Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Following contrasting outings in continental action, Gremio and Corinthians will be settling back into Serie A activity. Gremio host this match with the two sides tied on 21 points. Currently unbeaten in five games and with a single league loss at home, Gremio are the favorites, and we’ll back that in our prediction.
Gremio are coming off a 2-2 draw with Montevideo City in the Copa Sudamericana. That was enough for them to advance as Group F runners-up.
Back in Serie A, they’ll be looking to build on just their fifth win of the season after beating Santos 3-2. Much of their hope will be on their home form, though, having garnered 17 of their 21 points when playing in Porto Alegre.
Corinthians didn’t have a very successful outing in the Copa Libertadores, as they suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Platense. It was a third winless match in Group E, but they had done enough to finish top of the pool with 11 points.
Domestic action hasn’t been quite reassuring either, as they’ve lost two of the last four league games. That isn’t even their biggest concern; the visitors' away form in Serie A is.
They travel for this game, having garnered just seven points from a possible 24 on the road. Corinthians are winless in seven straight away league games (4D, 3L).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Gremio v Corinthians Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.48 |
|
|
3.16 | 3.1 | 2.42 |
|
|
3.01 | 3.2 | 2.46 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
3 | 3.05 | 2.42 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gremio and Corinthians?
Our prediction for the Gremio vs Corinthians match is: Gremio wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/05/2026 between Gremio and Corinthians in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.73% for a win of Gremio against Corinthians with odds of 3.16 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gremio vs Corinthians is 34.14% with odds of 3.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Corinthians vs Gremio with odds of 3.05 at Betsson.
Gremio - Corinthians Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gremio Corinthians Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 41.73% | 3.16 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 65.58% | 2.2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gremio | 18.91% | 7 at LSbet |
Gremio vs Corinthians Form
Gremio and Corinthians's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
27 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +2 |
|
16
|
21 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -4 |
Gremio and Corinthians Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio vs Corinthians Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
67 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
25 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio against Corinthians Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Menegon
Caio Paulista
E. Noriega Loret de Mola
W. Kannemann
Joao Pedro
M. Villasanti
A. Henrique
Thiaguinho
Willian
Dodi
ForwardF. Amuzu
J. Enamorado
Kaue
DefenderP. Milans
Ramalho
F. Angileri
MidfielderAllan
M. Pereira
Z. Labyad
A. Santana
ForwardDieguinho
P. Raul
G. Negao
A. Carrillo
Missing players
Marlon
MidfielderJ. Nardoni
Ronald
Tchoca
MidfielderCharles
Hugo
Kayke
ForwardM. Depay
Vitinho
Most goals and assists
Gremio
Corinthians
C. Vinicius
(10 Goals)
Y. Alberto
(3 Goals)
,
Andre
(3 Goals)
F. Amuzu
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Pavon
(3 Assists)
R. Garro
(6 Assists)
Gremio - Corinthians Key Points
- Gremio are unbeaten in their last five competitive outings.
- Gremio have earned 17 points from eight home league games.
- Across their last four matches, Corinthians suffered two defeats.
- Away from home, Corinthians have only won once in eight Serie A outings.
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Our Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction
Corinthians are unbeaten in their last 14 meetings with Gremio, but 10 of those ended in draws. This cagey affair finds both teams on 21 points. Gremio will feel this is the point they not only draw a gap between them but also get to beat Corinthians for the first time since 2018. It is possible going by the two sides’ runs of form.
Gremio are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three while Corinthians are coming off two defeats in four. The hosts have also had a good home run compared to Corinthians’ on the road. Our prediction for Gremio v Corinthians is that Gremio wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gremio Corinthians
| Gremio vs Corinthians | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 2.25 | 3.16 | +40.4% |
| Draw | 3.28 | 3.2 | -2.4% |
| Corinthians wins | 3.26 | 3.05 | -6.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gremio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 40.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 31.6% (-12.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
