French Cup Predictions & Betting tips
Find our free prediction on the winner of the French Cup, as well as our experts' predictions on all the French Cup matches (2025-26). Plenty of information for your sports betting!
Presentation of the French Cup - Football
The Coupe de France is the oldest football competition in France. Created in 1917 and organised by the French Football Federation, it pits professional and amateur clubs against each other through various qualifying rounds to the grand final at the Stade de France.
It's a tournament that gives less established teams a chance to dream, and it's still one of the most popular competitions for sports betting fans!
Our free prediction for the 2025-26 Coupe de France season
In the last two editions, PSG won the competition after a two-year drought. Are we heading for another Parisian victory in this new edition, the 109th in the history of the competition?
PSG remains, of course, the bookmakers' and our editorial team's favourite to win again, but beware, surprises are far from rare in this tournament. Under Luis Enrique, the capital club seems to be taking this competition very seriously, as we have seen over the last two seasons.
Marseille, Lyon, Monaco, Lille and Strasbourg are the outsiders who will try to cause problems for the reigning champions. However, we believe that Paris Saint-Germain will be crowned champions for the 17th time in their history in this CDF. Our 2025-26 Coupe de France prediction: PSG wins!
Coupe de France prediction - odds for the title
- PSG - 1.61
- Monaco - 8.00
- Marseille - 9.00
- Lille - 17.00
- Lyon - 19.00
- Nice - 26.00
- Lens - 34.00
- Strasbourg - 41.00
- Toulouse - 41.00
- Rennes - 51.00
- Brest - 67.00
- Nantes - 81.00
- Lorient - 101.00
- Paris FC - 101.00
- Auxerre - 151.00
- Reims - 151.00
- Saint Étienne - 151.00
- Metz - 151.00
- Montpellier - 151.00
- Clermont - 151.00
- Le Havre - 201.00
- Angers - 201.00
- Dunkerque - 201.00
Odds taken from Bet365
Beginner guide - how does the Coupe de France football competition work?
Since the demise of the League Cup in 2020, the French Cup is now the only tournament contested between French clubs from different divisions.
Each year, the winner of the competition earns a ticket to the group stage of the Europa League, Europe's second-tier club competition. The big teams are of course the best represented - PSG, Marseille, Lille, Monaco, Lyon - but the smaller clubs have also had their moments of glory, including Guingamp, Lorient, Nancy, Sedan and Sète.
The Coupe de France consists of 13 rounds plus a final, with each division participating progressively:
- Clubs from departmental districts (from Départemental 1 upwards) play in the Coupe de France from the 1st round.
- Regional league clubs (from Régional 1 to Régional 3) enter the competition in the 2nd round.
- National 3 clubs play in the 3rd round
- National 2 clubs play in the 4th round
- National clubs enter in the 5th round
The first 6 rounds are organised by the regional leagues, with quotas of qualifiers per league. The 7th round sees the entry of clubs from Ligue 2 and overseas (Mayotte, New Caledonia and Polynesia), the 8th round for Guadeloupe, French Guiana, Réunion and Martinique, while the 9th round welcomes Ligue 1 clubs and the defending champions.
The format changes from the round of 32 onwards, where single-elimination matches are organised. In the event of a tie at the end of the 90 minutes, the winner is decided by penalty shootout as extra time has been abolished since the 2020-2021 season.
Here are the key dates:
- Round of 32: December 20-21
- Round of 16: January 10-11
- Round of 8: February 4
- Quarter-finals: March 4
- Semi-finals: April 22
- Final: May 23 2026
Be sure to keep this information in mind as you prepare your French Cup bets!
Expert advice for your Coupe de France predictions
Let's move on to a completely different subject, one that will certainly be of interest to punters who want to bet on the French Cup. Here are some tips from our football prediction experts to help you bet on the competition. Of course, they can be supplemented with the key figures you need to know about the tournament, which will also be revealed later.
- Analyse the real motivation of the teams
- Observe the history of the various clubs
- Take squad depth into account
- Play at odds worth the risk
- Keep your bets small
When betting on the Coupe de France and other football competitions, these tips will be crucial to your success. Don't hesitate to read on, as we go into more detail about each of them, with examples to illustrate our points!
Analyse the real motivation of the teams
Let's take a closer look at the parameters you need to take into account to ensure your French Cup predictions are more successful. First of all, you need to look closely at each club's objective in this competition. In fact, to increase your bet’s chances, you first need to analyse the form of the two teams involved in the match of your choice. This can give you an insight as to how seriously a team may approach the coming game and their desire to put together a deep run in the competition.
In concrete terms, if a Ligue 1 club has to play a decisive match for its survival a few days later in the league, it may not throw all its weight behind the French Cup. It would be better to predict that their opponents will win, especially if they are prepared to go all out in the tournament. Different clubs will prioritise different competitions.
Observe the history of the various clubs
Secondly, of course, you have to look at the track record of the various teams in the competition.
