Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg’s slim hopes of stopping Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich will be the talk of matchday 28 on Saturday. This match in Freiburg between the eighth-placed ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ and the first-placed ‘Bavarians’ comes with our prediction of an away win and both teams scoring goals.
Before this matchday, Freiburg’s 37 points (W10, D7, L10) see them nine points outside the European qualification places. Bayern have 70 points (W22, D4, L1) and boast a nine-point lead over Borussia Dortmund. Interestingly, both teams have European knockout games in the coming midweek.
Freiburg won 2-1 away at St Pauli before the international break for a second win in a row. They have an upcoming Europa League quarter-final first leg against Celta Vigo, which adds a new dimension to their planning.
They are a strong team playing at home, though, as Freiburg were beaten just once in their last 18 home matches in all competitions (W13, D4, L1).
Bayern thrashed Union Berlin 4-0 in their last game before the break, making it six wins and a draw in their last seven Bundesliga matches. Their Tuesday visit to Real Madrid in the first leg of the Champions League quarter-final could be a challenge.
That said, Bayern are yet to lose on the road in this Bundesliga campaign, although they drew two of their last four league trips.
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Freiburg v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.4 | 4.8 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.45 | 4.76 | 1.51 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.76 | 1.5 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.75 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.2 | 4.9 | 1.43 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match is: Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Freiburg and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.86% for a win of Freiburg against Bayern Munich with odds of 6.5 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Bayern Munich is 22.33% with odds of 5.35 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Freiburg with odds of 1.58 at Tonybet.
Freiburg - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 51.81% | 1.58 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.53% | |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 17.75% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Form
Freiburg and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
89 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 |
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
Freiburg and Bayern Munich Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderB. Ogbus
A. Jung
L. Kubler
N. Hofler
V. Grifo
ForwardI. Matanovic
C. Irie
M. Philipp
J. Urbig
DefenderD. Upamecano
A. Davies
H. Ito
MidfielderM. Cardozo
J. Musiala
A. Pavlovic
K. Laimer
M. Olise
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
S. Ulreich
ForwardH. Kane
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
H. Kane
(36 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
M. Olise
(20 Assists)
Freiburg - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Freiburg have scored in 12 of their 13 home Bundesliga matches this season.
- Only three Bundesliga teams have seen more games with BTTS than Bayern’s 17 this season before this round.
- Seven of Bayern’s last nine Bundesliga wins have seen them concede goals.
- Three of the last four head-to-head matches saw BTTS, with Bayern winning the latest two.
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Our Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction
This is a fixture that Bayern Munich haven’t lost in the Bundesliga to Freiburg since May 2015. Even their impressive form this season means backing against a Bayern win is a risky proposition. That said, Freiburg are picking up momentum at home, although they were beaten here in their last home Bundesliga match. The hosts will fancy stretching Bayern, who will have one eye on the upcoming Champions League game.
Going by recent trends in Bayern’s games, our Freiburg vs Bayern Munich prediction is Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Bayern Munich
| Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 7.5 | 6.5 | -13.3% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5.35 | -2.7% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.35 | 1.58 | +17.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.1% and is now 63.3% (-10.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
