Le Havre vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Joseph King | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Matchday 26 in the French Ligue 1 sees 14th-place Le Havre taking on fourth-placed Lyon. Will Le Club Doyen be able to derail Les Gones’ charge for Champions League football? Check out our match prediction below!
Le Havre come into this matchup on a difficult stretch of form. They’ve now lost their last three on the bounce following a 2-0 away defeat to Brest last weekend.
The result leaves them sitting 14th in the table on 26 points, although still with a comfortable nine-point lead over the relegation zone. Goals have been hard to come by for the Sky and Navy Blues, with their mark of 20 goals ranking them as the second-lowest scoring side in Ligue 1.
After going on a remarkable 13-match winning streak across all competitions starting in December (which included seven straight victories in Ligue 1), Lyon have abruptly cooled off.
They snatched a late Endrick equalizer for a 1-1 draw away from home in the first leg of their Europa League round of 16 tie in their last match. L'OL have now drawn their last two in a row, although they find themselves winless in their last five across all competitions.
In the league, Lyon currently occupy the UCL qualifying round position and sit three points behind third-place Marseille for an automatic spot in Europe’s top-tier competition.
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Le Havre v Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 | 3.45 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.36 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.84 | 3.36 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.3 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.3 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Le Havre and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Le Havre vs Lyon match is: Lyon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Le Havre and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.02% for a win of Le Havre against Lyon with odds of 3.94 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Le Havre vs Lyon is 21.02% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Le Havre with odds of 2.1 at 888Starz.
Le Havre - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Le Havre Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 46.96% | 2.1 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.74% | 2.35 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Lyon/Lyon | 21.38% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Le Havre vs Lyon Form
Le Havre and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 |
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
Le Havre and Lyon Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
Le Havre vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
Le Havre against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
L. Mpasi
DefenderT. Pembele
MidfielderR. Khadra
G. Kyeremeh
Y. Zouaoui
Y. Kechta
D. Mosengo
ForwardK. Quetant
F. Mambimbi
Y. Konan
D. Greif
DefenderS. Kango
N. Nartey
M. De Carvalho
K. Merah
R. Ghezzal
A. Hamdani
R. Yaremchuk
Missing players
G. Lloris
F. Doucoure
MidfielderA. Toure
S. Ebonog
C. Mata
R. Kluivert
MidfielderA. Maitland-Niles
ForwardP. Sulc
A. Moreira
E. Nuamah
M. Fofana
R. Himbert
Most goals and assists
Le Havre
Lyon
I. Soumare
(8 Goals)
C. Tolisso
(11 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(11 Goals)
I. Soumare
(5 Assists)
A. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
Endrick
(7 Assists)
Le Havre - Lyon Key Points
- Le Havre have failed to score a goal in their last three consecutive matches.
- Lyon have won seven of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Lyon have won the last three straight meetings with Le Havre.
- Le Havre rank in the bottom half in both home expected goals and home expected goals against.
- The hosts rank 17th in goals scored and 13th in big chances created.
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Our Le Havre vs Lyon Prediction
While they have found wins hard to come by in the last two to three weeks, Lyon did have some difficult fixtures, including Strasbourg and Marseille away from home, as well as a penalty shootout loss to Lens in the French Cup. This presents an excellent opportunity to get back to winning ways before their Europa League return leg on Thursday.
Le Havre, meanwhile, have now gone over 300 minutes without finding the net and they could find it difficult against a Lyon team with the third best defensive record in the league. Our Le Havre vs Lyon prediction: Lyon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Le Havre Lyon
| Le Havre vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre wins | 4.57 | 3.94 | -13.8% |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.5 | -7.4% |
| Lyon wins | 1.88 | 2.1 | +11.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 53.2% and is now 47.6% (-5.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
