Köln vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will target a return to winning ways when they travel on Bundesliga matchday 25 to a struggling Koln, who are looking to avoid relegation. This match in Cologne between the 13th-placed ‘Billy Goats’ and the second-placed Prussians comes with our prediction of an away win.
Ahead of this round, Koln’s 24 points (W6, D6, L12) see them start two points above the relegation zone. Dortmund have 52 points (W15, D7, L6) and are 11 points away from leaders Bayern while starting the round six points above third.
Koln lost 2-0 away at Augsburg last matchday to make it four matches without a win (D1, L3). They are still perilously close to the relegation zone and will be feeling the heat as only two points separate them from the playoff spot.
There’s hope on the home front, though, as Koln have two wins and a draw from their last four Bundesliga fixtures here.
Dortmund are coming off successive defeats: a 4-1 loss to Atalanta in the Champions League and a 3-2 home defeat to Bayern. That loss virtually ruled them out of the title race, leaving them fighting for second.
They are still a stubborn side on the road, unbeaten in their last eight league trips (W4, D4), although they have scored 2+ goals in each of their last four away games.
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Köln v Borussia Dortmund Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 4 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.14 | 4 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.14 | 3.86 | 1.81 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
|
|
4 | 3.85 | 1.81 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Köln and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Köln vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Köln and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.41% for a win of Köln against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Köln vs Borussia Dortmund is 21.02% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Köln with odds of 1.91 at 888Starz.
Köln - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Köln Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 44.57% | 1.91 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.33% | 1.64 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 67.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 18.89% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Köln vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Köln and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
73 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 |
|
14
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 |
Köln and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
9 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Köln vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2022 - Bundesliga
Köln against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. Zieler
DefenderC. Ozkacar
D. Heintz
L. Maina
F. Chavez
F. Kainz
ForwardC. Neumann
M. Bulter
L. Waldschmidt
A. Meyer
DefenderY. Couto
L. Reggiani
N. Sule
K. Adeyemi
J. Bellingham
S. Ozcan
ForwardF. Silva
S. Inacio
Missing players
T. Hubers
A. Castro-Montes
S. Sebulonsen
J. Schmied
MidfielderJ. Thielmann
F. Mane
MidfielderE. Can
C. Chukwuemeka
Most goals and assists
Köln
Borussia Dortmund
S. El Mala
(13 Goals)
S. Guirassy
(17 Goals)
L. Waldschmidt
(4 Assists)
,
M. Bulter
(4 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(15 Assists)
Köln - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Koln lost three of their last four Bundesliga fixtures, drawing the other.
- At home, Koln were beaten in three of their last six Bundesliga games.
- Dortmund won six of their last eight Bundesliga games, losing only once.
- Away from home, Dortmund were victors in two of their last three Bundesliga trips.
- Dortmund won their last four Bundesliga matches against Koln.
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Our Köln vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Dortmund lost a close Der Klassiker to Bayern Munich (3-2), which nearly rules them out of the Bundesliga title race. The visitors are 11 points away from the leaders Bayern, although a six-point buffer with third gives them enough breathing space. That said, with only the league fixtures left in the season after crashing out of the Champions League, Dortmund would be keen to keep pushing Bayern.
Koln may be gunning for a return to form and a chance to move away from the relegation zone. Yet, our Koln vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Köln Borussia Dortmund
| Köln vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Köln wins | 4.7 | 4.3 | -8.5% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.63 | 1.91 | +17.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.3% and is now 52.4% (-9.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
