Lille vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille and Lorient will be back in action as the French Ligue 1 proceeds to the 25th round of matches. The two face off on Sunday, Lille holding onto sixth spot and Lorient being 10th. Let’s have a look at the prediction for the match.
Lille weren’t in action in the French Cup, so Les Dogues have rested well ahead of this game. They will be in line for a fourth straight victory across all competitions and a third in Ligue 1 action.
Lille have not only steadied their ship but also tightened up at the back, going without conceding in the last three matches. They’re not only seeking a double against Lorient but have won the last two meetings, scoring 10 goals.
Lorient may have failed to win in regular time in their last three matches, but six wins in 10 mean they might shock Lille. Les Merlus will be disadvantaged by the fact they are coming off a midweek match and had less time to recover.
They lost to Nice on post-match penalties, meaning they’ve drawn each of their last three matches at 90 minutes. While in general they’ve had a good run, this fixture hasn’t always been kind to them.
They’ve lost four times in the last six matches, and away to Lille, they fell on each of the last four visits.
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Lille v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.95 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Lorient match is: Lille to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between Lille and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.11% for a win of Lille against Lorient with odds of 1.66 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Lorient is 19.72% with odds of 4.27 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Lille with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
Lille - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 44.17% | 5.75 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.02% | 1.83 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient | 19.87% | 12 at LSbet |
Lille vs Lorient Form
Lille and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
Lille and Lorient Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
Lille vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
2 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
19 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderA. Ribeiro
C. Verdonk
T. Meunier
C. Mbemba
MidfielderN. Mukau
N. Edjouma
S. Diaoune
F. Correia
B. Kamara
DefenderD. Yongwa
I. Akakpo
MidfielderD. Semedo
T. Le Bris
M. Bley
ForwardB. Dieng
S. Soumano
B. Mohamed
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
E. Mbappe
ForwardH. Igamane
S. Toure
MidfielderL. Abergel
B. Fadiga
ForwardP. Pagis
T. Sanusi
Most goals and assists
Lille
Lorient
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez
(8 Goals)
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez
(5 Assists)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
Lille - Lorient Key Points
- Lille are coming off three straight wins.
- In their last two meetings with Lorient, Lille scored 10 goals.
- 17 goals were netted in Lorient’s last five league matches.
- Lille won each of the last four home matches against Lorient.
- 3+ goals were scored in the last nine meetings between these two.
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Our Lille vs Lorient Prediction
If there are Ligue 1 fixtures that hold a guarantee for high scores, this has to be among them. Lorient and Lille have branded their battles in such a way that the game rarely returns less than three goals. The last time these two produced under 2.5 goals was in 2017, when Lorient won 1-0.
The preceding nine meetings all had 3+ goals. Lille have scored three in each of their last three home matches against Lorient. When hosting this encounter, they’ve been dominant in the last four. Based on that, our prediction for Lille v Lorient is for Lille to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Lorient
| Lille vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.67 | 1.66 | -0.6% |
| Draw | 4.21 | 4.27 | +1.4% |
| Lorient wins | 5.63 | 5.75 | +2.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 17.8% and is now 17.4% (-0.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
