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by Thobelani Moyo | in World Cup Predictions
Wales will be out to strengthen their World Cup qualification hopes when they make the trip to Astana Arena to lock horns with Kazakhstan on matchday five of the 2026 FIFA World Cup European qualifiers. Kazakhstan are in fourth place in Group J, while Wales are in second place. Read on for our match prediction.
Kazakhstan's recent performance has been woeful. The hosts have won just two of their last 16 matches across all competitions, including friendlies.
Their last international fixture was on June 9th, when they suffered a narrow 1-0 home defeat against North Macedonia in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers. That result made it two consecutive losses across all competitions.
Regarding the situation in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers, the Hawks have won just one of their last three outings while suffering two defeats.
Driven by their current form, Wales enter this fixture aiming to return to winning ways. Craig Bellamy's men were the team to beat as they managed to go nine games without defeat, recording five wins and four draws.
However, that unbeaten run was brought to an end by Belgium in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers with a 4-3 loss away from home.
That was the Dragons' first defeat in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers after storming to a three-match unbeaten run, recording two wins and a solitary draw.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kazakhstan v Wales Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.25 | 3.4 | 1.62 |
|
|
6 | 3.75 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.8 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
|
|
6 | 3.9 | 1.56 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kazakhstan and Wales?
Our prediction for the Kazakhstan vs Wales match is: Wales to win and over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/09/2025 between Kazakhstan and Wales in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.53% for a win of Kazakhstan against Wales with odds of 6.7 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kazakhstan vs Wales is 24.83% with odds of 3.9 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Wales vs Kazakhstan with odds of 1.63 at Bwin.
Kazakhstan - Wales Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kazakhstan Wales Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wales wins | 50.64% | 1.63 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.86% | 2.18 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wales | 21.2% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Kazakhstan vs Wales Form
Kazakhstan and Wales's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
4
|
7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 |
Kazakhstan and Wales Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Kazakhstan vs Wales Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Kazakhstan against Wales Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Most goals and assists
Kazakhstan
Wales
G. Kenzhebek
(2 Goals)
J. Rodon
(2 Goals)
,
H. Wilson
(2 Goals)
,
K. Moore
(2 Goals)
Kazakhstan - Wales Key Points
- Kazakhstan have lost seven of their last eight competitive internationals.
- Wales were on a three-match unbeaten run in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers.
- Kazakhstan have lost nine of their last 11 matches across all competitions.
- Wales have lost just one of their last ten competitive internationals.
- Wales have seen each of their last four matches in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers end with over 1.5 goals.
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Our Kazakhstan vs Wales Prediction
Kazakhstan have shown close to nothing with their performance lately and are slated for failure in this upcoming encounter. Considering they have struggled against teams stronger than them, nothing much can be expected from them here other than a convincing defeat.
Besides Wales' setback against Belgium last time out, the visitors are still a difficult team to beat. Their victory shouldn't be doubted in this one. It's worth mentioning that they won 3-1 against Kazakhstan in the reverse fixture, making a repeat outcome undoubtedly on the cards. Our Kazakhstan vs Wales prediction: Wales to win and over 1.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kazakhstan Wales
| Kazakhstan vs Wales | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan wins | 7 | 6.25 | -10.7% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.4 | -12.8% |
| Wales wins | 1.48 | 1.62 | +9.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wales is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 9.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 67.6% and is now 61.7% (-5.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
