Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Wild card Gael Monfils is playing at Indian Wells for the final time. He takes on eighth-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime in round two of the BNP Paribas Open. Can Monfils cause a shock? Read our match prediction below.
Next up for the victor is a third round match against either 17th seed Andrey Rublev or unseeded Gabriel Diallo.
It was in 2006 that Gael Monfils first played in this Sunshine Swing outdoor hard court tournament. The 39-year-old has reached two quarter-finals in 2016 and 2019. Last year he lost in round three.
Monfils is due to retire at the end of this season. He's only played five matches this year, winning two of them.
Only seven players have earned more ranking points this year than Felix Auger-Aliassime. The Canadian has won one indoor hard court title and been runner up in another. Outdoors he was a semi-finalist in Dubai in his most recent tournament. He's eighth in the live rankings.
He's 1-1 in previous matches with Monfils, both played on indoor hard court tournaments. Auger-Aliassime won the most recent one, played two years ago and did so in straight sets. His best run at Indian Wells has been a quarter-final in 2023.
We tip him to beat Monfils without dropping a set.
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Gael Monfils v Felix Auger Aliassime Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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5.3 | 1.15 |
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5.4 | 1.15 |
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4.7 | 1.16 |
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4.7 | 1.16 |
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5.3 | 1.15 |
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Who will win the Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime match is: Felix Auger-Aliassime wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime game on 06/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Gael Monfils has a 25.57% chance to win against Felix Auger Aliassime according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 5.4.
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 74.43% probability of winning facing Gael Monfils ⭐ with odds of 1.18 at Betway.
Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Gael Monfils has a 25.57 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Gael Monfils | 25.57 % |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 74.43 % |
Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Gael Monfils and Felix Auger Aliassime Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
19 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
16 Feb 2020 - ATP Rotterdam
Gael Monfils - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Auger-Aliassime is 144 places ahead of Monfils in the live rankings.
- Only seven players have earned more ranking points in 2026 than Felix Auger-Aliassime.
- Auger-Aliassime has won one tournament this year.
- Monfils has only won two of his five matches played in 2026.
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Our Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won 11 of his last 13 matches with one title being won indoors in Montpellier. The Canadian will want a good run in this Masters tournament after a disappointing Australian Open where he had to retire in round one.
Gael Monfils first played in this tournament 20 years ago. This will be his final appearance and he's yet to get past round two of an event in his final year as a professional. Our Gael Monfils v Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction is Felix Auger-Aliassime wins in straight sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Gael Monfils or Felix Auger Aliassime, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
