Lille vs Strasbourg Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Strasbourg and Lille, two sides with differing fortunes, are set to face off in a battle for three points in Ligue 1 this Sunday. Lille plays host, going into this game placed fifth in Ligue 1, while Strasbourg are seventh. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Lille are going through really tough times. They recently got eliminated from the French Cup, and their placing in the Europa League isn’t really great ahead of the final league stage round of games.
Les Dogues are coming off a 2-1 defeat against 10-man Celta Vigo in the Europa League. That marked a fourth straight defeat for Lille, and two of those losses were in Ligue 1.
Strasbourg had a brief lull between November and December, which saw them drop out of European football places. They have since recovered and have also gotten used to Liam Rosenior’s exit.
With normalcy back at Le Racing, they will be gunning for three points here to close the gap on the top six. At the moment, they trail sixth-placed Rennes by four points, after posting their first Ligue 1 win of 2026 last time out.
That was a 2-1 victory against bottom-placed Metz. Before that they had last registered a league win in November, losing three while drawing twice in between. Across all competitions, though, Strasbourg are unbeaten in seven, with five wins.
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Lille v Strasbourg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.35 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.2 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.22 | 2.92 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Strasbourg?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Strasbourg match is: Strasbourg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2026 between Lille and Strasbourg in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.82% for a win of Lille against Strasbourg with odds of 2.58 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Strasbourg is 12.85% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Strasbourg vs Lille with odds of 3.04 at 888Starz.
Lille - Strasbourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Strasbourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg wins | 44.34% | 3.04 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.31% | 2.09 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Strasbourg/Strasbourg | 17.2% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Strasbourg Form
Lille and Strasbourg's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
8
|
53 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 |
Lille and Strasbourg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
Lille vs Strasbourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
12 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Lille against Strasbourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 2 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderA. Ribeiro
T. Meunier
C. Verdonk
S. Boussadia
M. Broholm
L. Baret
ForwardS. Diaoune
F. Correia
K. Johnsson
DefenderA. Omobamidele
L. Hogsberg
MidfielderS. Amo-Ameyaw
G. Yassine
A. Ouattara
R. Luis
K. Paez
S. Nanasi
Missing players
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderB. Andre
N. Bentaleb
O. Sahraoui
H. Haraldsson
ForwardH. Igamane
S. Sow
MidfielderM. Oyedele
M. Amougou
Most goals and assists
Lille
Strasbourg
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez
(8 Goals)
J. Panichelli
(16 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez
(5 Assists)
D. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
J. Enciso
(7 Assists)
Lille - Strasbourg Key Points
- At home, Lille lost their latest two matches.
- Lille are on four straight defeats ahead of this game.
- Strasbourg are undefeated in their last seven matches, posting five wins.
- Strasbourg are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Lille, winning two.
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Our Lille vs Strasbourg Prediction
Strasbourg will not find many better chances to win this fixture away from home. At the moment they aren’t doing so well on that front, with their last away win at Lille coming in 2007. However, they are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Lille, and in the last five meetings, they posted three wins and one defeat.
Lille are on a downward spin, and their place in the top five is at risk. They could be staring at another defeat here. Our prediction for Lille v Strasbourg is that Strasbourg wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Strasbourg
| Lille vs Strasbourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.9 | 2.58 | +35.8% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.45 | -9.2% |
| Strasbourg wins | 4.43 | 3.04 | -31.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Strasbourg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 31.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.6% and is now 32.9% (10.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
