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Rugby World Cup 2023 Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free prediction on the winner of the Rugby World Cup 2023, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches of the Rugby World Cup in France. All of which presents you with lots of information for your sports betting!

Rugby World Cup 2023 Prediction

“Rugby

Are you a sports and betting enthusiast? Do you love betting on rugby union? Then get ready to predict the Rugby World Cup 2023! The tenth edition of the Rugby World Cup takes place in France this year from September 8th to October 28th.

From Villeneuve d'Ascq (Lille) to Marseille, via Saint-Denis, Décines (Lyon), Bordeaux and Nice, the best nations in the world will try to follow in the footsteps of South Africa, who won the title in 2019. Can France take their first title or England their second? Will the All-Blacks become champions again? Who to bet on? How to make good bets? We tell you everything here. Have a good read!

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South Africa Retain the World Cup

South African rugby player

South Africa joined New Zealand as the only country to retain the Rugby World Cup. The defending champions beat New Zealand 12-11 in a thrilling final to lift the trophy for a record fourth time. England beat Argentina to finish in third place. 

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Rugby World Cup Final

  • 28 October - New Zealand 11 South Africa 12

Rugby World Cup Final Third and Fourth Place Play-Off 

  • 27 October - Argentina 23 England 26

Rugby World Cup Semi Finals

  • 20 October – Argentina 6 New Zealand 44
  • 21 October - England 15 South Africa 16

Rugby World Cup Quarter Finals

  • 14 October - Wales 17 Argentina 29
  • 14 October - Ireland 24 New Zealand 28
  • 15 October - England 30 Fiji 24
  • 15 October – France 28 South Africa 29

Our prediction on the pools of the Rugby World Cup 2023

France are the favorites mainly because they will be playing on home soil. As well as betting on the eventual World Cup champion, note that you can also bet on who will qualify for the knockout phase after the group stage, and who will win the pool.

So what are the predictions for these Rugby World Cup pools? Which nations will take the top two places in each pool and make the quarter-finals? We reveal our predictions in the following lines.

Pool A - New Zealand - France - Italy - Uruguay - Namibia

Prediction Group A - Rugby World Cup 2023

Pool A includes two big favorites for the final victory with France and New Zealand. But make no mistake: nothing will be easy for either nation. Even if they seem superior on paper, France and the All Blacks will have to stay serious to beat Uruguay, who are still hanging on, and Italy that is constantly improving. Namibia, winners of the 2022 Africa Cup of Nations, will have to pull out all the stops to qualify. 

  • Our prediction on the qualification: France and New Zealand qualified for the quarter-finals.
  • Our prediction on the winner of pool A: France finishes top of the pool.

Results

  • 8 September - France 27 New Zealand 13
  • 9 September - Italy 52 Namibia 8
  • 14 September - France 27 Uruguay 12
  • 15 September - New Zealand 71 Namibia 3
  • 20 September - Italy 38 Uruguay 17
  • 21 September - France 96 Namibia 0
  • 27 September - Uruguay 36 Namibia 26
  • 29 September - New Zealand 96 Italy 17
  • 5 October - New Zealand 73 Uruguay 0
  • 6 October - France 60 Italy 7

Final Table

France 18, New Zealand 15, Italy 10, Uruguay 5, Nambia 0

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Pool B | South Africa - Ireland - Scotland - Tonga - Romania

Prediction Group B - Rugby World Cup 2023

With reigning World Champions South Africa and Ireland, Pool B of the Rugby World Cup both are fully expected to qualify for the next round. Scotland will be upset over receiving such a tough draw and will trouble the top two. Tonga and Romania will find it difficult to compete for qualification. The best prediction from Proup B is that the Springboks and the Irish team will qualify for the rest of the competition.

  • Our prediction on the qualification: Ireland and South Africa qualify for the quarter-finals.
  • Our prediction on the winner of pool B: Ireland qualifies at first place in the pool.

