Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Serie A Predictions
Searching for their first win of the 2025-26 Serie A campaign, Fiorentina will welcome an indifferent Como side in a matchday four fixture. This match on Sunday between the 16th-placed Viola (two points) and the ninth-placed Lariani comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Fiorentina start this round (D2, L1) with only a one-point cushion to the relegation zone. Como (W1, D1, L1) are only marginally outside the top six and could gatecrash that party with a win here.
A 3-1 home defeat against Napoli last weekend extended Fiorentina's indifferent season. They have two wins and two draws prior to that loss but will have to work on their scoring skills.
La Viola have just two goals to their name in three league games this season and have conceded only four goals this season.
Como started the season brightly with consecutive wins, against Sudtirol in the Coppa Italia and against Lazio in the league. With only four points and not much separating them from the relegation zone, the visitors can't afford to lose again here.
It's their poor scoring record that will be under focus, as Como have scored only two goals in this league campaign. That said, they have conceded only two goals so far, and this defensive rate is keeping them competitive.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v Como 1907 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Como 1907?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Como 1907 match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2025 between Fiorentina and Como 1907 in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.22% for a win of Fiorentina against Como 1907 with odds of 2.7 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Como 1907 is 20.72% with odds of 3.38 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Como 1907 vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.82 at LSbet.
Fiorentina - Como 1907 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Como 1907 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 44.22% | 2.7 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.54% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Como 1907 / Full-time: Fiorentina | 17.14% | 26 at Bet365 |
Fiorentina vs Como 1907 Form
Fiorentina and Como 1907's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
|
20
|
5 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -9 |
Fiorentina and Como 1907 Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
8 May 2025 - Conference League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Como 1907 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
Fiorentina against Como 1907 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
C. Kouame
A. Dossena
I. Van Der Brempt
J. Ramon
ForwardA. Diao
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Como 1907
A. Gudmundsson
(3 Goals)
N. Paz
(4 Goals)
C. Ndour
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Sohm
(1 Assists)
,
R. Piccoli
(1 Assists)
,
E. Kouadio
(1 Assists)
,
N. Fortini
(1 Assists)
,
H. Caviglia
(1 Assists)
N. Paz
(4 Assists)
Fiorentina - Como 1907 Key Points
- Two of Fiorentina’s three Serie A matches this season produced under 2.5 goals.
- Fiorentina could only score two league goals this season.
- Como’s last five Serie A games have seen two or fewer goals scored.
- In their last three away league games, Como saw fewer than three goals scored.
- Only Napoli and Roma have conceded fewer league goals this season than Como (two) after three matches.
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Our Fiorentina vs Como 1907 Prediction
This is perhaps a matchup between teams that need some momentum in their season. Fiorentina have just two league goals to their name, which was the same as Como and among the lowest ahead of this round. The visitors have the additional advantage of one of the best defensive units in the league. Even the last two matches between these teams in the 2024-25 campaign ended with only two goals.
This match is unlikely to end up high on the goal count, and that's why our Fiorentina vs Como 1907 prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Como 1907
| Fiorentina vs Como 1907 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 2.4 | 2.5 | +4.2% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.3 | +3.1% |
| Como 1907 wins | 3 | 2.8 | -6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 40.0% (-1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Fiorentina vs. Como 1907 game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
