Six Nations 2024 Predictions & Betting tips
24 Feb 2024 - 11:45
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Find our free Six Nations prediction, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches of the 2024 Six Nations Tournament. Lots of information for your sports betting!
Six Nations Tournament preview and predictions - Rugby
Get ready to follow the Six Nations Tournament 2024 and make your predictions for the 130th edition of the competition! Created in 1882, the Six Nations Tournament is one of the leading competitions in rugby.
After Ireland's triumph last year, the 2024 edition will once again pit Europe's top teams against each other in a bid to achieve the famous Grand Slam. Who should you bet on for your final Six Nations prediction? What are the best tips for betting on the Six Nations Tournament? Our experts tell you all about it on this page!
Six Nations 2024 prediction: what bet should you place on the final winner of the tournament?
After their somewhat disappointing performances at the 2023 Rugby World Cup, France and Ireland will be keen to make amends at the 2024 Six Nations Tournament. Unsurprisingly, these two nations are among the favourites for this year's tournament. England, who finished a creditable 3rd at the World Cup thanks to a convincing performance, are third favourites for victory this year.
The Franco-Irish rivalry should once again be present at this Six Nations Tournament, with the two teams sharing the victories in the last two years. The only French defeat in the previous edition came against Ireland in Dublin (32-19), which cost Les Bleus the title.
This time, it's the Irish's turn to set foot on French soil, and coming up against Les Bleus on their own turf promises to be a major challenge. The French, buoyed by their talent and an exceptional generation, have a solid level of play and high ambitions.
France's defeat in the quarter-finals of the World Cup left a bitter taste in the mouth, but the team is more determined than ever to turn the page. The fact that France is hosting the Irish team at home (Marseille) in the opening match is excellent news and a golden opportunity to take the lead from the start of the competition. Receiving England in Lyon in the final match is also a positive for Les Bleus.
Based on the French team's impressive performances over the past year - despite a setback at the Rugby World Cup - our prediction is that France will be crowned champions, at the tempting odds of 2.20 before the start of the tournament. Our Six Nations 2024 prediction: victory for France!
Six Nations 2024 prediction: odds for the title
- France - 2.25
- Ireland - 2.50
- England - 8.00
- Scotland - 17.00
- Wales - 26.00
- Italy - 501.00
England’s XV: The Red Rose’s schedule for the 2024 Six Nations Tournament
The England national team made it to the semi-final stage of the Rugby World Cup narrowly beaten by the eventual champions South Africa. They will look to build on that in the Six Nations. Here is the schedule of all the England Rugby Team matches between February and March 2024 for your Six Nations match predictions:
- Matchday 1 - England V Italy (Saturday 3 February 2024 - 14:15)
- Matchday 2 -Wales v England (Saturday 10 February 2024 - 16:45)
- Matchday 3 - England V Scotland (Saturday 24 February 2024 - 16:45)
- Matchday 4 - Ireland V England (Saturday 9 March 2024 - 16:45)
- Matchday 5 - England V France (Saturday 16 March 2024 - 20:00)
You can bet on each of these five matches at English sports betting sites, which offer you the chance to choose from many different markets each time. Six Nations Odds are already available, so don't hesitate to follow our experts' Six Nations predictions!
Beginner punters - How does the Six Nations Rugby Tournament work?
If you're not a big fan of the Six Nations Tournament, a brief explanation of how the event works might be useful, and it can also serve as a reminder for fans.
As far as the format of the tournament is concerned, the Six Nations takes the form of a mini-championship, in which each team plays all its opponents once, over six weeks of competition.
At the end of the championship, the team finishing top of the standings is declared the winner of the Six Nations Tournament, a prestigious title in the world of rugby union. This year, for the 130th edition, the competition takes place from 2 February to 16 March 2024. That gives you plenty of opportunities to bet on rugby.
As far as the rules are concerned, a win earns four points in the Six Nations Tournament and a draw one point. A team that scores at least four tries in a match gets an attacking bonus point, and a team that loses by seven points or less gets a defensive bonus point. At the end of the tournament, three points are awarded to a team that achieves the Grand Slam (five wins).
How do you make good predictions on the matches in the Six Nations Rugby XV tournament?
To make the right predictions for the matches in the Six Nations Tournament, there are several factors to consider to have the most accurate analysis possible of the match you wish to bet on. Here are the most important ones, according to our international rugby experts:
- Take into account the venue of the match during the Six Nations Tournament
- Observe the opposing teams
- Know the strengths of the nations
- Analysing the usual tactics of the teams taking part in the tournament
- Determine what is at stake in the match
- Take into account the psychological context
By following these six recommendations for your Six Nations bets, you'll be able to anticipate the most likely scenario for the 2024 Six Nations Tournament more easily. As a result, you'll be able to increase your betting success rate at online bookmakers. For more details on each of these tips, simply read on.
Taking into account the venue of the match during the Six Nations Tournament
First of all, as our specialists made clear in their prediction of the winner, the venue of the match is obviously of considerable importance. In rugby, more than in any other sport, home advantage is often crucial to the outcome of a match.
