Lille vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille and Nice are battling on opposite fronts in Ligue 1 ahead of their next meeting. Hosts Lille look to strengthen their hold on third place while Nice are just above the relegation zone, with a four-point buffer. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Lille are the best-performing side in Ligue 1 in the last four rounds. They won each of those matches, with the latest a convincing 4-0 thrashing of Toulouse.
Though Les Dogues have played a game more than second-placed Lens, they are just six points behind. With only three points separating them from sixth spot, Lille will feel the big urge to go for three points here.
Just as Lille need these three points, so do Nice. Les Aiglons have so far had a torrid campaign, both at home and in Europe. After elimination from Europe, they risk relegation domestically.
Going into this round, they somehow helped themselves after drawing 1-1 with Le Havre. That was a welcome result after straight losses in the earlier two games, and it means they can afford to lose many points now.
The visitors have also been poor on the road, losing 10 of 14 league games while they haven’t beaten Lille away from home in the last three.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Lille v Nice Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.3 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.3 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.3 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Nice?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Nice match is: Lille wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Lille and Nice in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.85% for a win of Lille against Nice with odds of 1.58 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Nice is 27.3% with odds of 4.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Lille with odds of 6.35 at 888Starz.
Lille - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 50.85% | 1.58 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 66.58% | 2.21 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 67.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lille/Lille | 21.73% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Nice Form
Lille and Nice's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
16
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 |
Lille and Nice Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
Lille vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
Lille against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderA. Ribeiro
T. Santos
C. Verdonk
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
E. Mbappe
G. Perrin
O. Giroud
N. Edjouma
M. Dupe
DefenderA. Abdi
B. Mantsounga
MidfielderI. Jansson
T. Louchet
K. Boudache
D. Coulibaly
G. Bernardeau
ForwardT. Gouveia
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderN. Ngoy
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
ForwardH. Igamane
Dante
M. Abdelmonem
M. Bombito
MidfielderM. Sanson
C. Vanhoutte
Y. Ndayishimiye
H. Boudaoui
Everton
Most goals and assists
Lille
Nice
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez
(8 Goals)
S. Diop
(8 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez
(5 Assists)
J. Clauss
(5 Assists)
Lille - Nice Key Points
- Nice are winless in their last three matches, losing twice.
- Nice have suffered 10 losses in their 14 away league games.
- At home in Ligue 1, Lille are unbeaten in their last four outings.
- Lille have won four straight league games ahead of this encounter.
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Our Lille vs Nice Prediction
Nice won the reverse meeting between these two sides but have lately not been in the form to replicate their 2-0 victory. This fixture hasn’t produced many wins for either side lately, but the last time Lille hosted it, they won.
It was only their third win in 10 meetings with Nice, but there’s reason to believe that will be extended here. Lille are in great form, and playing at home works for them as well. Our prediction for Lille v Nice is that Lille wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Nice
| Lille vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.73 | 1.58 | -8.7% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.5 | +9.2% |
| Nice wins | 5.14 | 6.35 | +23.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 63.3% (5.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
