Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Jack Draper made a great comeback in the last round to beat Novak Djokovic. The BNP Paribas Open defending champion now faces Daniil Medvedev in the quarter-finalls at Indian Wells. Can he win again? Read our match prediction below.
For the second time in this outdoor hard court tournament, 14th seed Jack Draper came from a set down to win his match. The British player did that against Roberto Bautista Agut in round two and on Wednesday, he repeated that feat against Novak Djokovic.
With this match coming so soon after that classic two-and-a-half hours match with the third seed, you do have to wonder whether Draper can put in another stellar performance in the last eight.
There's been one previous match between the pair. Medvedev won that but it was played on clay.
Daniil Medvedev is again going deep on this surface. The Russian has made an excellent start to the new year with titles won in both Brisbane and most recently, Dubai. He's won 16 of his 19 matches this year.
The Russian has had a much smoother route to this quarter-final. He is yet to drop a set and has only lost 16 games in his three matches. Round four saw him play before Draper's epic and that must be to his advantage.
We tip Medvedev to win.
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Jack Draper v Daniil Medvedev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.5 | 1.54 |
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2.5 | 1.54 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.4 | 1.51 |
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2.4 | 1.51 |
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Who will win the Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev match is: Daniil Medvedev wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev game on 12/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Jack Draper has a 34.75% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
- Daniil Medvedev has a 65.25% probability of winning facing Jack Draper ⭐ with odds of 1.57 at Shangrila.
Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jack Draper has a 34.75 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jack Draper | 34.75 % |
| Daniil Medvedev | 65.25 % |
Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Jack Draper and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
5 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
11 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
11 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open
Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Medvedev has won two outdoor hard court tournaments this year.
- Medvedev has reached the last eight without dropping a set.
- Draper has never beaten Medvedev.
- Draper has had to play two three-setters so far in this tournament.
- Only two players have earned more ranking points this year than Medvedev.
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Our Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Daniil Medvedev has continued his excelent form shown this year in this BNP Paribas Open. The two-time tournament winner in 2026 has made it to the last eight without dropping a set. He's yet to lose more than four games in a single set so should be fresher than his opponent.
Defending champion Jack Draper has twice had to fight his way back from a set down to win in this tournament. He had to do that against Novak Djokovic on Wednesday. Will this be a match too far? Our Jack Draper v Daniil Medvedev prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
