Lille vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille playing host to title contenders Lens in Ligue 1 passes as one of the top matches in France this weekend. Second-placed Lens trail leaders PSG by a point, while Lille, in fifth, are out of the top four by goal difference. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Lille have turned up well in recent matches against fellow contenders for Europe. Before the international break they beat Marseille 2-1, having earlier overcome Rennes.
They will look to extend the same to Lens, and they’ll be boosted by a five-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1, winning four. Being out of Europe for now helps with their focus. Lille have beaten Lens at home in their last three meetings.
Lens won the reverse meeting 3-0, ending a run of three straight defeats to Lille. They will seek to secure a league double, building from their 5-1 win against Angers in the last round.
While this match holds the possibility for Lens to go top, they might be four points adrift of the champions by the time they play. This is because PSG will be in action a day earlier.
The postponement of their next game against PSG further stokes the fires in the title chase, but Lens will be more focused on Lille.
Some worry for the visitors, though, is that they haven't managed a win in their last two away games, losing once.
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Lille v Lens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.34 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.34 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.35 | 2.44 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Lens?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Lens match is: Lille wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Lille and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.61% for a win of Lille against Lens with odds of 3.05 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Lens is 27.86% with odds of 3.51 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Lille with odds of 2.5 at Stake.
Lille - Lens Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Lens Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 37.61% | 3.05 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.16% | 2.05 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 15.89% | 7.25 at LSbet |
Lille vs Lens Form
Lille and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
3
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
Lille and Lens Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
Lille against Lens Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderAlexsandro
T. Santos
C. Verdonk
G. Perrin
E. Mbappe
B. Andre
O. Giroud
S. Diaoune
M. Gorgelin
MidfielderA. Haidara
F. Sylla
A. Bulatovic
A. Bermont
ForwardA. Sima
R. Fofana
F. Sotoca
A. Saint-Maximin
Missing players
C. Mbemba
O. Toure
R. Fernandes
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
ForwardH. Igamane
J. Gradit
R. Aguilar
S. Baidoo
K. Antonio
Most goals and assists
Lille
Lens
H. Haraldsson
(8 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(8 Goals)
W. Said
(12 Goals)
, 
O. Edouard
(12 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
,
M. Fernandez-Pardo
(5 Assists)
A. Thomasson
(10 Assists)
Lille - Lens Key Points
- Lille are unbeaten in seven league games, winning four.
- Lille are unbeaten in 10 of their 13 home league games.
- Lens have managed just two wins in their last six games.
- Lens lost their last three matches away to Lille in Ligue 1.
- Lille have only lost once in seven meetings with Lens.
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Our Lille vs Lens Prediction
Lens have missed numerous chances to take advantage of PSG’s slip-ups in recent weeks. Now they find themselves trailing the champions and having played a game more. This is not their ideal place when chasing for the title, and yet they’ve struggled in recent matches away to Lille.
While Lens have dropped points in three of their last five games, Lille are unbeaten in the same period, winning four. Lille playing at home holds good value, and we will back them here. Our prediction for Lille v Lens is that Lille wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Lens
| Lille vs Lens | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 2.46 | 3.05 | +24.0% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.51 | +6.4% |
| Lens wins | 2.75 | 2.5 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 24.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.7% and is now 32.8% (-7.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
