Iceland vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro Handball

Europe - Euro Handball

Iceland
25/01/2026 12:00
Sweden

Prediction :

 

Sweden wins on a -1.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Euro Handball Predictions

This is a vital match in Group II of the Main Round in the Men's European Handball Championships. Sweden are top of the group, two points clear of second-placed Iceland. Can Iceland beat the group leaders? Read our match prediction below.

The top two in this group progress into the semi-finals. Sweden have been European champions five times, most recently in 2022. They finished third in the last European Championships held two years ago.

Sweden won Preliminary Round Group E with three wins over the Netherlands, Georgia and Croatia.

Two points were carried forward into this Main Group. They doubled that total by coming from behind to beat Slovenia (currently third) 35-31. After this match, Sweden take on Hungary and Switzerland, currently the bottom two sides in the group.

Iceland have only achieved one top ten finish in the last five European Championships.  2010 is the last time Iceland made it to the Euro semi-finals. They ended last year's World Championships in ninth place.

The Preliminary Round saw Iceland win Group F. They beat Italy and Poland before gaining a narrow one-goal win over Hungary to win the group and take two points into the Main Round. Last time out they were beaten 30-29 by Croatia.

We tip Sweden to win on a -1.5 handicap.

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Iceland v Sweden Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
3.75 9.8 1.4
Betwinner
3.75 9.8 1.4
Roobet
4 9.2 1.37
BC Game
4 9.2 1.37
888Starz
3.75 9.8 1.4

Iceland vs Sweden Form

Iceland and Sweden's standings in the Euro Handball

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Iceland
7 5 3 1 1 +16
3 Sweden
7 5 3 1 1 +17

Iceland and Sweden Last Matches

Iceland
Iceland Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

23 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Iceland
29 :  30
Croatia

20 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Hungary
23 :  24
Iceland

18 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Poland
23 :  31
Iceland

16 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Iceland
39 :  26
Italy

2 Nov 2025 - Int. Friendly Games

Germany
29 :  31
Iceland

30 Oct 2025 - Int. Friendly Games

Germany
42 :  31
Iceland
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

23 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Iceland
29 :  30
Croatia

16 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Iceland
39 :  26
Italy

26 Jan 2025 - Handball World Championship

Iceland
30 :  21
Argentina

18 Jan 2025 - Handball World Championship

Iceland
40 :  19
Cuba

16 Jan 2025 - Handball World Championship

Iceland
34 :  21
Cape Verde

16 Jan 2024 - Euro Handball

Iceland
25 :  33
Hungary
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

20 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Hungary
23 :  24
Iceland

18 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Poland
23 :  31
Iceland

2 Nov 2025 - Int. Friendly Games

Germany
29 :  31
Iceland

30 Oct 2025 - Int. Friendly Games

Germany
42 :  31
Iceland

24 Jan 2025 - Handball World Championship

Croatia
32 :  26
Iceland

22 Jan 2025 - Handball World Championship

Egypt
24 :  27
Iceland
Sweden
Sweden Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

23 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Slovenia
31 :  35
Sweden

21 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Sweden
33 :  25
Croatia

19 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Georgia
29 :  38
Sweden

17 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Sweden
36 :  31
Netherlands

7 Jan 2026 - Int. Friendly Games

Sweden
33 :  24
Brazil

5 Jan 2026 - Int. Friendly Games

Sweden
34 :  27
Brazil
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

21 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Sweden
33 :  25
Croatia

17 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Sweden
36 :  31
Netherlands

7 Jan 2026 - Int. Friendly Games

Sweden
33 :  24
Brazil

5 Jan 2026 - Int. Friendly Games

Sweden
34 :  27
Brazil

1 Nov 2025 - Int. Friendly Games

Sweden
34 :  31
Spain

30 Oct 2025 - Int. Friendly Games

Sweden
30 :  34
Spain
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

23 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Slovenia
31 :  35
Sweden

19 Jan 2026 - Euro Handball

Georgia
29 :  38
Sweden

26 Jan 2025 - Handball World Championship

Norway
29 :  24
Sweden

18 Jan 2025 - Handball World Championship

Chile
30 :  42
Sweden

7 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympics Handball

Denmark
32 :  31
Sweden

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympics Handball

Croatia
27 :  38
Sweden

Iceland vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Iceland

0 %

Draw

0 %

Sweden

100 %

20 Jan 2023 - Handball World Championship

Iceland
30 :  35
Sweden

22 Jan 2020 - Euro Handball

Iceland
25 :  32
Sweden
Iceland vs Sweden Prediction

Players list

Iceland
Iceland
E. Vidarsson O. Magnusson T. Einarsson H. Thrastarson O. Thorkelsson E. Olafsson T. Gunnarsson A. Runarsson V. Kristjansson Y. Gislason A. Arnarsson B. Elisson O. Rikhardsson G. Kristjansson J. Smarason

V. Hallgrimsson

B. Gustavsson

Sweden
Sweden
E. Johansson L. Sandell F. Moller A. Mansson F. Montebovi H. Wanne J. Gottfridsson M. Darj F. Claar D. Pettersson O. Bergendahl A. Lagergren S. Karlsson J. Carlsbogard N. Roganovic

A. Palicka

F. Norsten

M. Appelgren

Iceland - Sweden Key Points

  1. Sweden have won all four of their matches in these championships and are attempting to win an eighth straight match.
  2. Iceland lost their last game against Croatia and trail Sweden by two points.
  3. Sweden are unbeaten in their last five games against Iceland with four wins and a draw.
  4. Each of their last four wins against Iceland were by at least two goals.
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Our Iceland vs Sweden Prediction

Sweden can qualify for the semi-finals with a victory over Iceland. They are already two points clear at the top of the group with just a couple of matches left to play. All four of their matches in these 2026 European Championships have been won.

Iceland won all three of their pool games but saw their semi-final qualification hopes hit by a loss to Croatia. They have a poor record against the Swedes last beating them seven years ago. Our Iceland v Sweden prediction is Sweden wins on a -1.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Sweden wins on a -1.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.