 2026 - French Cup

Nice
3 :  2
Montpellier Hsc

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  2
Brest

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Nice
3 :  1
Go Ahead Eagles

3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Strasbourg
D L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  0
Nice

15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  0
Nice

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Ludogorets
1 :  0
Nice

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  4
Nice

17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
5 :  1
Nice

11 Jan 2026 - French Cup

Nantes
1 :  1
Nice

Lorient vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorient

17 %

Draw

50 %

Nice

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  3
Lorient

30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
3 :  1
Nice

19 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Nice
3 :  0
Lorient

20 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Nice

19 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  1
Lorient

30 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  2
Nice

Lorient against Nice Lineups: Starting 11

Lorient

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

21
B. Kamara
5
B. Meite
3
M. Talbi
44
D. Yongwa
11
T. Le Bris
62
A. Ebong
6
L. Abergel
43
A. Kouassi
17
J. Makengo
10
P. Pagis
12
B. Dieng
44
Z. Diallo
32
K. Boudache
22
T. Ndombele
26
M. Bard
8
M. Sanson
24
C. Vanhoutte
92
J. Clauss
4
Dante
33
A. Mendy
37
K. Oppong
80
Y. Diouf

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Nice

Substitutes

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

Y. Mvogo

Defender

N. Adjei

A. Faye

D. Yongwa 72'

Midfielder

N. Cadiou

L. Abergel 57'

D. Karim

J. Makengo 71'

P. Katseris

T. Le Bris 80'

Forward

S. Soumano

B. Dieng 80'

B. Mohamed

T. Aiyegun

Nice
Nice
Goalkeeper

M. Dupe

Defender

A. Bah

Dante 82'

Midfielder

G. Bernardeau

K. Boudache 82'

S. Abdul Samed

T. Louchet

K. Oppong 46'

D. Coulibaly

Forward

Kevin Carlos

T. Ndombele 56'

M. Cho

Z. Diallo 46'

T. Gouveia

Missing players

Lorient
Lorient
Goalkeeper

B. Leroy

Defender

S. Toure

Midfielder

B. Fadiga

Forward

T. Sanusi

Nice
Nice
Defender

M. Abdelmonem

M. Bombito

Midfielder

I. Jansson

Y. Ndayishimiye

Forward

S. Wahi

Lorient - Nice Key Points

  1. Lorient won when Nice were in town most recently.
  2. Lorient have won six times in their last nine outings.
  3. Nice haven’t won in six of their last seven games, losing three times.
  4. Only once in their last nine games have Lorient failed to score at least twice.
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Our Lorient vs Nice Prediction

Our prediction for Lorient v Nice is that Lorient wins. Lorient haven’t lost to Nice this season and had a strong display in Nice’s last visit to Stade de Moustoir. Another advantage for Lorient coming into this match is their contrasting form to that of Nice.

The hosts have been in splendid form, especially at home, where they haven’t lost any of their last 11 games. Nice, on the other hand, have found it hard to win games and have managed just one victory in their last seven outings. The visitors are also facing a team that has been in free-scoring mode in recent weeks.

Prediction :

 

Lorient wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Nice

Lorient vs Nice Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lorient wins 2.17 2.21 +1.8%
Draw 3.5 3.55 +1.4%
Nice wins 3.2 3.7 +15.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lorient is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 46.1% and is now 45.2% (-0.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorient vs Nice Prediction