Results

  • 9 September - ireland 82 Romania 8
  • 10 September - South Africa 18 Scotland 3
  • 16 September - Ireland 59 Tonga 16
  • 17 September - South Africa 76 Romania 0
  • 23 September - ireland 13 South Africa 8
  • 24 September - Scotland 45 Tonga 17
  • 30 September - Scotland 84 Romania 0
  • 1 October - South Africa 49 Tonga 18
  • 7 October - Ireland 36 Scotland 14
  • 8 October - Tonga 45 Romania 24

Final table

Ireland 19, South Africa 15, Scotland 10, Tonga 5, Romania 0

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Pool C | Wales - Australia - Fiji - Georgia - Portugal

“Prediction

Wales didn't enjoy a successful Six Nations campaign but should still make it out of this pool. Australian are the undoubted favorites to top the pool. They are both much stronger than Fiji, Georgia and Portugal. The Portuguese side are making only their second appearance, Fiji have not made it out of the group stage for three editions and Georgia never having progressed beyond the group stage, Warren Gatland's and Eddie Jones' men have an open road to the quarter-finals.

  • Our prediction on the qualification: Australia and Wales qualify for the quarter-finals.
  • Our prediction on the winner of pool C : Australia qualifies at first place in the pool.

Results

  • 9 September - Australia 35 Georgia 15
  • 10 September - Wales 32 Fiji 26
  • 16 September - Wales 28 Portugal 8
  • 17 September - Australia 15 Fiji 22
  • 23 September - Georgia 18 Portugal 
  • 24 September - Wales 40 Australia 6
  • 30 September - Fjji 17 Georgia 12
  • 1 October - Australia 34 Portugal 14
  • 7 October - Wales 43 Georgia 19
  • 8 October - Fiji 23 Portugal 24

Final table

Wales 19, Fiji 11, Australia 11, Portugal 6, Georgia 3

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Pool D - England - Japan - Argentina - Samoa - Chile

Prediction Group D - Rugby World Cup 2023

In the fourth and final pool of the 2023 World Cup, England and Argentina are fully expected to go through to the next round. Although Japan did well on home soil in 2019, the Brave Blossoms are still below the level of England and Argentina at this World Cup in France. Samoa, led by the well-known Seilala Mapusua but still below the top teams, and Chile, qualified for their first World Cup, will be anything but a pleasure to watch. Argentina and England look far too strong.

  • Our prediction on the qualification: England and Argentina qualified for the quarter-finals.
  • Our prediction on the winner of pool D: England qualifies at first place in the pool.

Results

  • 9 September - England 27 Argentina 10
  • 10 September - Japan 42 Chile 12
  • 16 September - Samoa 43 Chile 10
  • 17 September - England 34 Japan 12
  • 22 September - Argentina 19 Samoa 10
  • 23 September - England 71 Chile 0
  • 28 September - Japan 28 Samoa 22
  • 30 September - Argentina 51 Chile 5
  • 7 October - England 18 Samoa 17
  • 8 October - Japan 27 Argentina 39

Final table

England 18, Argentina 14, Japan 9, Samoa 7, Chile 0

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The England team pool fixture list

As we've just informed you, England are in Pool D of the Rugby World Cup. They had an inconsistent time in the Six Nations this year and could only finish fourth. There's a lot of work for their new coach to do to get them into any kind of shape to get to the latter stages of this tournament with Wales or Australia likely quarter final opponents. Here's their fixture list for the pool games:

  • Day 4 England - Samoa (Saturday 7 October 2023 - 9pm)

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The Scotland team pool fixtures

Scotland finished third in the recent Six Nations tournament. They face a tough battle to finish in the top two of Pool C and make it into the knockout stages. If doing so, they'd likely face either France or New Zealand. Here are the pool matches they have to play:

  • Day 3 - Scotland - Romania (Saturday 30 September - 9pm)
  • Day 4 - Scotland - Ireland(Saturday 7 October 2023 - 9pm)

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The Wales team pool fixtures

Wales are in Pool B and should be able to make it into the knockout stages. If qualifying, either England or Argentina are likely to be played in the last eight. Wales finished fifth in the Six Nations and their only win was over Italy. Here are the pool matches they have to play:

  • Day 4 - Wales - Georgia (Saturday 7 October 2023 - 3pm)

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The Ireland team pool fixtures

Ireland are in Pool B and will be out to improve their disappointing Rugby World Cup record. They are yet to get past the quarter final stage but after their Grand Slam in the Six Nations will be hoping to do that in 2023. However, their quarter final opponents are likely to be either France or New Zealand. Here are the pool matches they have to play:

  • Day 4 - Ireland - Scotland (Saturday 7 October 2023 - 9pm)

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The South Africa team pool fixtures

South Africa are the defending champions and have been drawn in Pool B alongside Six Nations champions Ireland. The two sides met in Dublin last November with the Irish side winning by three points. They will most likely take on either France or New Zealand in the last eight. Here's their pool fixture list.

