Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions
Second seed Jannik Sinner continues his bid to win his first ever Monte Carlo Masters. He takes on sixth-seeded Felix Auger-Aliassime in the quarter-finals Find our more in our match prediction.
The winner of this match will face either third seed Alexander Zverev or unseeded Joao Fonseca in the last four.
Jannik Sinner needs to reach the last four of this outdoor hard court tournament to keep alive his chances of becoming world number one. He has reached the semi-finals twice here in 2023 and 2024.
He has won 21 of his 23 matches this year but this is his first clay court tournament of 2026. He has had wins so far over Ugo Humbert (losing only three games) but needed three sets to defeat Tomas Machac.
Sinner leads Auger-Aliassime 4-2 in previous meetings, but the Canadian won their one match on clay four years ago.
Auger-Aliassime has won one indoor hard court tournament this year. Like Sinner, this is his first clay court outing of 2026. He's not got a great record in Monte Carlo and this is his first past round two in this Masters event.
Wins have come against Marin Cilic and Casper Ruud (who retired in set two) this week.
We tIp Sinner to win and more than 18.5 games.
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Felix Auger Aliassime v Jannik Sinner Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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6.85 | 1.1 |
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6.8 | 1.1 |
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9 | 1.07 |
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6 | 1.1 |
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6 | 1.1 |
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Who will win the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner match is: Jannik Sinner wins and more than 18.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner game on 10/04/2026 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:
- Felix Auger Aliassime has a 22.92% chance to win against Jannik Sinner according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 9.
- Jannik Sinner has a 77.08% probability of winning facing Felix Auger Aliassime ⭐ with odds of 1.12 at Shangrila.
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Felix Auger Aliassime has a 22.92 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 22.92 % |
| Jannik Sinner | 77.08 % |
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Jannik Sinner Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
23 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
10 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
29 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
27 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
26 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
24 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
80 %
10 Nov 2025 - ATP Finals
2 Nov 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
5 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open
14 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 May 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Jannik Sinner Key Points
- Four of Sinner's last six matches saw more than 18.5 games played.
- That statistic also applies to four of Sinner's last six matches played on clay.
- More than 18.5 games have been played in nine of Auger-Aliassime's last ten matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Auger-Aliassime has played one in seven of his last nine matches.
- Sinner has won his last four matches against Auger-Aliassime.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner Prediction
We could see another Sinner v Alcaraz final at the weekend with the world number one ranking on the line. Jannik Sinner has made a good start to his clay court season but did drop the middle set against Tomas Machac on Thursday.
He has won his last four matches against his Canadian opponent, but has never beaten him on clay. Auger-Aliassime began the year well on indoor hard courts but has a little dip in form in recent weeks. Our Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jannik Sinner prediction is Jannik Sinner wins and more than 18.5.
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When you place a bet on the match between Felix Auger Aliassime and Jannik Sinner you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Felix Auger Aliassime or Jannik Sinner, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.