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Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
05/10/2025 09:00
Roma

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina and Roma had contrasting outings in Europe and will be reconvening for a Serie A clash scheduled for Sunday. While Roma are third in the Italian topflight, Fiorentina arrive for this game sitting two places above the relegation zone. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.

Fiorentina, the hosts, will be looking to build on their 2-0 win over Sigma Olomouc in the Conference League. That midweek win was a welcome break after failing to win any of their opening five Serie A matches.

Their latest one was a dull 0-0 draw with lowly Pisa, who even had a goal disallowed.

Roma are enjoying a pretty solid season. However, at times they’ve fallen below expectation and gone on to lose. A case in point is in their latest outing.

Roma, playing host to Lille in the Europa League, missed one penalty three times as they fell 1-0. The visitors will, for some reason, be happy to take this game away from home.

They’ve posted straight wins in their three away matches so far, while their two defeats came in home games. This fixture, though played away from home, will still be a tough one, as they haven't managed a win away to Fiorentina in their last four visits.

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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Roma Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 3.3 2.4
Betfred
3 3.2 2.4
William Hill
2.9 3.25 2.4
Betway
3 3.2 2.4
Unibet
2.95 3.3 2.38
Check all Fiorentina vs Roma odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Roma?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Roma match is: over 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Fiorentina and Roma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.74% for a win of Fiorentina against Roma with odds of 3.04 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Roma is 14.71% with odds of 3.46 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 46.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.52 at 22bet.

Fiorentina vs Roma Form

Fiorentina and Roma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Roma
Roma
12 5 4 0 1 4
16
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
3 5 0 3 2 -3

Fiorentina and Roma Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W D L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Sigma Olomouc

28 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

21 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Como 1907

13 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

28 Aug 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  2
FC Polissya Zhytomyr
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Sigma Olomouc

21 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Como 1907

13 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

28 Aug 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  2
FC Polissya Zhytomyr

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Fiorentina
2 :  0
Carrarese Calcio

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
3 :  2
Bologna
D D W D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

28 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  0
Fiorentina

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  1
Fiorentina

21 Aug 2025 - Conference League

FC Polissya Zhytomyr
0 :  3
Fiorentina

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
0 :  0
Fiorentina
Roma
Roma Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Roma
0 :  1
Lille

28 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Hellas Verona

24 Sep 2025 - Europa League

Nice
1 :  2
Roma

21 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Roma

14 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Torino FC

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Roma
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Roma
0 :  1
Lille

28 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Hellas Verona

14 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Torino FC

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Bologna

16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
2 :  2
Neom SC

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
3 :  0
AS Cannes
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Sep 2025 - Europa League

Nice
1 :  2
Roma

21 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Roma

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Roma

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
0 :  1
Roma

6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Roma

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lens
0 :  2
Roma

Fiorentina vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

33 %

Draw

33 %

Roma

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (home team)
1.33
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

27 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Roma

10 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Roma

10 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Fiorentina

27 May 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Roma

15 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Fiorentina
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Fiorentina vs Roma last Lineups

Fiorentina

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

43
D. De Gea
5
M. Pongracic
18
P. Mari
6
L. Ranieri
2
Dodo
27
C. Ndour
8
R. Mandragora
44
N. Fagioli
21
R. Gosens
9
E. Dzeko
91
R. Piccoli
11
E. Ferguson
7
L. Pellegrini
18
M. Soule
12
K. Tsimikas
8
N. El Aynaoui
4
B. Cristante
43
W. Franca
5
E. N Dicka
22
M. Hermoso
19
Z. Celik
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Roma

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

T. Lamptey

Midfielder

S. Sohm

Forward

C. Kouame

Roma
Roma
Defender

B. Sangare

Forward

L. Bailey

P. Dybala

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
Italy R. Mandragora (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Soule (2 Goals)
Best assists
Italy C. Ndour (1 Assists)
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (1 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina M. Soule (1 Assists)
Rep. of Ireland E. Ferguson (1 Assists)
Turkey Z. Celik (1 Assists)
Greece K. Tsimikas (1 Assists)
Italy L. Pellegrini (1 Assists)

Fiorentina and Roma Stats in Serie A

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Roma
Roma
0%
Wins
80%
60%
Draw
0%
40%
Losses
20%
1.8
Total goals per match
1.2
0.6
Goals scored per match
1
1.2
Goals conceded per match
0.2
40%
Over 2.5
0%
60%
Under 2.5
100%
60%
BTTS
0%
40%
Clean Sheet
80%

Fiorentina - Roma Key Points

  1. The last five meetings between these two sides hosted by Fiorentina produced 18 goals.
  2. Three of the last five meetings between these two sides produced over 2.5 goals.
  3. Three of Fiorentina’s last four home matches had three or more goals scored.
  4. AS Roma’s latest away match saw three goals scored.
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Our Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction

A high-scoring game seems to be on the cards when these two sides face off. Fiorentina will be looking to build on their win in Europa after a slow start to their domestic engagements. Meanwhile, Roma will be looking to bounce back from that home defeat in the Europa League.

The last time Roma played on the road, the match ended up with three goals scored, while generally this fixture has seen a lot of goals in recent times. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Roma is for over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction
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