France - Ligue 2
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
It’s the first competitive fixture between Guingamp and Montpellier since April 2019, when they meet in matchday five of the 2025-26 Ligue 2 season. This match at Stade du Roudourou on Monday between the 16th-placed Les Guingampais and the 11th-placed ‘La Paillade’ comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Four points (W1, D1, L2) before this fixture put Guingamp in the relegation play-off spot, and even a point here could lift them out of the bottom three places. Montpellier have just one point more (W1, D2, L1), and a win here could lift them into the top five spots.
A 3-1 away win at Bastia was Guingamp’s first victory of the league campaign, which came before the international break. It was a relief of sorts too, as they failed to score in two consecutive games before. The hosts have the worst defensive record of the league campaign (nine conceded) and are still looking for their first home win of this season.
Montpellier drew 1-1 at home against Amiens before the break, continuing their impressive defensive rate this season. The visitors are yet to keep a clean sheet in this campaign but have conceded exactly once in all four matches. Their scoring rate hasn’t been top of the charts either (an average of one goal per game), which could be a concern.
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The Best Betting Odds for Guingamp v Montpellier Hsc Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.2 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.45 | 2.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guingamp and Montpellier Hsc?
Our prediction for the Guingamp vs Montpellier Hsc match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2025 between Guingamp and Montpellier Hsc in Ligue 2 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.48% for a win of Guingamp against Montpellier Hsc with odds of 2.48 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guingamp vs Montpellier Hsc is 29.95% with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Montpellier Hsc vs Guingamp with odds of 2.9 at BC Game.
Guingamp vs Montpellier Hsc Form
Guingamp and Montpellier Hsc's standings in the Ligue 2
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
|
16
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Guingamp and Montpellier Hsc Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
9 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
9 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
14 May 2025 - Ligue 1
10 May 2025 - Ligue 2
18 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
7 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
18 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
9 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
9 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
18 Aug 2025 - Ligue 2
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
Guingamp vs Montpellier Hsc Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Apr 2019 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2018 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2018 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2017 - Coupe de la Ligue
4 Mar 2017 - Ligue 1
10 Sep 2016 - Ligue 1
Missing players
S. Nair
ForwardA. Sagna
K. Fayad
Most goals and assists
Guingamp
Montpellier Hsc
L. Mafouta
(2 Goals)
T. Coulibaly
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Ndiaye
(1 Goals)
,
T. Savanier
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Omeragic
(1 Goals)
Guingamp - Montpellier Hsc Key Points
- Three of Montpellier’s last four Ligue 2 matches this season produced under 2.5 goals.
- Montpellier have the joint-second best defensive record in this league campaign, conceding only four.
- The visitors also have one of the worst scoring records (four) in this league campaign.
- Guingamp failed to score in two of their last three league matches this season.
- This is the first league match between Guingamp and Montpellier since the 2018-19 campaign in Ligue 1.
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Our Guingamp vs Montpellier Hsc Prediction
Montpellier are back in Ligue 2 after 16 years in Ligue 1, and they are yet to show their true potential of getting back to the top-flight competition. Their lone win of this season came back in matchday two, but what stands out is their defensive record. Guingamp also have just one win in this league campaign, which came in the previous round, but two consecutive failures to score before that put question marks on their consistency.
This could be an interesting and close game, which is why our Guingamp vs Montpellier Hsc prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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