Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

Predictions Odds Live

England - Premier League

Leeds
14/09/2026 14:00
Newcastle

Prediction :

 

Draw or Newcastle

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions

The fourth set of Premier League fixtures ends with Newcastle visiting Leeds United. After Saturday's games, Leeds were tenth in the table with Newcastle a place above them on goal difference. Both sides are unbeaten in the league and the Magpies have had a tougher fixture list. Our prediction is Newcastle wins or draws.

Both of these clubs have won one league game and drawn the other two. Leeds have played three Premier League fixtures that have all been low-scoring affairs. Only the 1-1 draw at Brighton and Hove Albion saw more than one goal scored, but a low-scoring affair doesn't look likely here.

Newcastle United have five points from three games, but it could so easily be seven. They led Liverpool in their opening league game, but conceded a late equaliser. Games at Tottenham and at home to Bournemouth have followed and the Magpies remain unbeaten. We believe there's a good chance that their unbeaten run will not end at Elland Road.

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Leeds v Newcastle Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.38 3.45 2.9
1xbet
2.43 3.64 3.05
Melbet
2.34 3.5 2.94
Betwinner
2.38 3.42 2.94
22bet
2.33 3.5 2.96
Check all Leeds vs Newcastle odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Newcastle?

Our prediction for the Leeds vs Newcastle match is: Newcastle wins or draws

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2026 between Leeds and Newcastle in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.72% for a win of Leeds against Newcastle with odds of 2.43 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Newcastle is 26.44% with odds of 3.64 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Leeds with odds of 3.05 at 1xbet.

Leeds vs Newcastle Form

Leeds and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Newcastle
5 3 1 2 0 +2
10 Leeds
5 3 1 2 0 +1

Leeds and Newcastle Last Matches

Leeds
Leeds Last matches
W W W D D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
6 :  3
Leeds

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Leeds

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Brentford

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Leeds

22 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Leeds

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
4 :  0
Augsburg
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Brentford

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
4 :  0
Augsburg

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
2 :  0
Leipzig

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  0
Sunderland

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
2 :  3
Wrexham

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton
W D W W D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
6 :  3
Leeds

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Leeds

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Leeds

22 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Leeds

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Leeds

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
Leeds
Newcastle
Newcastle Last matches
D D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Millwall
0 :  1
Newcastle

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Newcastle

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
3 :  2
West Brom

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  1
Strasbourg
W L D D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
3 :  2
West Brom

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Liverpool

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  1
Strasbourg

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
3 :  0
Darlington
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Millwall
0 :  1
Newcastle

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  2
Newcastle

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
3 :  1
Newcastle

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Valencia
1 :  2
Newcastle

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bristol City
4 :  1
Newcastle

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Gateshead
1 :  1
Newcastle

Leeds vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

0 %

Draw

67 %

Newcastle

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  3
Leeds

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

13 May 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Newcastle

31 Dec 2022 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  0
Leeds

22 Jan 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Newcastle

17 Sept 2021 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Leeds

Leeds - Newcastle: Form Analysis

Leeds United began the new Premier League season with a win at Nottingham Forest. The Whites then returned to the City Ground in the Carabao Cup and again beat Forest.  Their one home league fixture of the new season saw them come from behind to draw 1-1 with Brentford.

Last weekend Leeds drew 1-1 at Brighton, but this time they led in that match. Midweek didn't go well for them as they went to Chelsea in the Carabao Cup and lost 6-3.

Home form last season produced nine Premier League wins. but their match against Newcastle at Elland Road ended goalless.

Good start to the new season for the Magpies.

Newcastle United have seen plenty of changes in recent months. A new coach has been appointed and some key players left the club. It's been a good start to the new season though with five points from their first three matches.

Their opening game saw them draw 2-2 at home with Liverpool after leading 2-0. Their sole away league fixture produced a 2-0 win at Tottenham. Last weekend, they drew 2-2 at home with Bournemouth and on that occasion, they had to come from 2-0 down. In the Carabao Cup, the Magpies have had wins over West Brom and Millwall.

Only one of their last four away competitive games has ended in defeat.

