Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Both of these clubs made winning starts to the new Premier League season. After the first set of fixtures, Brighton were top of the table. The Seagulls travel to sixth placed Chelsea on Sunday and a high scoring game with more than 2.5 goals is our prediction.
Brighton followed up their 4-0 win over Aston Villa by repeating that scoreline against Tromso in the Conference League. That saw them qualify for the league phase of that competition. Confidence is therefore bound to be sky-high for the south coast club who finished eighth in the Premier League last season, two places above their opponents in this game.
Chelsea missed out on European qualification for this season. A lighter fixture list may well help them this term. The Blues have made a good start to the new season under Alonso. A win at Fulham last Monday was followed by a Carabao Cup victory over Luton Town.
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Chelsea v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.9 | 4 |
|
|
1.86 | 4.17 | 4.22 |
|
|
1.79 | 4 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.86 | 3.86 |
|
|
1.79 | 4 | 4.06 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Brighton match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2026 between Chelsea and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.18% for a win of Chelsea against Brighton with odds of 1.88 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Brighton is 16.48% with odds of 4.17 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Chelsea with odds of 4.22 at 1xbet.
Chelsea vs Brighton Form
Chelsea and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
|
6
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
Chelsea and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2026 - Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2026 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
28 Sept 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
Chelsea - Brighton: Form Analysis
Ten of the last 11 games played between these two clubs have seen more than 2.5 goals scored in them. Last season, Brighton did the double over Chelsea, winning 3-1 at Stamford Bridge and 3-0 at home in April.
Brighton have won both of their matches played this season by a 4-0 scoreline. Wins have come against Aston Villa and Tromso. This previewer went to the latter match and was impressed with the way the Seagulls disposed of their opponents.
Two of their last three away league games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored. That statistic has come up in all but one of their last six Premier League fixtures, hence our prediction.
Chelsea won their opening Premier League game 3-2 at Fulham. Thursday saw them in action again and they recorded a 2-0 home victory over Luton Town in the Carabao Cup.
Top of the table.
In terms of more than 2.5 goals being scored in a match, Chelsea finished top of the table in last season's Premier League. 25 of their 38 league games saw that stat come up and 11 of their 19 home league fixtures.
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Missing players
M. Sarr
MidfielderJ. Henderson
A. Anselmino
ForwardE. Emegha
K. Mitoma
ForwardG. Rutter
E. Ferguson
Y. Minteh
S. Tzimas
Chelsea & Brighton Squad Analysis
Both of these clubs were in action on Thursday evening. They made several changes from the line-ups that won their opening Premier League fixtures. More changes will be on their way for this match at Stamford Bridge.
Rotating the squad has been vital for Brighton this season. They haven't just had their opening domestic game, but also the two-legged play-off tie against Tromso in the Conference League.
Will Caicedo return against his former club?
Chelsea have a doubt over the fitness of Moises Caicedo who is yet to play for them this season after being injured in training. The hope is he will be able to train on Friday and feature in this game in some way.
Geovany Quenda and Levi Colwill didn't play against Luton, but are likely to return for this match. The first goal against Luton on Thursday was scored by Danny Welbeck. He's not likely to start this game against his former club. Enzo Fernandez is again unlikely to feature for the Blues as he continues his bid to leave Stamford Bridge.
Brighton made several changes for their Conference League win over Tromso on Thursday. They are expected to recall those rested and field a side pretty similar to that which beat Aston Villa so convincingly last Sunday.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Brighton
M. Rogers
(1 Goals)
, 
Joao Pedro
(1 Goals)
,
C. Palmer
(1 Goals)
J. Hinshelwood
(2 Goals)
M. Lacroix
(1 Assists)
,
Joao Pedro
(1 Assists)
,
C. Palmer
(1 Assists)
G. Rutter
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Gomez
(1 Assists)
Chelsea and Brighton Stats in Premier League
Chelsea - Brighton Key Points
- Chelsea played the most league games with more than 2.5 goals scored in them of any side in the top flight last season.
- Ten of the last 11 games between these two clubs have seen more than 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Both of Brighton's last two games have been won 4-0.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last six Brighton league games.
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Our Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction
Brighton have made a strong start to the season with victories both domestically and in European competition. Their last two games have both been won 4-0, but were played at the Amex. They are yet to concede a goal in three matches this season. Villa were disappointing and Tromso toothless, a much harder match awaits them here.
Chelsea have won two games in the past week and their attacking prowess looks pretty impressive, especially with Palmer back in form. Our main Chelsea v Brighton prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Chelsea vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Chelsea wins
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Chelsea vs Brighton - FAQs
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