Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Bundesliga Predictions
An interesting battle for European qualification will be played out on matchday 18 in the Bundesliga on Saturday as Hoffenheim play host to Bayer Leverkusen. This match in Sinsheim between the fifth-placed Kraichgauers and the sixth-placed ‘Black and Reds’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Hoffenheim’s 30 points from 16 matches (W9, D3, L4) see them start this round two points behind the top four. Leverkusen have 29 points (W9, D2, L5) and are just a point behind their hosts, while starting this round three points above seventh.
A 5-1 home win over Monchengladbach on Wednesday continued Hoffenheim’s upswing, marking their seventh win across their last ten Bundesliga matches (D2, L1). The only defeat in this period came against Dortmund and underlined their growing strength.
Core to Hoffenheim’s rise is their improved home form, as Hoffenheim have won their last five league matches in a row, each time scoring 3+ goals.
Leverkusen’s midweek game against Hamburg was postponed, which meant they came into this fixture with three defeats in their last five league games. This run has erased their hold over a top-four push.
Their away form has oscillated in recent times, which could be a concern for Leverkusen, as they alternated between wins and losses in their last five league trips (W3, L2) after a 3-1 win at Leipzig before Christmas.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.8 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.85 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.8 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.7 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.9 | 2.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Hoffenheim wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.57% for a win of Hoffenheim against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.43 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen is 10.03% with odds of 3.92 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim with odds of 2.95 at Shangrila.
Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 48.4% | 2.95 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.73% | |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
| Half-time : Hoffenheim / Full-time : Bayer Leverkusen | 20.34% | 23 at Bet365 |
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +13 |
|
6
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +10 |
Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderK. Akpoguma
V. Gendrey
A. Chaves
MidfielderB. Toure
G. Promel
M. Damar
ForwardI. Bebou
M. Moerstedt
J. Blaswich
N. Lomb
DefenderL. Bade
L. Vazquez
MidfielderJ. Hofmann
ForwardM. Culbreath
A. Sarco
E. Poku
Missing players
K. Machida
MidfielderC. Campbell
ForwardA. Hlozek
E. Tapsoba
ForwardE. Ben Seghir
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
T. Lemperle
(6 Goals)
, 
F. Asllani
(6 Goals)
, 
A. Kramaric
(6 Goals)
P. Schick
(6 Goals)
B. Toure
(4 Assists)
A. Garcia
(4 Assists)
Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen Stats in Bundesliga
Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Hoffenheim won seven of their last ten Bundesliga matches.
- At home, Hoffenheim won their last five league fixtures.
- Leverkusen lost three of their last five league games.
- Leverkusen were beaten in two of their four recent league trips.
- Hoffenheim won the reverse fixture 2-1 when the sides met in August.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
Only one point separates Hoffenheim and Leverkusen ahead of this round, but they are in contrasting runs of form. Hoffenheim were beaten just once in their last ten league games, while winning each of their last five league fixtures at home. While their form is on the rise, Leverkusen have struggled to hold their own and have been beaten in three of their five recent Bundesliga games which included two on the road.
With Leverkusen not so confident on their recent travels, Hoffenheim could end up surprising them, so Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is Hoffenheim wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