  • Day 4 - South Africa - Tonga (Sunday 1 October 2023 - 9pm)

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The Australia team Pool fixtures

Australia are in Pool C which also includes Wales. Current form is not great but they should make it into the last eight. Here's their pool fixture list.

  • Day 4 - Australia - Portugal (Sunday 1 October 2023 - 5.45pm)

You will be able to find plenty of odds and offers for these Rugby World Cup games. Keep an eye on what is available at various online bookmakers to avoid missing anything.

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Betting Beginners - How does the Rugby World Cup work?

“Rugby

The Rugby World Cup 2023 works in a very simple way. 20 rugby teams take part in the pool stage, which takes place between 8 September and 8 October 2023. 

The first stage of these finals see countries divided into four pools of five teams, in which each team plays its opponents once. A win earns four points, a draw two points and a loss no points. 

Bonus points can also be awarded if a team scores four tries or more (one offensive bonus point) or loses by seven points or less (one defensive bonus point).

At the end of the pool phase, the top two teams qualify for the quarter finals that will take place on 14 and 15 October 2023).

The schedule for the knockout phase is as follows 

  • Winner of Pool C - Runner-up of Pool D
  • Winner of Pool B - Runner-up of Pool A
  • Winner of Pool D - Runner-up of Pool C
  • Winner of Pool A - Runner-up of Pool B

This knockout phase (quarter-finals, semi-finals and final). A bronze medal match is also scheduled between the two losers of the semi-finals.

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How to make good predictions on a Rugby World Cup match?

Sports betting tips - Rugby World Cup

In order to make good predictions on the Rugby World Cup in France, several aspects of the match need to be analyzed. Here are the main ones, worked on daily by SportyTrader's rugby specialists: 

  • Consult the list of absent players
  • Taking into account the latest results
  • Knowing the strengths and weaknesses of the nations
  • Determine what is at stake in the match
  • Take into account the psychological advantage

With these five betting tips, you should be able to guess more easily the kind of match to expect in this Rugby World Cup 2023. And therefore, increase your winning rate at your online bookmaker.

For more explanation on each of these best practices, read on.

Consult the list of absent players

In order to make the best predictions for the Rugby World Cup, you must consult the list of absent players. Given that 15-a-side rugby is a physical sport and can take its toll, it is not uncommon for a player to be unavailable through injury (or even suspension).

If he is important for a selection, it is possible that the team will be affected and that the expected result will not be achieved. To avoid errors, consult the list of absent players. You can find them on each analysis of our rugby forecasters. It’s a long tournament so a lot of team changes will take place. This can be when the stronger sides face the weaker ones or if a team has already qualified or been eliminated.

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Take into account the latest results

Another good and obvious habit is to check the current form of both teams. This means looking at the latest results, both in terms of the scoreline and the way they are playing. 

For example, you need to know whether a team is still winning or losing, whether they have scored many tries, how many they have converted and how many penalties they have conceded or won. You can also look at the number of potential offensive and defensive bonuses they have received, which will help you to see the form of each team in both areas.

Know the strengths and weaknesses of the nations

In order to bet well on the 2023 Rugby World Cup, you also need to know the strengths and weaknesses of the teams. For example, look at their ability to score tries in recent matches and to outscore opposing defenses. Also look at the success rate in terms of kicking (drops, conversions), and the ability to get the ball out of the scrum. The All Blacks, the Springboks, Wales, Ireland, England or France will never have the same strengths.

If you are not familiar with the sport of rugby, you should know that our forecasters already take these strengths and weaknesses into account when writing their analyses. So you won't have any more excuses before you go to your sports betting site.

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Determining the stakes of the match

To predict the outcome of a match, or at least get a very good understanding of what may happen, you need to know what is at stake. A match in which only one team has something to win or lose will not be the same as a match in which both nations have something at stake.

Does a team have to win to qualify? Do they have to score points and get an attacking bonus? Is one of the two nations already unable to qualify? Has a team already qualified? All these questions need to be answered before predicting the outcome of a match, as the Stade de France final is not the same context as a pool stage match. They will help you to avoid falling into the trap of lack of motivation on both sides.