As we know, a number of teams have made a habit of shining in the French Cup in recent seasons, whether or not they are in good form in the league. Monaco, Marseille and, of course, PSG are among them, and will never give up on the competition.
On the other hand, other clubs such as Lens often tend to take advantage of the tournament to play their youngsters, and therefore fall out of the competition fairly quickly. Something to bear in mind, of course.
Take squad depth into account
As well as the teams' fixture lists, their participation in European cups and the atmosphere within the club, don't forget to take into account the strength of each club's squad.
A team that can rely on a large, high-quality squad (PSG, Lyon, Marseille, etc.) will have a better chance of competing in the various competitions than one that is limited in this area (Le Havre, Reims, etc.). Before placing your bets on the Coupe de France, take a look at the various squads selected by the coaches, as well as any injured or suspended players.
Play at odds that are worth the risk
Another important tip is to compare the odds between the different sports betting sites and bet on odds that you perceive to have value. As we mentioned earlier, the Coupe de France is a tournament where surprises are far from rare and where the favourite doesn't win every time.
So don't try to ‘secure the win’ by playing at odds of 1.10, but rather favour odds of around 2.00, or even more if you smell a good opportunity. Believe us, the Coupe de France is a very special competition.
Keep your bets small
Finally, and following the same logic as our previous tip, learn to keep your bets on the French Cup proportionate to your bankroll. This suggestion is valid regardless of the league you bet on, but even more so on this tournament, where the risk is fairly high.
That is to say, don’t be risking half of your bankroll on a single bet and make sure you always place bets you are prepared to lose. Around 1-5% of your bankroll is considered the standard amount, 1-3% if you wish to be a bit more conservative. By following this advice, you can be sure that you won't have a bad time during this great competition.
Results from the previous 5 seasons
- 2024-2025 - PSG
- 2023-2024 - PSG
- 2022-2023 - Toulouse
- 2021-2022 - Nantes
- 2020-2021 - PSG
- 2019-2020 - PSG
What not to do for your French Cup football predictions
If you want to place the most reliable sports bets on the Coupe de France tournament, it's important to avoid a few common mistakes. Here are the things to avoid when making your predictions:
- Playing at low odds without proper analysis
- Underestimating teams in divisions lower than Ligue 1
- Not taking into account statements made by coaches and players
- Putting your money on a team with a string of important matches
- Ignoring the competition statistics
- Betting on French Cup matches at a single bookmaker
You now know what the best practices are for placing reliable bets during the French Cup, as well as what habits to avoid in order to minimise losses.
Coupe de France prediction: statistics you need to know
A promise made is a promise kept: it's now time to reveal the most important figures to help you bet on the Coupe de France. This data, taken from the completed 2024-25 season, can help you spot some good bets on sports betting sites.
Here are the figures and statistics from the last French Cup season:
- Home wins: 27%
- Draws: 23%
- Away wins: 50%
- Average goals: 3.09 goals per game
- +0.5 goals: 94%
- -0.5 goals: 6%
- +1.5 goals: 81%
- -1.5 goals: 19%
- +2.5 goals: 59%
- -2.5 goals: 41%
- +3.5 goals: 38%
- -3.5 goals: 62%
- +4.5 goals: 19%
- -4.5 goals: 81%
- Goal timing distribution: 76-90 minutes (23%)
- First half goals: 43%
- Second half goals: 57%
- Average home goals: 1.16
- Average away goals: 1.93
- "Both teams to score: yes": 49% of matches
- Average shots per match: 19.48 shots
- Wins by 2 goals or more (handicap): 49% of matches
- Correct score 0-0: 5.5% of matches
- Correct score 1-1: 12.1% of matches
- Most frequent score: 1-0 or 0-1 (13% of games)
With an average of 3.09 goals scored per game last season, this competition promises to keep us entertained in front of our screens. In fact, only about one in 20 matches ends in a goalless draw. So consider betting on high-scoring matches in 2025 and 2026, as the trend is likely to continue.
Unlike the major competitions in Europe, home wins are quite rare. In fact, this was the least common result in the previous season, with only 27% of matches won by the home team. In a French Cup match, betting on a draw or on the away team to win, which scores almost 2 goals on average, may be a good idea again this year.
Finally, as we mentioned earlier, good odds can be found, for example, on a team winning by at least two goals. With almost one in two predictions successful last year, you will find that, taking into account the odds on this type of bet, there are some interesting opportunities to be had!
In short: how to make the right Coupe de France predictions?
If you're looking to maximise your winnings while finding attractive odds for this 2024-25 Coupe de France season, then our tips on this page will come in handy. Bear in mind that there are certain factors that should not be overlooked when analysing a French Cup match, such as the real motivation of the clubs and players, a team’s squad depth and the record of the clubs in this competition.
Finally, you can take advantage of our experts' predictions for the Coupe de France. From the Round of 32 onwards, be sure to keep an eye on this page, or even the page containing all our predictions, for expert analysis. It's all 100% free, so make the most of it!
Our Current Coupe de France Predictions
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French Cup: best odds
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