Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Fiorentina and Roma had contrasting outings in Europe and will be reconvening for a Serie A clash scheduled for Sunday. While Roma are third in the Italian topflight, Fiorentina arrive for this game sitting two places above the relegation zone. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Fiorentina, the hosts, will be looking to build on their 2-0 win over Sigma Olomouc in the Conference League. That midweek win was a welcome break after failing to win any of their opening five Serie A matches.
Their latest one was a dull 0-0 draw with lowly Pisa, who even had a goal disallowed.
Roma are enjoying a pretty solid season. However, at times they’ve fallen below expectation and gone on to lose. A case in point is in their latest outing.
Roma, playing host to Lille in the Europa League, missed one penalty three times as they fell 1-0. The visitors will, for some reason, be happy to take this game away from home.
They’ve posted straight wins in their three away matches so far, while their two defeats came in home games. This fixture, though played away from home, will still be a tough one, as they haven't managed a win away to Fiorentina in their last four visits.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Roma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Roma?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Roma match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Fiorentina and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.59% for a win of Fiorentina against Roma with odds of 3.17 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Roma is 14.79% with odds of 3.32 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.52 at Shangrila.
Fiorentina - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 46.62% | 2.52 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 53.85% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 43.33% | |
| Half-time : Fiorentina / Full-time : Roma | 16.64% | 29 at Bet365 |
Fiorentina vs Roma Form
Fiorentina and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
24 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
|
20
|
5 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -9 |
Fiorentina and Roma Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Fiorentina vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
10 Mar 2024 - Serie A
10 Dec 2023 - Serie A
27 May 2023 - Serie A
15 Jan 2023 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
T. Lamptey
MidfielderS. Sohm
ForwardC. Kouame
M. Kumbulla
Angelino
ForwardL. Bailey
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Roma
A. Gudmundsson
(3 Goals)
M. Soule
(4 Goals)
C. Ndour
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Sohm
(1 Assists)
,
R. Piccoli
(1 Assists)
,
E. Kouadio
(1 Assists)
,
N. Fortini
(1 Assists)
,
H. Caviglia
(1 Assists)
A. Dovbyk
(2 Assists)
,
M. Soule
(2 Assists)
Fiorentina - Roma Key Points
- The last five meetings between these two sides hosted by Fiorentina produced 18 goals.
- Three of the last five meetings between these two sides produced over 2.5 goals.
- Three of Fiorentina’s last four home matches had three or more goals scored.
- AS Roma’s latest away match saw three goals scored.
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Our Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction
A high-scoring game seems to be on the cards when these two sides face off. Fiorentina will be looking to build on their win in Europa after a slow start to their domestic engagements. Meanwhile, Roma will be looking to bounce back from that home defeat in the Europa League.
The last time Roma played on the road, the match ended up with three goals scored, while generally this fixture has seen a lot of goals in recent times. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Roma is for over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Roma
| Fiorentina vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 2.8 | 3.1 | +10.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.2 | -11.1% |
| Roma wins | 2.3 | 2.45 | +6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 40.8% (-2.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Fiorentina vs. Roma game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
