Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Ipswich Town are looking to make it to the fourth round of the EFL Cup for just the second time since 2011-12 but face an uphill task against defending runners-up Arsenal. This third-round match on Tuesday at Portman Road between the ‘Tractor Boys’ and the ‘Gunners’ is likely to be an open game with our prediction backing over 2.5 goals.
The hosts are usually knocked out in the first two rounds of this competition, so reaching here is a positive sign. Ipswich went past Leicester City 3-1 in the previous round to make it here, which is just one of the six clashes between two English Premier League (EPL) clubs.
Arsenal came flying off the blocks this season and are unbeaten in all competitions. The ‘Gunners’ reached the finals last season and have crashed out as early as the third round just once in their last 11 campaigns in this competition. Can Ipswich flip the script and score an upset? Read further for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Ipswich Town v Arsenal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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7 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
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8 | 4.75 | 1.43 |
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7.8 | 4.66 | 1.41 |
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7.6 | 4.62 | 1.42 |
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7.8 | 4.66 | 1.41 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ipswich Town and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Ipswich Town vs Arsenal match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2026 between Ipswich Town and Arsenal in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.65% for a win of Ipswich Town against Arsenal with odds of 8.8 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ipswich Town vs Arsenal is 9.17% with odds of 4.75 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 65.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Ipswich Town with odds of 1.43 at 1xbet.
Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Form
Ipswich Town and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Apr 2026 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Emirates Cup
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
24 May 2026 - Premier League
Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Ipswich Town - Arsenal: Form Analysis
In a wildly entertaining away game on Saturday, Ipswich defeated 10-man Crystal Palace 3-2, with the winner coming in the 90th minute. That result helped them bounce back from consecutive defeats to Manchester United and Liverpool.
Ipswich conceded seven goals in those two defeats, so their pedigree against bigger clubs remains a concern. Either way, they are a tough team to face in familiar conditions, as Ipswich have three wins from their last four competitive home games (L1).
Arsenal have six wins from their last seven matches against Ipswich.
All those victories have come with a clean sheet, which was also the case in their 2-0 win over Sunderland last weekend. The away win also saw Arsenal’s David Raya save a penalty as they posted a sixth consecutive victory starting with the FA Community Shield.
Three of their six wins have come on the road, and they have now won their last five competitive trips on either side of the summer. That said, their last trip to this venue in the EFL Cup was back in 2011 when they lost 1-0.
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Ipswich Town vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
C. Walton
DefenderC. Kipre
MidfielderA. Ouattara
M. Nunez
D. Maeda
Z. Flemming
F. Luis
ForwardC. Akpom
J. Philogene
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderJ. Timber
P. Hincapie
MidfielderM. Merino
E. Eze
B. Guimaraes
M. Zubimendi
ForwardV. Gyokeres
N. Madueke
Missing players
J. Taylor
W. Saliba
Ipswich Town & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Ipswich’s striker Emersonn came off against Palace at the weekend and could be unavailable here. He could be replaced by Zian Flemming, who scored their winner against Palace. Flemming has already featured in the first two rounds, playing for Burnley!
Flemming could start as their sole striker in their 4-2-3-1 formation, while the energetic Julio Enciso and Daizen Maeda could be key for their attacking unit.
Enciso has two assists in his last four matches.
Ben White picked up a groin injury for Arsenal in the Sunderland game, which meant they had to rush Jurrien Timber back into action. The visitors are likely to make wholesale changes with the likes of Viktor Gyokeres, Mikel Merino, Martin Zubimendi, and Eberechi Eze, likely to start.
Mikel Arteta could also line up with Kepa as his ‘keeper in the 4-2-3-1 formation with Gyokeres as the sole striker. The Swede striker has one goal and assist each, to his name, in his last three matches in the EFL Cup.
Ipswich Town - Arsenal Key Points
- Six of Ipswich’s last seven matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Six of Arsenal’s last ten matches have seen three or more goals scored.
- Five of Ipswich’s last six home competitive matches have seen more than two goals scored.
- Arsenal won 4-0 at this venue when these sides last met in April 2025.
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Our Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal have shown the strength of their bench at the weekend when they were stretched by Sunderland. Nevertheless, the ‘Gunners’ have won all six games this season, starting from the FA Community Shield. Ipswich are also coming off a win last weekend, but the defeats to Manchester United and Liverpool underlined their struggles against bigger clubs.
The visitors could rotate their squad heavily and could still be very competitive against a combative Ipswich side. This match promises to be enterprising, and our Ipswich Town vs Arsenal prediction is over 2.5 goals.
Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Alternative Predictions
Bruno Guimaraes Over 0.5 Shots On Target
Will Bruno Guimaraes get a start? The Brazilian midfielder sparked life into Arsenal with his cameo against Sunderland, with his goal and performance proving to be the difference. He could start from the outset here and back him to be on the offensive and score at least one shot on target.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
