Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Hamburg
17/01/2026 09:30
Mönchengladbach

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Hamburg and Monchengladbach will look to get three crucial points in their corner when the teams meet in matchday 18 of the Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday in Hamburg between the 14th-placed 'Red Shorts' and the 10th-placed Foals comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.

With 16 points from 16 games (W4, D4, L8), Hamburg are four points above the relegation zone. Monchengladbach's 19 points from 17 games (W5, D4, L8) put them three points above their hosts, and they are looking to move up the ladder.

Hamburg's midweek game against Leverkusen was postponed, which meant they come here with two defeats in their last three Bundesliga fixtures (D1). They are still in control of their own destiny in terms of seasonal safety.

A lot of it could depend on their home form, as Hamburg have won four of their last seven league matches here, drawing two, and losing just once.

Gladbach were beaten 5-1 away at Hoffenheim in their midweek game, which was their third loss across their last four Bundesliga matches (W1). This sequence has erased the positives of four wins in five league games (D1) immediately prior.

Their away form has seen consecutive league defeats, although three wins on the trot before that suggest Monchengladbach are a tough opponent on the road for any opponent.

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Hamburg v Mönchengladbach Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.49 3.5 2.9
Melbet
2.44 3.38 2.87
Betwinner
2.4 3.4 2.92
Bet365
2.4 3.5 2.8
Roobet
2.4 3.4 2.84
Check all Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Mönchengladbach?

Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2026 between Hamburg and Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.23% for a win of Hamburg against Mönchengladbach with odds of 2.5 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach is 23.92% with odds of 3.53 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Mönchengladbach vs Hamburg with odds of 3.03 at 888Starz.

Hamburg - Mönchengladbach Prediction and Best Odds:

Hamburg Mönchengladbach Prediction Probability Odds
Hamburg wins 41.23% 2.5 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 60.22% 1.9 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Hamburg 15.71% 6.25 at LSbet

Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach Form

Hamburg and Mönchengladbach's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12 Mönchengladbach
38 34 9 11 14 -11
13 Hamburg
38 34 9 11 14 -14

Hamburg and Mönchengladbach Last Matches

Hamburg
Hamburg Last matches
W D W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Hamburg

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
4 :  1
Hamburg

7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Werder Bremen

3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Hamburg
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Stuttgart
D W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Werder Bremen

3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Hamburg
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Stuttgart

12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
6 :  3
Groningen

8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Borussia Dortmund
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Hamburg

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
4 :  1
Hamburg

22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  0
Hamburg

2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Köln
4 :  1
Hamburg

28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal

Heidenheim
0 :  1
Hamburg

18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Hamburg
Mönchengladbach
Mönchengladbach Last matches
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
5 :  1
Mönchengladbach

11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
4 :  0
Augsburg

19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Mönchengladbach

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
Wolfsburg

5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Mönchengladbach

2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
St. Pauli
W W D L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
4 :  0
Augsburg

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
Wolfsburg

2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal

Mönchengladbach
1 :  2
St. Pauli

28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Leipzig

13 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Mönchengladbach
1 :  0
Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring

8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  1
Köln
L W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
5 :  1
Mönchengladbach

19 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Mönchengladbach

5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Mönchengladbach

22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  3
Mönchengladbach

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  4
Mönchengladbach

17 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Hamburg

0 %

Draw

33 %

Mönchengladbach

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Hamburg

15 Dec 2017 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
3 :  1
Hamburg

1 Mar 2017 - DFB Pokal

Hamburg
1 :  2
Mönchengladbach

Hamburg against Mönchengladbach Lineups: Starting 11

Hamburg

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
D. Fernandes
24
N. Capaldo
44
L. Vuskovic
25
J. Torunarigha
18
B. Jatta
20
F. Vieira
21
N. Remberg
28
M. Muheim
19
D. Downs
11
R. Konigsdorffer
7
J. Dompe
15
H. Tabakovic
10
F. Neuhaus
9
F. Honorat
20
L. Netz
6
Y. Engelhardt
27
R. Reitz
29
J. Scally
4
K. Diks
30
N. Elvedi
16
P. Sander
33
M. Nicolas

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Mönchengladbach

Substitutes

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

H. Hermann

Defender

G. Gocholeishvili

N. Capaldo 67'

W. Mikelbrencis

G. Ramos

B. Jatta 85'

Midfielder

I. Pherai

Forward

R. Philippe

R. Konigsdorffer 67'

O. Megeed

A. Rossing Lelesiit

J. Dompe 79'

R. Glatzel

D. Downs 80'

Mönchengladbach
Mönchengladbach
Goalkeeper

J. Omlin

Defender

J. Castrop

F. Honorat 69'

K. Takai

K. Diks 88'

L. Ullrich

Midfielder

K. Stoger

W. Mohya

G. Reyna

F. Neuhaus 70'

Forward

S. Machino

H. Tabakovic 90'

G. Ranos

Missing players

Hamburg
Hamburg
Defender

D. Elfadli

W. Omari

Midfielder

A. Gronbaek

Forward

Y. Poulsen

Mönchengladbach
Mönchengladbach
Midfielder

R. Hack

N. Ngoumou

Forward

T. Kleindienst

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Hamburg
CD Huachipato Mönchengladbach
Top Goalscorer
Portugal F. Vieira (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Bosnia and Herzegovina H. Tabakovic (13 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Vieira (5 Assists)
Best assists
France F. Honorat (6 Assists)

Hamburg - Mönchengladbach Key Points

  1. Four of Hamburg’s last five league matches saw over 2.5 goals scored.
  2. In three of Monchengladbach’s last four Bundesliga games, there have been at least four goals scored.
  3. Four of Monchengladbach’s last six away league trips saw three or more goals scored.
  4. Monchengladbach’s league games produced 3.06 goals per match in this campaign.
  5. Hamburg’s matches this season saw an average of 2.75 total goals per game.
  6. Four of the last five league games between Hamburg and Monchengladbach saw BTTS and over 2.5.
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Our Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach Prediction

Just three points separate Hamburg and Monchengladbach with the hosts only marginally above the relegation zone, while the visitors are looking to get back on track. Hamburg lost two of their three recent league games, but their home form in recent weeks has been impressive. Two wins out of their last three home matches make them a tough team to face, while Gladbach come here with three defeats in their last four league games.

This game is tough to predict on the win count but could be exciting, and our Hamburg vs Monchengladbach prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Mönchengladbach

Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Hamburg wins 2.3 2.5 +8.7%
Draw 3.6 3.53 -1.9%
Mönchengladbach wins 2.7 3.03 +12.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Hamburg is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 40.0% (-3.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Hamburg vs Mönchengladbach Prediction