Italy vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - Six Nations
Europe - Six Nations
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Six Nations Predictions
Italy and Scotland will get their 2026 Six Nations campaign underway this weekend when they face off at Stadio Olimpico on Saturday afternoon. Gli Azzurri and the Scots finished fifth and fourth , respectively, in the 2025 edition of this competition. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Italy have made significant strides forward in recent years. They’ve avoided the Wooden Spoon in each of the last two editions of the Six Nations and came agonisingly close to upsetting Ireland last year.
Gli Azzurri ended 2025 impressively, beating Chile 34-19 and Australia 26-19 either side of a 32-14 defeat to world champions South Africa during the Autumn Nations Series.
Across their 11 games in 2025, Italy won four and lost seven. They are missing several players through injury, though, including Tommaso Allan, Ange Capuozzo and Gianmarco Lucchesi.
Meanwhile, 2025 proved to be a frustrating year for Scotland, which began with high expectations for the Six Nations but ultimately ended in disappointment, with the team only managing fourth place.
The Scots ended last year with mixed results, losing to New Zealand and Argentina in between victories over the USA and Tonga. They split their 12 games in 2025, six wins and six defeats.
Scotland have won 14 of their last 15 matches against this opponent, but their sole loss came on their last visit to Stadio Olimpico (31-29) in the 2024 Six Nations.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Italy v Scotland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.56 | 23 | 1.32 |
|
|
3.5 | 27 | 1.37 |
|
|
3.8 | 29 | 1.33 |
|
|
3.65 | 20 | 1.29 |
|
|
3.65 | 20 | 1.29 |
|
Italy vs Scotland Form
Italy and Scotland's standings in the Six Nations
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
|
4
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -38 |
Italy and Scotland Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
9 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations
25 Feb 2024 - Six Nations
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
16 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
11 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
16 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
18 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
11 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
4 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
27 Jul 2024 - Test Matches
Italy vs Scotland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
9 Mar 2024 - Six Nations
29 Jul 2023 - Test Matches
18 Mar 2023 - Six Nations
12 Mar 2022 - Six Nations
20 Mar 2021 - Six Nations
Players list
Substitutes
Italy - Scotland Key Points
- Italy won two of their three Autumn Nations fixtures.
- Italy won their last home game against this opponent in the Six Nations.
- Scotland lost two of their last three Autumn Nations fixtures.
- Each of the last five games between these sides were decided by 12 or fewer points.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Italy vs Scotland Prediction
Scotland are understandably installed as favourites in this match, but it will be interesting to see how they start the New Year after an underwhelming end to 2025, which included losses to New Zealand and Argentina in the Autumn Nations Series.
Italy will have fond memories of this fixture, as they pulled off an incredible victory over this opponent the last time they faced them here in Rome. Even if the Scots win this match, we fancy Gli Azzurri to keep the margin close. Our Italy vs Scotland prediction is Italy +13.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
