Leipzig vs Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Augsburg could look to ride on their recent Bundesliga form to pile on Leipzig’s worries as the sides clash in Matchday 25 on Saturday. This match between the fifth-placed ‘Red Bulls’ and the ninth-placed Fuggerstadter comes with our prediction of a draw or an away win.
Leipzig’s 44 points (W13, D5, L6) see them start this round two points outside the top four, but only one point above sixth. Augsburg’s 31 points (W9, D4, L11) see them start this round three points behind seventh.
Leipzig won 2-1 away at Hamburg in their last round to end their three-game winless run in all competitions (D2, L1). They are still not at their dominating best in the league, though, as the ‘Red Bull’ haven’t won consecutive Bundesliga matches since November 1.
That downturn is largely due to their sharp decline in home form. Leipzig won just one of their last six home games (D2, L3) after starting the season with six consecutive home Bundesliga matches.
Augsburg won 2-0 at home against Koln last weekend to continue their impressive run. They have now won five of their last six Bundesliga matches (L1), including three in a row.
Their wretched away form is also showing signs of improvement, with Augsburg winning two of their last three league trips after losing six of the seven previous away games (D1).
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Leipzig v Augsburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.41 | 5.4 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.55 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.35 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.42 | 5 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.4 | 7.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Augsburg?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Augsburg match is: draw or Augsburg.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Leipzig and Augsburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.96% for a win of Leipzig against Augsburg with odds of 1.45 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Augsburg is 17.71% with odds of 5.55 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Augsburg vs Leipzig with odds of 7.7 at Melbet.
Leipzig - Augsburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Augsburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 47.96% | 1.45 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.13% | |
| Both Team To Score | 52.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig | 25.32% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Leipzig vs Augsburg Form
Leipzig and Augsburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
9
|
43 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 |
Leipzig and Augsburg Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs Augsburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Augsburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Zingerle
DefenderE. Bitshiabu
M. Finkgrafe
B. Henrichs
E. Banzuzi
A. Maksimovic
ForwardJ. Bakayoko
T. Gomis
C. Harder
N. Labrovic
DefenderM. Pedersen
MidfielderA. Kade
T. Schnitzer
M. Wolf
E. Rexhbecaj
M. Gregoritsch
I. Gharbi
Missing players
P. Gulacsi
MidfielderX. Schlager
A. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
J. Gouweleeuw
C. Matsima
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Augsburg
C. Baumgartner
(13 Goals)
F. Rieder
(6 Goals)
, 
A. Kade
(6 Goals)
,
M. Gregoritsch
(6 Goals)
D. Raum
(7 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(7 Assists)
D. Giannoulis
(5 Assists)
Leipzig - Augsburg Key Points
- Leipzig have failed to win eight of their last 12 competitive matches.
- In the Bundesliga, Leipzig have just four wins from their last 11 matches.
- Leipzig couldn’t win five of their last six Bundesliga home games including the last four.
- Augsburg won five of their last six Bundesliga games.
- That includes two wins from their last three league trips.
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Our Leipzig vs Augsburg Prediction
Augsburg have been in cracking form lately, avoiding defeat in seven of their last eight league games. Although they could win only two of their last three league trips, they are still a good value on the double-chance market recently. Leipzig have struggled to close out games lately, winning just once in their last six Bundesliga home matches. Along with that, their overall form has been all over the place, with just four wins from their last 11 Bundesliga games.
This makes backing the visitors an enticing option, and our Leipzig vs Augsburg prediction is a draw or Augsburg.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Augsburg
| Leipzig vs Augsburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.48 | 1.45 | -2.0% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 5.55 | +26.1% |
| Augsburg wins | 6 | 7.7 | +28.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 69.0% (1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
