Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Miami
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Miami Predictions
Jakub Mensik continues his bid to be the first man in ten years to retain the Miami Open title. The 12th seed faces 19th-seeded Frances Tiafoe in round three of this outdoor hard court Masters tournament. Read our match prediction below.
Mensik beat Novak Djokovic in last year's final and the Serb is the last man to retain this title. The 20-year-old has already won another outdoor hard court tournament this year with success in Auckland.
He also made it to the last eight in Dubai and the semi-finals in Doha. His defence of this title began with a come-from-behind three sets win over Adam Walton. He's now 26th in the live rankings, dropping out of the top 20 due to all the points he's defending.
There's been one previous meeting with Tiafoe. Mensik won that in straight sets in last year's Davis Cup.
Frances Tiafoe is in the third round of this Sunshine Swing tournament for the second successive year. He hasn't made it past this stage in Miami since 2022 but was a quarter-finalist seven years ago.
The 28-year-old recently reached the final in Acapulco. Before that he was a quarter-finalist in Delray Beach. Round two of this tournament saw him beat Arthur Cazaux in straight sets.
We go for Mensik to win this.
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Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.28 | 1.63 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.18 | 1.62 |
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2.2 | 1.61 |
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Who will win the Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik match is: Jakub Mensik wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik game on 23/03/2026 of the current ATP Miami season:
- Frances Tiafoe has a 45.83% chance to win against Jakub Mensik according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 2.3.
- Jakub Mensik has a 54.17% probability of winning facing Frances Tiafoe ⭐ with odds of 1.77 at 888Starz.
Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Frances Tiafoe has a 45.83 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | 45.83 % |
| Jakub Mensik | 54.17 % |
Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik Form
Frances Tiafoe and Jakub Mensik Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
10 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
28 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
27 Feb 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
8 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
26 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
25 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
24 Feb 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Frances Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik Key Points
- Mensik is the defending champion in Miami.
- Mensik has won one outdoor hard court title this year.
- Mensik won his only previous match against Tiafoe, losing only five games.
- Only eight players have earned more ranking points this year than Mensik.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik Prediction
Jakub Mensik has won 15 of his 20 outdoor hard court matches this year. The defending champion has also won the Auckland title this year and went deep in two other tournaments on this surface.
Three of his last four matches have gone to a deciding set, so a side-bet on that happening here could win. Frances Tiafoe was the losing finalist in Acapulco but lost his only previous match against Mensik. Our Frances Tiafoe v Jakub Mensik prediction is Jakub Mensik wins.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Frances Tiafoe or Jakub Mensik, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