Consider the psychological advantage

Finally, it is also useful to know which team has the psychological advantage over the other. In other words, which team starts the match by putting pressure on the other? To find out, first look at the results of the last head-to-head meetings between the two teams.

Does one nation have a five-game losing streak against its opponent? Unless they've made big improvements, another loss is likely. To be successful in betting on a Rugby World Cup match, you should always know which team has the mental edge. This is always important in this sport.

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What not to do for your rugby predictions

Rugby World Cup 2023 statistics

By following the advice given in the previous lines, you should improve your success rate on the Rugby World Cup. In addition, be sure to avoid these practices: 

  • Betting without analysing the match
  • Focusing on a team's reputation
  • Betting on the lowest odds without reason
  • Betting on a match with no stakes
  • Trying to make up for a lost bet
  • Multiplying combined bets with small odds
  • Taking advantage of boosted odds without studying the match
  • Betting too much on your favourite team

Rugby is not necessarily the most followed sport for beginner bettors, so really avoid falling into any of these eight traps. Every four years, many players are fooled at the Rugby World Cup.

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Rugby World Cup statistics for your sports betting

To predict the 2023 Rugby World Cup like an expert, you also need to know the important statistics of the tournament.

To help you bet better, here are the key figures of the last Rugby World Cup. They will help you to make better predictions, especially on alternative bets.

  • Average points: 47.7 points
  • Average tries scored: 6.4 tries per game
  • Most points in first half: 42% of games
  • More points in the second half: 58% of games
  • Same number of points in both halves: 0% of games
  • Team wins at half-time and at the end of the game: 89% of games
  • Team wins at half-time but loses the game: 11% of games
  • Wins by 1 to 5 points: 13% of games
  • Victories by 6 to 15 points: 13% of games
  • Victories by 16 to 30 points: 40% of games
  • Victories by 31 to 45 points: 20% of the matches
  • Victories by 46 to 60 points: 7% of matches
  • Victories by 61 points or more: 7% of games
  • No offensive bonus obtained: 24% of games
  • Offensive bonus obtained by one team: 76% of the games
  • Offensive bonus obtained by both teams: 0% of the games
  • No defensive bonus obtained: 82% of the games
  • Defensive bonus obtained by one team: 18% of the games

Through these numerous statistics from the last Rugby World Cup, we can see that several alternative bets will be interesting to play on the online bookmakers' sites.

For example, the nice odds of handicap bets should not be underestimated, as well as the +5.5 tries in the match. Predictions often highlighted by our team of rugby predictors.

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In short: how to correctly predict the Rugby World Cup 2023?

Long awaited by rugby fans, the 2023 World Cup is an opportunity to make some bets on online sports betting sites.

To succeed, follow the advice of our experts, keep the important statistics in mind and always take the time to analyze the matches. This will help you in your prediction competitions in the company, with friends, and on your favorite bookmakers. All that's left is to wish you the best of luck during the tournament!

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Our current free Rugby World Cup predictions

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Rugby World Cup: the best betting odds

Odds are not yet available for this competition.

Want to follow a World Cup match live? Check our Rugby World Cup Livescores and find all the important information. For your bets at the bookmakers, also find the Rugby World Cup odds on our comparator. Finally, if you are interested in rugby union beyond the World Cup, don't hesitate to consult our Rugby Prediction page with all the major matches and championships.

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Rugby World Cup 2023 : Frequently Asked Questions

The favorites for the Rugby World Cup are France, Ireland and New Zealand. All three nations are favored by the bookmakers.

It is still too early to announce the winner of the Rugby World Cup, but the French team is the favorite to win the title. Ireland and New Zealand are also expected to make strong challenges.

The teams qualified for the 2023 Rugby World Cup are France, Ireland, England, Wales, Scotland, Italy, Georgia, Romania, Portugal, Uruguay, New Zealand, Australia, Tonga, Fiji, Samoa, Japan, Argentina, Chile, South Africa and Namibia.

To bet on today's Rugby World Cup matches, all you have to do is go to a licensed sports betting site. Bet365 is one of the best rugby betting sites.

The 2023 Rugby World Cup ticketing service has already opened in January 2023. To get tickets, you can still use the official resale section of the competition.

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