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Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction

Players list

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

M. Zetterer

Defender

J. Justin

E. Ampadu

T. Muharemovic

M. Bard

J. Bijol

Midfielder

S. Longstaff

Forward

L. Nmecha

H. Wilson

D. James

B. Aaronson

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

L. Hornicek

Defender

F. Schar

A. Dedic

S. Botman

L. Hall

Midfielder

J. Willock

J. Murphy

N. Gonzalez

J. Ramsey

Forward

H. Barnes

Y. Wissa

Substitutes

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

Defender

G. Gudmundsson

N. Elvedi

J. Bogle

Midfielder

A. Tanaka

A. Stach

Forward

D. Calvert-Lewin

N. Okafor

J. Bahoya

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

N. Pope

Defender

M. Thiaw

T. Livramento

Midfielder

A. Bamba

S. Steur

L. Miley

Forward

B. Toure

M. Fernandez-Pardo

A. Elanga

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Defender

J. Rodon

Midfielder

I. Gruev

Forward

Mateo Joseph

Newcastle
Newcastle
Goalkeeper

E. Jaouen

Defender

D. Burn

Forward

Joelinton

W. Osula

Leeds & Newcastle Squad Analysis

It was a bad result for United in midweek as they exited the Carabao Cup and conceded six goals. The one good bit of news was that the Whites didn't suffer any new injuries. This match not being played until Monday evening will help them as that gives Ilia Gruev a bit more time to recover from his knee injury.

Joe Rodon will be absent as will be Mateo Joseph. United made plenty of changes for that Carabao Cup loss, those players who were rested in midweek are likely to be reinstated to the United line-up. They will be wanting to score more goals though, with just three so far in the Premier League this season.

Newcastle United had an injury setback in their Carabao Cup win at Millwall. Amar Dedic had to come off at half time, but the defender could well be fit for this match. If he isn't going to play, then England international TIno Livramento could start his first match of the season. He played for 45 minutes against Millwall.

United are yet to lose away from home this season.

Joelinton and Dan Burn will both be absent as United try to stretch their unbeaten run this season to six matches. They weren't always at their best on the road last season, but have won both of the matches they've played away from home this term.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Germany A. Stach (1 Goals) , 
England D. Calvert-Lewin (1 Goals) , 
England J. Bogle (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden A. Elanga (2 Goals)
Best assists
Germany L. Nmecha (1 Assists) , 
Japan A. Tanaka (1 Assists)
Best assists
Congo Y. Wissa (1 Assists) , 
Denmark W. Osula (1 Assists) , 
Bosnia and Herzegovina A. Dedic (1 Assists) , 
Germany N. Woltemade (1 Assists) , 
England L. Hall (1 Assists)

Leeds and Newcastle Stats in Premier League

Leeds
Leeds
Newcastle
Newcastle
33%
Wins
33%
0%
Losses
0%
67%
Draws
67%
1.67
Average goals per match
3.33
1
Goals scored per match
2
0.67
Goals conceded per match
1.33
100%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
33%
No goals conceded
33%
67%
BTTS
67%

Leeds - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Newcastle are unbeaten in five league and cup games this season.
  2. Newcastle are unbeaten in their last six games against Leeds.
  3. Leeds have gone three games without a win and conceded six at Chelsea in midweek.
  4. Newcastle have only lost one of their last four away league and cup fixtures.
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Our Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction

Leeds can beat Nottingham Forest and have done so twice this season. They are yet to beat any other club though. Their last two league games have both been drawn and midweek saw them beaten 6-3 at Chelsea. They do not have a great record against their opponents in this match.

Newcastle might have been a bit worried coming into the new season. A new coach and several key players have exited the club. However, they have played five games and are yet to be beaten. Our main Leeds v Newcastle prediction is Newcastle wins or draws.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Newcastle

 
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Leeds vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.5
Both clubs have drawn two league games this season. The corresponding fixture last season ended 0-0.
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Leeds vs Newcastle - FAQs

Leeds will host Newcastle United on Monday September 14. The game will start at 20:00 UK time.
Leeds are the home side in this Premier League game. The match will be played at Elland Road in Leeds.
A subscription to Sky Sports will be required if you want to watch this game live in the UK.  To be able to keep up to date with all the action at Elland Road, go to our Premier League livescore. There you'll be able to access live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.