Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Miami
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Miami Predictions
In-form Daniil Medvedev takes on 18th seed Francisco Cerundolo in round three of the Miami Open. The ninth seed has an excellent record in this outdoor hard court tournament. More details in our match prediction below.
Whoever wins will face either 31st seed Ugo Humbert or unseeded Alexander Shevchenko next.
Daniil Medvedev has already lifted two outdoor hard court titles this year. Victories have come in Brisbane and Dubai and he was the runner-up in Indian Wells. 19 of his 22 matches on this surface have been won this year.
The Russian won this Sunshine Swing tournament three years ago. He's made it to at least the quarter-finals in four of the last five years. So far this week, the 30-year-old has beaten Rei Sakamoto in three sets.
He's tenth in the live rankings but third in the ATP Race.
Francisco Cerundolo returns to this surface after a successful spell on clay. He won the clay court tournament in Buenos Aires and was a semi-finalist in Santiago. The 27-year-old has had some good results on this surface in 2026.
Cerundolo made it to round four at this year's Australian Open and the third round at Indian Wells. He beat Thiago Agustin Tirante in straight sets in the last round here. We tip Medvedev to win in straight sets.
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Francisco Cerundolo v Daniil Medvedev Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 1.28 |
|
|
3.7 | 1.28 |
|
|
3.75 | 1.29 |
|
|
3.75 | 1.23 |
|
|
3.75 | 1.23 |
|
Who will win the Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev match is: Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev game on 23/03/2026 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Francisco Cerundolo has a 35.36% chance to win against Daniil Medvedev according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.8.
- Daniil Medvedev has a 64.64% probability of winning facing Francisco Cerundolo ⭐ with odds of 1.29 at Bet365.
Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Francisco Cerundolo has a 35.36 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | 35.36 % |
| Daniil Medvedev | 64.64 % |
Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Francisco Cerundolo and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
28 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Santiago Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
15 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
14 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
12 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
11 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Francisco Cerundolo - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Medvedev has won two outdoor hard court titles this year.
- Only two players have earned more ranking points than Medvedev this year.
- Medvedev is a former MIami champion and reached the quarter-finals here in four of the last five years.
- Cerundolo has only won five of his eight outdoor hard court matches this year, compared to 19 for his opponent.
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Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Daniil Medvedev has only lost three matches this year and beat Carlos Alcaraz in his last tournament. The ninth seed is a former Miami Open and a semi-finalist two years ago. A couple of outdoor hard court tournaments have already been won by Medvedev this year.
Francisco Cerundolo has had most of his success this year on clay. He did make it to the semi-finals here in 2022 and the last four in 2023 and 2025. However, he's up against an in-form player and our Francisco Cerundolo v Daniil Medvedev prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
