Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Match cancelled due to Mensik withdrawing
Round four of the Australian Open sees fourth seed Novak Djokovic face 16th-seeded Jakub Mensik. Who will reach the quarter-final of this outdoor hard court Grand Slam? Read our match prediction below.
Novak Djokovic has won this Grand Slam on ten previous occasions, most recently in 2023. It’s eight years since the Serb last lost in round four in Melbourne. This is his first tournament since winning the Athens indoor hard court title last November.
He’s had wins over Pedro Martinez, Francesco Maestrelli and Botic van de Zandschulp. The 38-year-old is yet to lose a set but did play one tie-break in the last round.These two players have met on two previous occasions and are tied at 1-1. Both were played on this surface with a total of three tie-breaks played.
The winner of this match will take on either fifth seed Lorenzo Musetti or ninth-seeded Taylor Fritz in the last eight.
Jakub Mensik was only five years old when Djokovic first won this tournament. The 20-year-old won his last match against Djokovic last year. Mensik won the Auckland title earlier this month.
He has defeated Pablo Carreno Busta, Rafael Jodar and Ethan Quinn to reach round four with three tie-breaks played.
We tip over 0.5 tie-breaks in this match.
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Jakub Mensik v Novak Djokovic Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 | 1.26 |
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3.84 | 1.26 |
|
|
4 | 1.25 |
|
|
3.5 | 1.26 |
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3.55 | 1.26 |
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Who will win the Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic game on 26/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Jakub Mensik has a 39.49% chance to win against Novak Djokovic according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 4.2.
- Novak Djokovic has a 60.51% probability of winning facing Jakub Mensik ⭐ with odds of 1.27 at Shangrila.
Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jakub Mensik has a 39.49 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | 39.49 % |
| Novak Djokovic | 60.51 % |
Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic Form
Jakub Mensik and Novak Djokovic Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
24 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
16 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
15 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
24 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
8 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
7 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship
Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
30 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
11 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic Key Points
- Mensik beat Djokovic in Miami last year and both sets were decided by a tie-break.
- Mensik has played a tie-break in four of his last five matches.
- Ten of the last 17 matches Djokovic has played in the Australian Open saw at least one tie-break played.
- Mensik has played 11 matches in the Australian Open, seven saw at least one tie-break played
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Our Jakub Mensik vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
This is going to be the toughest match so far in this tournament for both players and each are facing their first seeded opponents. They are also both recent tournament winners and are 1-1 in previous meetings.
Their last match was decided by two tie-breaks making it three in their two matches. Mensik has played one in all but one of his last five matches and eight of the last 13. Our Jakub Mensik v Novak Djokovic prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
