Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Indian Wells
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Indian Wells Predictions
Defending champion Jack Draper faces another tough match in the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells. The 14th seed takes on 19th-seeded Francisco Cerundolo for a place in round four of this outdoor hard court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
Either third seed Novak Djokovic or unseeded Alexander Kovacevic will be faced in the next round.
Jack Draper won this title last year but since then he's been hindered by a number of injuries. He'd only played three matches this year (winning two of them) before he began his defence of this Sunshine Swing Masters tournament title.
He had to fight hard to beat unseeded Roberto Bautista Agut in three sets. That's kept him at 29th in the live rankings. If he can win this match and Cameron Norrie loses to Alex de Minaur, Draper will again become the British number one.
Francisco Cerundolo leads Draper 2-0 in previous meetings but this is their first outdoor hard court match. This year has seen Cerundolo win one clay court tournament. He is talented on this surface though.
Last year saw him reach the last eight of this tournament. He also made it to round four of this year's Australian Open. His one match so far in this tournament saw him beat Benjamin Bonzi in three sets.
We tip more than 20.5 games.
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Francisco Cerundolo v Jack Draper Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.56 | 1.51 |
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2.48 | 1.54 |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.42 | 1.51 |
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2.42 | 1.51 |
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Who will win the Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper match is: more than 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper game on 09/03/2026 of the current ATP Indian Wells season:
- Francisco Cerundolo has a 55.81% chance to win against Jack Draper according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.56.
- Jack Draper has a 44.19% probability of winning facing Francisco Cerundolo ⭐ with odds of 1.55 at Shangrila.
Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Francisco Cerundolo has a 55.81 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | 55.81 % |
| Jack Draper | 44.19 % |
Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper Form
Francisco Cerundolo and Jack Draper Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
28 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
23 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
5 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
3 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
25 May 2023 - ATP Lyon Open
Francisco Cerundolo - Jack Draper Key Points
- More than 20.5 games were played in both of the previous matches between these two players.
- Draper has played more than 20.5 games in each of his last three matches.
- More than 20.5 games have been played in each of Cerundolo's last five outdoor hard court matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Cerundolo has played at least one in four of his last five matches on this surface.
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Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draper Prediction
To continue his defence of the Indian Wells title, Jack Draper must beat Francisco Cerundolo for the first time. He's lost both of their previous meetings, one played on an indoors hard court. Draper needed three sets to win his first match this week and another long battle may be on its way.
Francisco Cerundolo made it to the quarter-finals here last year. He's had some success on outdoor hard courts this year and won a clay court tournament. A side bet on a tie-break could win but our main Francisco Cerundolo v Jack Draper prediction is more than 20.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.