Tip Ireland - Samoa
Ireland haven't had it all their own way in Pool A of the 2019 Rugby World Cup. They go into their final pool match in second place in the group, that's three points behind surprise leaders Japan and one ahead of third-placed Scotland. Even a win in this game against Samoa might not see them finish top of the pool if Japan can beat Scotland on Sunday. A loss to Samoa could even see them knocked out if Scotland beat Japan. Ireland should be able to clinch qualification for the last eight with a win over Samoa. Their opponents have had a disappointing campaign with their only win coming against bottom side Russia.
Samoa have already lost 34-0 to Scotland and 38-19 to Japan. A win here could get them into third and automatic qualification for the next tournament but that looks unlikely. Ireland lost to Japan but have had good wins over Scotland and Russia only conceding three points in those two matches. They have won five of their six previous games against Samoa and can be backed to win this game on a -28 handicap. Whether that will get them to the top of the pool and avoid a likely quarter final against New Zealand remains to be seen.
Key points Ireland - Samoa
Ireland have won five of their previous six games against Samoa.
Samoa have already lost two games in this pool.
Ireland have wins over Scotland and Russia and only conceded three points in those two matches.
Conclusion Ireland - Samoa
Ireland should have few problems getting the win they need to confirm their place in the last eight. They lost to Japan but have had good wins in their other two pool games and have the best defensive record in the pool. Samoa have had a difficult time in the pool with their only win being against lowly Russia. Go for Ireland to win this match and back them on a-28 handicap.
Ireland Samoa Prediction published on October 9, 2019