Familiarity with the pitch, the fervour of the fans, increased motivation, all these factors influence the outcome of matches. You only have to look at the figures to be convinced: almost 60% of matches have ended in a win for the home side if you take the last five tournaments into account. So, when making your predictions for 2024, give preference to the hosts' successes when a match promises to be close.
Observe the opposing team
The second important point for a successful Six Nations 2024 prediction is the form of the teams you are betting on. By this, we mean that it's vital to check whether there are any injuries on either side or even suspensions in the most extreme cases.
On the French side, for example, the unavailability of Antoine Dupont or Romain Ntamack (as at the 2023 World Cup) will always have an influence on the outcome of a match involving the French national team. This parameter is all the more important given that there can sometimes be more than ten days between two matches. This increases the risk of unavailability or even poor form which makes it crucial.
Knowing the strengths of the nations
Another factor to take into account is the strength of the competing nations.
The average number of points per match in last year's edition was 48, which should give you some idea of what to look out for when placing your rugby bets. Some teams are much more efficient than others, such as France and Ireland, who scored 174 and 151 points respectively last year. Italy, who conceded 181 points in 2022 and 149 in 2023, also produce high-scoring matches every year.
So check the stats of both teams before you place your bet. It could save you a few euros, especially if you like to bet on the number of points scored in a match.
Analyse the usual tactics of the teams taking part in the tournament
As a fourth tip, don't forget to find out what tactics the teams usually use. Does one team prefer to play on the left wing? Perhaps one team has an exceptionally gifted kicker? Or does one team usually shine in the scrum? These are just some of the questions you need to ask yourself to determine what kind of matches to expect during the 2024 Six Nations. For example, this will give you an idea of the number of points that could potentially be scored, so you can make the best bets on handicaps. Bear in mind that 33% of matches last year ended with a winning margin of fifteen points or more. This should help you make your predictions on the scores in the 2024 Six Nations Tournament.
Determining what's at stake in the meeting
The penultimate key factor is what is really at stake in the match. While every match in the Six Nations is worth the same number of points, not all matches have the same flavour for the different teams involved.
Let's imagine that the Welsh team is out of contention to win the tournament, while France must win to claim the trophy. In such an encounter, the players of the French team could be more motivated and win by a greater margin than expected on their home turf at the Stade de France. This is not an uncommon occurrence in the competition, so don't forget to take this parameter into account. It can often help you avoid nasty surprises.
Take the psychological context into account
Last but certainly not least, you also need to consider the psychological context surrounding the match you want to bet on.
For example, is there a historic rivalry between the two teams (e.g. France-England)? Is one nation still reeling from a humiliating defeat at the hands of its opponent? Did the players involved make any prickly statements before the match? These are all possibilities that should not be discounted, as they have a big impact on the motivation of the players on the pitch and therefore on the success of your rugby prediction. The psychology of a game is not to be underestimated.
What not to do for your Six Nations rugby predictions
The advice given above by our experts is sure to come in handy when making your Six Nations 2024 predictions. There are some things you should not do, however, if you want to be even more successful at this tournament. They are :
- Betting without knowing the rules of rugby and how the Six Nations works
- Betting money you're not prepared to lose
- Not taking into account the history of the teams in the tournament
- Make a live bet without basing it on certain factors (weather, changes, cards, etc.)
- Betting too early on a match
- Betting to make up for a lost bet
- Blindly betting on your home country team without any research
You now know how to avoid being taken for a ride by avoiding certain mistakes when betting on the Six Nations 2024. Try to remember them when placing your bets this year.
Six Nations Rugby predictions: statistics to remember for your sports bets
To make the right predictions for the 2024 Six Nations Tournament, there are a few statistics to keep in mind. Here are the most notable from the last edition:
- Average points per match: 48 points
- Average tries per match: six tries
- Average points difference: 16 points difference
- Matches with a difference of one to seven points: 13%.
- Matches between eight and 14 points apart: 54%.
- Matches with more than a 15-point difference: 33%.
- Matches with an attacking bonus: 80% of matches
- Matches with a defensive bonus: 13% of matches
- Team wins at home: 46% of matches
- Draws: 0% of matches
- Victory for the away team: 54% of matches
As you can see, it's smart to predict handicap victories in this 2024 Six Nations Tournament, and in high-scoring matches.
As previously stated, matches featuring the Italian team are particularly favourable for bets with lots of points and tries. You should always study the games in depth before placing your bets.
In a nutshell: how do you make the right predictions for the Six Nations rugby union competition?
As you can imagine, making the right predictions for the Six Nations tournament is not a matter of chance. There are a few good practices to follow, such as taking into account absences and the context of a match, and there are certain mistakes to avoid if you don't want to lose money unnecessarily.
Of course, using the statistics provided on this page will be a great help in refining your analysis and making the most reliable Six Nations predictions possible.
Finally, if you're really lacking in knowledge and prefer to rely on expert analysis, you should know that we offer rugby predictions throughout the tournament, for every match. Make the most of it for free!
Our current predictions on the Six Nations Tournament
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