Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Le Havre will be looking to boost their survival hopes in Ligue 1 when they welcome Europe-chasing Marseille. After 32 rounds of play, Le Havre sit in 14th place and more than 20 points behind seventh-placed Marseille. Porosity in these teams' defences has us leaning towards BTTS in our match prediction.
Le Havre have given their survival hopes a big boost in recent weeks and will seek to continue doing so this weekend. Le Club Doyen have avoided defeat in each of their last five games.
Though they haven’t won in this stretch, the five points garnered have lifted them out of the drop zone. Didier Digard’s men are four points above the bottom three after racking up 32 points. They drew 1-1 with Lille last time out.
Marseille have fared much better than their upcoming hosts but also arrive for the weekend struggling to win games. Les Olympiens have won just once in their last six games.
Without a win in their last three outings, this inconsistent spell has left Habib Beye’s men out of the European places. Marseille sit a point from the top six.
They have racked up 53 points after winning 16 games and drawing another five. Marseille, who have won five straight against Le Havre, lost 3-0 to Nantes last weekend.
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Le Havre v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.8 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.72 | 2 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.72 | 2 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.6 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.65 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Le Havre and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Le Havre vs Marseille match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Le Havre and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.9% for a win of Le Havre against Marseille with odds of 3.8 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Le Havre vs Marseille is 26.83% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Le Havre with odds of 2.07 at 888Starz.
Le Havre - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Le Havre Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre wins | 41.9% | 3.8 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.69% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Le Havre | 22.57% | 8.5 at Bet365 |
Le Havre vs Marseille Form
Le Havre and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
Le Havre and Marseille Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
Le Havre against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Mpasi
DefenderL. Nego
T. Pembele
E. Youte Kinkoue
MidfielderG. Kyeremeh
Y. Kechta
S. Ebonog
E. Koffi Vinette
F. Mambimbi
J. De Lange
DefenderH. Hamzaoui Slimani
K. Bezahaf
MidfielderA. Vermeeren
T. Mmadi
N. Kamissoko
E. Nwaneri
A. Lago
U. El Kadmiri
Missing players
S. Zagadou
ForwardN. Obougou
N. Aguerd
C. Egan Riley
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
H. Traore
ForwardT. Weah
Most goals and assists
Le Havre
Marseille
I. Soumare
(8 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
I. Soumare
(5 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
Le Havre - Marseille Key Points
- Marseille have scored 59 league goals.
- Le Havre have found the net in six consecutive outings.
- The last four meetings between Le Havre and Marseille saw both teams score.
- Neither Marseille nor Le Havre have kept a clean sheet in a combined 12 outings.
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Our Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction
Our prediction for Le Havre v Marseille is BTTS. This is a crucial fixture for both teams in their respective quests in the French Ligue 1. Le Havre are seeking to confirm survival, whereas their visitors are fighting to qualify for Europe.
Both teams will be targeting nothing but a win, and therefore, there is a high chance that both will be on the scoresheet. Le Havre have improved attack-wise in recent weeks, while Marseille are one of the more potent sides in the league. Defensively, however, is where both teams are failing.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Le Havre Marseille
| Le Havre vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre wins | 4.2 | 3.8 | -9.5% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.85 | +2.7% |
| Marseille wins | 1.75 | 2.07 | +18.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Le Havre is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 26.3% (2.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Le Havre vs. Marseille game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
