Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Miami
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Miami Predictions
Unseeded Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard faces clay court specialist Camilo Ugo Carabelli in round one of the Miami Masters. Can Perricard rediscover the good form he had in January? Read our match prediction below.
In round two of this outdoor hard court tournament, the winner will take on 32nd seed Sebastian Korda.
January saw Perricard reach two quarter-finals on this surface. He claimed some notable scalps including Tommy Paul and Cameron Norrie, both seeded in this Sunshine Swing tournament.
It's not gone so well for the Frenchman since then he has suffered five first round defeats, including in the recent Indian Wells tournament. His only wins came in Dubai with three wins (two in qualifying) before losing in round two.
Last year saw his only previous performance here and he lost in round two.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 70th in the live rankings and that's 14 places below his opponent. He reached round three in this tournament last year but only after being reinstated as a lucky loser.
His best form in 2026 has come on clay. He was a quarter-finalist in Buenos Aires and won the Rosario Challenger Tour event. Only one of his five outdoor hard court matches has been won this year.
We tip Perricard to win.
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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.58 | 2.4 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.61 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.63 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.44 |
|
|
1.51 | 2.44 |
|
Who will win the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 19/03/2026 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 50.87% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.58.
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 49.13% probability of winning facing Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ⭐ with odds of 2.67 at Shangrila.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 50.87 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 50.87 % |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 49.13 % |
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
22 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
21 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
4 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points
- Perricard is 14 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- Perricard has made it to two outdoor hard court quarter-finals this year.
- Carabelli has only won one out of five matches he's played on outdoor hard courts in 2026.
- Perricard won the only previous match between the pair, though it was played on clay.
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Our Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard made a strong start to 2026 but hasn't made it past round two since January. As usual his matches are peppered with tie-breaks and a side bet on one here could well be a winner.
He takes on Camilo Ugo Carabelli who is far better on clay than this surface. He has just one win on outdoor hard courts this year but did fortunately reach round three here last year after being beaten in the qualifying rounds.Our Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction is Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
