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Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 58 Australia
Jordan Thompson
27/08/2025 14:10
ATP 77 France
Adrian Mannarino

Prediction :

 

Adrian Mannarino wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in ATP US Open Predictions

Jordan Thompson continues with his US Open campaign and will next battle fellow unseeded player Adrian Mannarino. The two have faced each other 10 times previously, but this is their first duel at a major. Read on for our prediction of this match. 

Thompson defeated Frenchman Corentin Moutet in four sets heading into this latest duel with Mannarino. It is now one down, three to go for the Australian, who is defending 200 points from his fourth-round finish last season. 

Thompson has been hampered by injuries this term and has only contested 23 matches, winning 12. The 31-year-old, who has defeated Mannarino five times, has dropped 18 places to 76th in the live ranking. 

Adrian Mannarino has gone the other way in the live ranking after his first-round victory. The Frenchman, who eliminated 29th seed Tallon Griekspoor in straight sets, has shot up five places to 72nd. 

This is his best placing this year. The 37-year-old has been in splendid form in recent weeks. He made the quarter-finals in Cincinnati as a qualifier, where Jordan Thompson was one of those to fall to his racket.

He won their first-round matchup in straight sets and will be confident of another victory at Flushing Meadows. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Jordan Thompson v Adrian Mannarino Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 1.53
William Hill
2.5 1.53
Betway
2.4 1.55
Ladbrokes
2.4 1.53
Unibet
2.45 1.55
Check all Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino odds
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Who will win the Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino match is: Adrian Mannarino wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino game on 27/08/2025 of the current ATP US Open season:

  • Jordan Thompson has a 40.9% chance to win against Adrian Mannarino according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.55.
  • Adrian Mannarino has a 59.1% probability of winning facing Jordan Thompson ⭐ with odds of 1.58 at 22bet.

Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jordan Thompson has a 40.9 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jordan Thompson40.9 %
Adrian Mannarino59.1 %

Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Form

Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino Last Matches

Jordan Thompson Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Jordan Thompson
3 :  1
Corentin Moutet

7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

6 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Taylor Fritz
abort
Jordan Thompson

4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Luciano Darderi
1 :  3
Jordan Thompson

2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jordan Thompson
3 :  2
Benjamin Bonzi

30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Vit Kopriva
2 :  3
Jordan Thompson
Adrian Mannarino Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Adrian Mannarino
3 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor

13 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tomas Machac
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

6 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  0
Dalibor Svrcina

Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jordan Thompson

50 %

Adrian Mannarino

50 %

7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jordan Thompson
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

31 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Jordan Thompson
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

20 Jul 2023 - ATP Newport Open

Jordan Thompson
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

16 Jun 2023 - ATP Libema Open

Adrian Mannarino
1 :  2
Jordan Thompson
Compare Jordan Thompson and Adrian Mannarino with our comparison tool.

Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino Key Points

  1. Mannarino has beaten Thompson once this year.
  2. Half of Thompson’s last 10 matches ended in defeat.
  3. Mannarino has won eight times in his previous 10 outings.
  4. In his last 10 outings on hard courts, Mannarino won eight times.
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Our Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

These two players know each other all too well, having faced off 10 times, with each winning at least five. Mannarino has the head-to-head record after winning their only other matchup this season. With his improvement in recent weeks, he is likely to advance to the third round. 

The Frenchman has been one of the top performers in the ATP since the season switched back to hard courts. Thompson will be no pushover, but his recent struggles with injuries will most likely hinder him again. Our prediction for Jordan Thompson v Adrian Mannarino is that Adrian Mannarino wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Adrian Mannarino wins the match

 
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Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction
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