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by Sridhar Bhamidi in World Cup Predictions
Wales will look to stay in the top-two race when they travel to Liechtenstein in the penultimate game of UEFA Group J of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification. This match on Saturday between the third-placed Dragons and the fifth-placed Blue-Reds comes with our prediction of under 4.5 goals.
Liechtenstein are at the bottom with six losses and are out of the qualification race. Wales are guaranteed a playoff spot through Nations League ranking. They have ten points (W3, D1, L2) and are three points behind second-placed North Macedonia, whom they face on the final matchday. Regardless of this match’s result, Wales can’t qualify directly if Belgium beat Kazakhstan.
Liechtenstein were last seen in October, losing 2-1 in a friendly to Montenegro. They lost ten matches in a row, including all six in this qualification campaign. All those have seen them fail to score.
Playing at home, Liechtenstein were beaten in their last five matches, scoring just one goal and conceding 18.
Wales lost 4-2 at home to Belgium in their last World Cup qualifier, which was their fourth defeat in five matches. Two of those came against Belgium and two more in the friendlies, so it isn’t yet time to panic.
Playing away from home, Wales drew 1-1 with North Macedonia and won 1-0 against Kazakhstan, although losing 4-3 against Belgium in these qualifiers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liechtenstein v Wales Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
41 | 23 | 1.02 |
|
|
67 | 19 | 1.02 |
|
|
126 | 15 | 1.03 |
|
|
41 | 13 | 1.01 |
|
|
56 | 19 | 1.01 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Liechtenstein and Wales?
Our prediction for the Liechtenstein vs Wales match is: less than 4.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2025 between Liechtenstein and Wales in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.51% for a win of Liechtenstein against Wales with odds of 126 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liechtenstein vs Wales is 20.78% with odds of 23 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 65.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Wales vs Liechtenstein with odds of 1.03 at William Hill.
Liechtenstein vs Wales Form
Liechtenstein and Wales's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
5
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -23 |
Liechtenstein and Wales Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs Wales Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Most goals and assists
Liechtenstein
Wales
J. Rodon
(2 Goals)
,
H. Wilson
(2 Goals)
,
K. Moore
(2 Goals)
Liechtenstein - Wales Key Points
- In 24 of the last 26 matches featuring Liechtenstein, there have been under 4.5 goals.
- Liechtenstein are yet to score a goal in this qualification campaign.
- Liechtenstein’s six matches produced 23 goals, averaging less than four strikes per game.
- Six of the last eight matches featuring Wales produced fewer than five goals.
- In four of their six qualifiers this campaign, Wales saw four or fewer goals scored.
- All four previous head-to-head matches produced fewer than five goals including a 3-0 win for Wales in the reverse fixture.
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Our Liechtenstein vs Wales Prediction
Wales are already assured of a play-off berth based on their Nations League ranking but are well-placed to make a dash for second spot here. They will be out of reckoning for the top spot irrespective of their result here if Belgium beats Kazakhstan. Winning here will take Wales level on points with North Macedonia, although they are unlikely to bridge the six-goal differential.
The hosts are unlikely to get on the scoreboard but could keep the margin of defeat respectable. Our Liechtenstein vs Wales prediction is less than 4.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
