Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Augsburg and Freiburg meet in an interesting matchday 18 in the Bundesliga on Sunday, which could throw a surprise result. This match in Augsburg between the 15th-placed Fuggerstadter and the eighth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer comes with our prediction of a home win.
With 15 points from 17 matches (W4, D3, L10), Augsburg start this weekend three points above the relegation zone. Freiburg have 23 points from 17 games (W6, D5, L6) and are round six points outside the top six places.
Augsburg held Union Berlin to a 1-1 home draw in the midweek but remained winless in four league matches (D2, L2). That match saw them score a first goal in four matches, and they will now hope to build on the result.
It has been a different story at home, as Augsburg are unbeaten in their last four league matches played here (W2, D2), which included three clean sheets for the hosts.
Freiburg lost 2-0 away at Leipzig during the week to halt a two-game winning run prior. The visitors are still fighting for European qualification and will look for an immediate bounce back.
It’s their away form that needs to change, as Freiburg were beaten in three of their last four away Bundesliga matches (W1). In fact, they won only once across their last seven league trips (D2, L4).
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Augsburg v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.56 | 3.26 | 2.81 |
|
|
2.67 | 3.19 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.2 | 2.72 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Augsburg and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Augsburg vs Freiburg match is: Augsburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Augsburg and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.94% for a win of Augsburg against Freiburg with odds of 2.71 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Augsburg vs Freiburg is 24.67% with odds of 3.37 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Augsburg with odds of 2.86 at 888Starz.
Augsburg - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Augsburg Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 39.39% | 2.86 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 59.24% | 2.45 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 17.99% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Augsburg vs Freiburg Form
Augsburg and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
|
9
|
43 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 |
Augsburg and Freiburg Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
Augsburg vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
Augsburg against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
N. Labrovic
DefenderM. Pedersen
C. Zesiger
E. Rexhbecaj
A. Kade
M. Wolf
M. Komur
ForwardS. Essende
R. Ribeiro
F. Muller
DefenderM. Rosenfelder
C. Gunter
MidfielderN. Hofler
Y. Suzuki
J. Beste
P. Osterhage
J. Adamu
D. Scherhant
Missing players
J. Gouweleeuw
C. Matsima
P. Lienhart
MidfielderD. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Augsburg
Freiburg
F. Rieder
(6 Goals)
, 
A. Kade
(6 Goals)
, 
M. Gregoritsch
(6 Goals)
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
D. Giannoulis
(5 Assists)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
,
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
,
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
Augsburg - Freiburg Key Points
- Augsburg won two of their last four home league games.
- Augsburg kept three clean sheets in their last four home matches in the Bundesliga.
- Freiburg were beaten in three of their last four away league matches.
- Augsburg won 3-1 when the sides last met in August.
- Freiburg failed to score in four of their last seven away league matches.
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Our Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction
Augsburg and Freiburg come into this round of fixtures with a lot riding on the result. The hosts are only just above the relegation zone, while Freiburg are within touching distance of the European qualification places. Augsburg are a strong force at home in recent weeks with an unbeaten four game run in the Bundesliga that included three clean sheets. Freiburg may have to pull their socks up to change that narrative, as they lost three of their four recent league trips.
This game could surprise all, and our Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction is Augsburg wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Augsburg Freiburg
| Augsburg vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Augsburg wins | 2.95 | 2.71 | -8.1% |
| Draw | 3.54 | 3.37 | -4.8% |
| Freiburg wins | 2.54 | 2.86 | +12.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.4% and is now 35.0% (-4.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
