Gremio vs Fortaleza Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Gremio have lost a bit of pace in the Brazilian Serie A in recent weeks after their earlier promise. They will hope to regain that when they host struggling Fortaleza next. We have a prediction for this match below.
In all fairness, Tricolor dos Pampas have had a tough run of matches lately. In the last four matches they’ve faced Corinthians, Vasco da Gama, Cruzeiro, and Palmeiras, winning none.
They are coming from a 1-0 loss to title contenders Palmeiras, and earlier they had also lost to Cruzeiro. Collecting just two points from a possible 12 has left them three points off the Copa Sudamericana positions. They are also only two points above the relegation zone heading to this game.
Fortaleza are doing worse than Gremio but are coming from a win that will give them much motivation. The visitors are coming from a well-deserved 3-1 win at home against Bragantino. That brought to a stop a six-match winless run, which involved five straight losses.
From a possible 21 points in the last seven matches, they bagged just four. Those points having come in the last two matches will be a source of inspiration.
The visitors have also scored four goals in their last two matches, an improvement from scoring twice in their earlier five league games. Leao do Pici will hope this also lifts them to a first away win in the league.
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Gremio v Fortaleza Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.99 | 3.35 | 4 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.5 | 4.12 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.42 | 4.14 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.44 | 4.26 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Gremio and Fortaleza?
Our prediction for the Gremio vs Fortaleza match is: Gremio to win without conceding.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/07/2025 between Gremio and Fortaleza in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.61% for a win of Gremio against Fortaleza with odds of 2 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gremio vs Fortaleza is 38.38% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Fortaleza vs Gremio with odds of 4.26 at Betwinner.
Gremio - Fortaleza Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gremio Fortaleza Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 47.61% | 2 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 71.76% | 1.78 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 63.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gremio | 26.17% | 4.9 at LSbet |
Gremio vs Fortaleza Form
Gremio and Fortaleza's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 |
|
18
|
43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -15 |
Gremio and Fortaleza Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
8 Jul 2025 - Recopa Gaucha
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Jul 2025 - Copa Do Nordeste
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2025 - Copa Do Nordeste
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
17 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil
Gremio vs Fortaleza Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Sept 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Oct 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jun 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio against Fortaleza Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Grando
DefenderL. Esteves
J. Lucas
Jemerson
MidfielderCamilo
F. Cristaldo
Edenilson
A. Santana
ForwardC. Pavon
F. Amuzu
A. Aravena
Jardiel
V. Silvestre
DefenderD. Barbosa
Tinga
Gustavo Mancha
MidfielderR. da Silva
E. Martinez
M. Rossetto
Z. Welison
ForwardMarinho
Y. Pikachu
A. Bareiro
J. Lucero
Most goals and assists
Gremio
Fortaleza
C. Vinicius
(12 Goals)
Deyverson
(7 Goals)
, 
A. Bareiro
(7 Goals)
C. Pavon
(6 Assists)
T. Pochettino
(4 Assists)
Gremio - Fortaleza Key Points
- Gremio are unbeaten in their last five home matches.
- Fortaleza are winless in their last nine away league matches.
- In their last four away league matches, Fortaleza failed to score.
- Gremio’s last two home league wins were with clean sheets.
- Gremio are unbeaten at home to Fortaleza in five matches.
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Our Gremio vs Fortaleza Prediction
Gremio have not just done well in recent home matches against Fortaleza, they also kept clean sheets in those matches. In the last five, they are unbeaten with three clean sheets. Heading into this game, they have struggled a bit but have had positives in recent home league matches.
Meanwhile, they welcome a Fortaleza side on a poor away record and struggling to score goals on the road in the league. Our prediction for Gremio v Fortaleza, based on these stats, is for Gremio to win without conceding.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gremio Fortaleza
| Gremio vs Fortaleza | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 2.3 | 2 | -13.0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.5 | +7.7% |
| Fortaleza wins | 3.25 | 4.26 | +31.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gremio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 50.0% (6.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
