Fluminense vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
12/04/2026 17:00
Flamengo

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

The third instalment of the  Fla-Flu derby sees bitter rivals, Fluminense and Flamengo, clash at the Maracana on matchday 11 of the Serie A Betano. The hosts are third in the league standings, while the visitors are fourth. Here's our match prediction.

Fluminense failed to assert their dominance against La Guaira in the first round of the Copa Libertadores. Despite creating chances worth 1.03 xG (expected goals), the scoreline remained 0-0 after the full-time whistle.

The Tricolor's now turn their attention to the Serie A Betano in search of redemption. However, their last outing against Coritiba was a bitter disappointment as they shared the spoils in a drab 1-1 away draw.

That result should not deter them moving forward, considering they are unbeaten in three league games. In fact, they've won four of their last six games with (D1, L1).

Flamengo began their Copa Libertadores group stage campaign on a positive note. They faced Peru's Cusco and won 2-0 on the road, courtesy of second-half goals from Bruno Henrique and Giorgian de Arrascaeta.

Leonardo Jardim's charge will aim to use that result as a springboard to secure their second consecutive league win. After going winless in two games, they returned to the winning column with a 3-1 home victory over Santos.

Rubro-Negro are on the road and are seeking to end a two-match winless run in the league.

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Fluminense v Flamengo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.45 3.1 2.3
Melbet
3.5 3.06 2.28
Betwinner
3.5 3.05 2.28
Bet365
3.4 3.2 2.2
Roobet
3.4 3 2.24
Check all Fluminense vs Flamengo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Flamengo?

Our prediction for the Fluminense vs Flamengo match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Fluminense and Flamengo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.41% for a win of Fluminense against Flamengo with odds of 3.5 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fluminense vs Flamengo is 33.51% with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Fluminense with odds of 2.35 at LSbet.

Fluminense - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:

Fluminense Flamengo Prediction Probability Odds
Fluminense wins 34.41% 3.5 at Melbet
Under 2.5 51.6% 2.1 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 57.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fluminense 14.55% 7.5 at LSbet

Fluminense vs Flamengo Form

Fluminense and Flamengo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Flamengo
34 17 10 4 3 +15
3 Fluminense
31 18 9 4 5 +5

Fluminense and Flamengo Last Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense Last matches
W L W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Deportivo La Guaira
0 :  0
Fluminense

4 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Coritiba
1 :  1
Fluminense

1 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  1
Corinthians

21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Atletico MG

18 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
3 :  2
Fluminense

15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Atletico Paranense
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  1
Corinthians

21 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Atletico MG

15 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Atletico Paranense

8 Mar 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Fluminense
0 :  0
Flamengo

1 Mar 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Fluminense
1 :  1
Vasco Da Gama

16 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Fluminense
3 :  1
Bangu
W L W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Deportivo La Guaira
0 :  0
Fluminense

4 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Coritiba
1 :  1
Fluminense

18 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
3 :  2
Fluminense

12 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
0 :  2
Fluminense

25 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
Fluminense

22 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  1
Fluminense
Flamengo
Flamengo Last matches
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Cusco FC
0 :  2
Flamengo

5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  1
Santos

2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
3 :  0
Flamengo

22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
1 :  1
Flamengo

19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Remo

14 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  3
Flamengo
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  1
Santos

19 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Remo

11 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
Cruzeiro

26 Feb 2026 - Recopa Sudamericana

Flamengo
2 :  3
CA Lanus

22 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Flamengo
3 :  0
Madureira

7 Feb 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Flamengo
7 :  1
Sampaio Correa FE RJ
W D W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Cusco FC
0 :  2
Flamengo

2 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
3 :  0
Flamengo

22 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
1 :  1
Flamengo

14 Mar 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  3
Flamengo

8 Mar 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Fluminense
0 :  0
Flamengo

2 Mar 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Madureira
0 :  8
Flamengo

Fluminense vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fluminense

33 %

Draw

33 %

Flamengo

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Fluminense
0 :  0
Flamengo

25 Jan 2026 - Campeonato Carioca

Fluminense
2 :  1
Flamengo

19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Flamengo

20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Fluminense

16 Mar 2025 - Campeonato Carioca

Flamengo
0 :  0
Fluminense

12 Mar 2025 - Campeonato Carioca

Fluminense
1 :  2
Flamengo

Fluminense against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11

Fluminense

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Fabio
2
S. Xavier
3
J. Ribeiro Da Silva
22
J. Freytes
6
Rene
8
M. Martinelli
35
Hercules
17
A. Canobbio
32
L. Acosta
90
K. Serna
9
J. Kennedy
9
Pedro
16
S. Lino
10
G. De Arrascaeta
19
G. Plata
20
L. Paqueta
52
Evertton
26
A. Sandro
4
L. Pereira
3
L. Ortiz
2
G. Varela
1
A. Rossi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Flamengo

Substitutes

Fluminense
Fluminense
Goalkeeper

Vitor Eudes

Defender

Ignacio

Guga

S. Xavier 86'

G. Arana

Rene 86'

Midfielder

J. Savarino

M. Martinelli 65'

J. Millan

F. Bernal

Ganso

L. Acosta 7'

Alisson

Otavio

Forward

Wesley Nata

R. Castillo

J. Kennedy 65'

Flamengo
Flamengo
Goalkeeper

D. Alves

Andrew

Defender

Emerson

Vitao

A. Lucas

Danilo

Pedro 81'

Midfielder

Luiz Felipe

N. De La Cruz

G. De Arrascaeta 72'

W. Yan

J. Carrascal

G. Plata 72'

Forward

L. Araujo

L. Ortiz 81'

B. Pinto

S. Lino 67'

Missing players

Fluminense
Fluminense
Forward

G. Cano

M. Reis

Flamengo
Flamengo
Midfielder

E. Pulgar

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fluminense
CD Huachipato Flamengo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Kennedy (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Pedro (10 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina L. Acosta (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil S. Lino (6 Assists)

Fluminense - Flamengo Key Points

  1. Fluminense have seen both teams score in four of their last five league games.
  2. Flamengo have scored in eight of their last nine league games.
  3. Fluminense have seen both teams score in three of their last four home league games.
  4. Flamengo's last away league game against Fluminense ended in a 2-1 defeat.
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Our Fluminense vs Flamengo Prediction

Choosing a favourite in a Brazilian classic like this is easier said than done, as both sides are capable of coming away with all three points, despite Flamengo being a superior side in this fixture.

A tense affair is undoubtedly on the cards when these two sides meet on Saturday. Fluminense won 2-1 in the previous season. This is confirmation that there'll be goals at both ends of the pitch. It's worth noting that Flamengo have been consistent scorers, and Fluminense have seen four of their last five league games end with both teams scoring. Our Fluminense vs Flamengo prediction: BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fluminense Flamengo

Fluminense vs Flamengo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fluminense wins 2.86 3.5 +22.4%
Draw 3.22 3.2 -0.6%
Flamengo wins 2.54 2.35 -7.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fluminense is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 22.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.0% and is now 28.6% (-6.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fluminense vs Flamengo Prediction