Italy vs Israel Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Udine will play host to the Nations League match between Italy and Israel and an obvious prediction for this game is that it will be a crucial one in the context of this group. With France and Belgium chasing Italy at the top of the table, and facing each other on Matchday Four, an Azzuri win could put them on the brink of winning the group. However, the Skyblue and Whites will be desperate for their first points in this difficult Nations League campaign.
Italy have started this competition in strident fashion, coming from behind away to France to record a 3-1 victory in which they scored a trio of outstanding goals. They followed that up with a 2-1 win away to Israel and seemed set for a third win when leading Belgium 2-0 in Rome on Thursday. However, Lorenzo Pellegrini's sending off on 40 minutes gave Belgium a man advantage and they came back to earn a 2-2 draw.
Israel began their campaign with a 3-1 defeat away to Belgium and followed that with a 2-1 defeat to Italy. Last week, they faced France in their designated home game and ended up on the wrong end of a 4-1 thrashing from Les Bleus. The Israeli team managed just one shot in the entire game against the French, a worrying stat as they head into this game against the Italians.
Historically, the data does Israel no favors. In six previous games with Italy, they have drawn once and lost five, and that drew came back in 1970.
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Italy v Israel Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.21 | 7 | 14 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.97 | 14.3 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.3 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.4 | 15 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Italy and Israel?
Our prediction for the Italy vs Israel match is: HT/FT - Italy/Italy.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2024 between Italy and Israel in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.65% for a win of Italy against Israel with odds of 1.22 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Italy vs Israel is 17.51% with odds of 7.97 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Israel vs Italy with odds of 17 at Shangrila.
Italy - Israel Prediction and Best Odds:
| Italy Israel Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 69.65% | 1.22 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.13% | 1.55 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.25 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Italy/Italy | 45.46% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
Italy vs Israel Form
Italy and Israel's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 |
Italy and Israel Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Sept 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sept 2023 - Euro
Italy vs Israel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2017 - World Cup
Italy against Israel Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Di Gregorio
G. Donnarumma
DefenderC. Okoli
D. Udogie
A. Buongiorno
R. Bellanova
M. Gabbia
MidfielderN. Pisilli
N. Zaniolo
S. Ricci
L. Lucca
D. Maldini
S. Kaiuf
Y. Gerafi
DefenderD. Leidner
D. Gropper
E. Peretz
M. Jaber
E. Azoulay
D. Biton
R. Safouri
T. Baribo
A. Khalaili
Most goals and assists
Italy
Israel
D. Frattesi
(3 Goals)
,
M. Kean
(3 Goals)
M. Abu Fani
(2 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(4 Assists)
O. Gloukh
(1 Assists)
Italy - Israel Key Points
- Italy are unbeaten in the Nations League so far, winning two, drawing one.
- Israel have lost all three of their Nations League games.
- Italy have scored in the first half in all three previous Nations League games.
- Italy also led at half-time in their last two Nations League matches.
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Our Italy vs Israel Prediction
Our prediction for the Italy vs. Israel Nations League Group A2 match is: HT/FT - Italy/Italy.
With Israel not yet having collected a point in this group, and Italy having won the away clash between the two, Group leaders Italy are the odds-on pick to win this game. However, the Italian's have been lively in the first half in all three of their Nations League matches, scoring four goals before the interval. As such backing Italy to lead at half-time and full-time looks a good value prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Italy Israel
| Italy vs Israel | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 1.2 | 1.22 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 7.97 | +22.6% |
| Israel wins | 13 | 17 | +30.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Italy is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 82.0% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
