International - East Asian Championship
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by Sridhar in Football Predictions
Matchday two of the EAFF E-1 Football Championship will see joint leaders South Korea take on bottom-placed Hong Kong on Friday. This match at the Yongin Mireu-Stadion in Yongin will see the Taegeuk Warriors start as heavy favorites against Hong Kong with our prediction of a -2 European handicap for Korea.
After a 6-1 defeat to Japan, Hong Kong are at the bottom of the standings with a goal difference of -5 and no points. Korea are second after a 3-0 win over China, with only goal difference keeping them away from leaders Japan.
Hong Kong lost the match within the first 30 minutes against Japan as they conceded five by the 26th minute. They did pull one back in the 59th minute, but it was just a consolation.
The result further underlined their problems when facing top teams, as can be seen from Hong Kong's recent results against similar teams like Iran and Uzbekistan.
Korea cruised to a 3-0 win over China in their first match, with two goals coming within the first 21 minutes. That result keeps them unbeaten since February 2024 (W10, D5), including three consecutive victories.
The last three wins have come with a clean sheet and with Korea scoring nine goals, so another big victory could be on the cards.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hong Kong v Korea Republic Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23 | 9.5 | 1.08 |
|
|
11 | 7 | 1.18 |
|
|
19 | 13 | 1.04 |
|
|
34 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
14 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hong Kong and Korea Republic?
Our prediction for the Hong Kong vs Korea Republic match is: Korea Republic -2 European Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/07/2025 between Hong Kong and Korea Republic in East Asian Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.69% for a win of Hong Kong against Korea Republic with odds of 46 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hong Kong vs Korea Republic is 15.9% with odds of 18.5 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Korea Republic vs Hong Kong with odds of 1.2 at Vbet.
Hong Kong - Korea Republic Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hong Kong Korea Republic Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic wins | 61.41% | 1.2 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.65% | 1.83 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | 3.5 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time: Korea Republic/Korea Republic | 25.61% | 1.25 at Ladbrokes |
Hong Kong vs Korea Republic Form
Hong Kong and Korea Republic's standings in the East Asian Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 |
Hong Kong and Korea Republic Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
10 Jun 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
19 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
25 Mar 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
10 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Hong Kong - Korea Republic Key Points
- Korea won their last three matches without conceding a goal and aggregating nine goals.
- In four of their last eight matches, Korea scored three or more goals.
- Hong Kong lost 6-1 to Japan in the first match of the competition.
- In the World Cup and Asian Qualifiers, Hong Kong lost four matches to Iran and Uzbekistan by a combined aggregate of 13-2.
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Our Hong Kong vs Korea Republic Prediction
South Korea have never lost to Hong Kong and won the last 12 such matches, but the latest fixture between these sides dates back to 2022. Korea's impressive recent run of three consecutive wins with clean sheets suggests they may fancy another go at a shutdown. Hong Kong were thrashed 6-1 by Japan in their first match of this competition, and the result only amplified the gulf in class between Hong Kong and the top sides.
Hong Kong could be staring at another big defeat, and our Hong Kong vs Korea Republic prediction is Korea Republic -2 European Handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hong Kong Korea Republic
| Hong Kong vs Korea Republic | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong wins | 61 | 23 | -62.3% |
| Draw | 21 | 9.5 | -54.8% |
| Korea Republic wins | 1.02 | 1.08 | +5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Korea Republic is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 98.0% and is now 92.6% (-5.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Hong Kong vs. Korea Republic game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Hong Kong and Korea Republic? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's East Asian Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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