Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan and Inter Milan are well in the Italian Serie A title race ahead of the first Derby della Madonnina. We don’t expect this to be any different from the tough battles these rivals engage in. However, the fact that the two are separated by just two points elevates the importance of this game. Inter Milan enters the weekend leading the standings, but AC Milan could end it at the top with a win. Read on for our prediction of this match, the 245th Milan derby.
Inter will play as the home team here, though as both share the Giuseppe Meazza, home comforts are somewhat negated. Home or away, the past results in this fixture have shown it doesn’t really matter.
What will matter to AC Milan will be keeping their unbeaten run against Inter Milan going. They haven't lost to Inter in the last five matches, and in that run, they recorded three wins. This match marks the fifth meeting between the Milan giants in 2025 alone.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.45 | 4.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs AC Milan match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2025 between Inter Milan and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.17% for a win of Inter Milan against AC Milan with odds of 2 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs AC Milan is 26.12% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.71% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Inter Milan with odds of 4.24 at 888Starz.
Inter Milan vs AC Milan Form
Inter Milan and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 14 |
|
3
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
Inter Milan and AC Milan Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
10 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Sept 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Inter Milan vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
6 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup
22 Sept 2024 - Serie A
22 Apr 2024 - Serie A
Inter Milan - AC Milan: Form Analysis
Riding a three-match winning streak in Serie A, Inter Milan are at the top of the league standings. However, leading their rivals by two points and being tied with AS Roma, they can’t afford not to look over their shoulder.
They need to create a buffer, and this will be a great chance not just for that but also to send a statement in the title race. Last season, Inter suffered in this fixture.
They lost four points to their archrivals, eventually contributing to them missing the title. AC Milan was also responsible for Inter ending empty-handed in at least two more competitions.
Revenge will thus be part of Inter’s package; four straight wins coming here is a good warmup.
AC Milan are unbeaten in five matches against Inter Milan, winning three.
AC Milan have also packed up well for this fixture, having not lost a single game since falling to Cremonese on matchday one. The Rossoneri have also tasted a few weeks at the league summit, only to be let down by a few draws as inconsistency and pressure hit.
Three draws in their last five league matches is a run Milan will want to forget fast. The fact that they are not playing in Europe this season should lift them, and the mission here is to go six unbeaten against Inter.
Milan are aware Inter have struggled against teams in the title race and will want to put in their own marker. That, however, will not happen in the manner they capitulated against Parma, losing a 2-0 lead to draw 2-2.
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
R. Di Gennaro
DefenderT. Palacios
D. Dumfries
MidfielderH. Mkhitaryan
L. Torriani
ForwardC. Balentien
S. Gimenez
Inter Milan & AC Milan Squad Analysis
If there is an area Inter Milan have prevailed in this season, it has to be their attack. In their last starting team, only two outfield players hadn’t scored this season—Francesco Acerbi and Manuel Akanji.
Also, among the scorers, only Denzel Dumfries had less than three goal contributions.
This match will be another showing of attacking might, with Ange Bonny and skipper Lautaro Martinez standing out for Inter. The two have a combined 13 goals and assists.
Hakan Calhanoglu is also worth mentioning, as he comes in as their leading scorer, with five goals and an assist.
Marcus Thuram is back from injury and could feature in this match.
For Milan to get through this hurdle, they must come into the game with a sound defensive plan. With only one clean sheet in their last five league matches, Milan don’t look like they’d get it right here.
An alternative strategy would be to go all out and match Inter Milan. All in all, there will be special focus on skipper Mike Maignan in goal.
There are concerns about the Frenchman’s future, and maybe this has contributed to his performances this season. He has only three clean sheets in the 10 Serie A matches he featured in.
Still, nothing can be taken off his contribution, with a save percentage of 71%, among them a penalty.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
AC Milan
L. Martinez
(8 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(4 Goals)
, 
R. Leao
(4 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(4 Assists)
,
A. Bastoni
(4 Assists)
, 
A. Bonny
(4 Assists)
C. Pulisic
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Modric
(2 Assists)
Inter Milan and AC Milan Stats in Serie A
Inter Milan - AC Milan Key Points
- Both teams scored in three of Inter Milan’s last five matches.
- In three of Inter’s last five home league games, both sides scored.
- Milan scored but also conceded in their last two away matches.
- Six of the last seven meetings between these teams had both scores.
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Our Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction
While Inter Milan have been superb in attack, too much focus on the forwards has somewhat affected them defensively. They have, on average, conceded more than a goal per game.
AC Milan, who have been a bit reserved in attack, will be aware of this weakness in their opponent and want to make the most of it. The Rossoneri haven't been at their best defensively either, so we could see goals on either end. Our prediction for Inter Milan v AC Milan is BTTS.
Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
AC Milan to win
Two times in AC Milan’s last three wins in this fixture, Inter Milan were the designated home team. Milan will be looking to push for the same outcome here, as they have the mental edge, being unbeaten in five meetings with Inter.
The hosts have suffered this season when facing title-chasing sides, with losses to Napoli and Juventus. Milan will be keen on squeezing themselves in there as well. Our second prediction here is for AC Milan to win.
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Inter Milan v AC Milan match will be played on Sunday, 23 November.
The Inter Milan v AC Milan match will be played at the San Siro Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
