Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions
A brand new Europa League season awakens on Wednesday night in Denmark, where FC Midtjylland kick off their campaign against Sturm Graz. Ulvene beat Die Schwoazn 2-0 when they met in this competition here at MCH Arena in 2022. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Midtjylland came through the qualifying rounds for this season’s Europa League with flying colours, beating Hibernian 3-2, Fredrikstad 5-1 and KuPs 6-0, all on aggregate.
The Wolves finished 20th during the League Phase of this competition last season (W3 D2 L3) before bowing out to Real Sociedad 7-3 on aggregate in the knockout phase Playoffs.
The hosts beat Viborg 2-0 at this venue in their domestic league over the weekend and are now unbeaten in their last 12 competitive home matches. They also scored two or more goals in all but one of those games.
Meanwhile, Sturm Graz edged RB Salzburg to a second Austrian Bundesliga title in succession last season. Unfortunately, they were unable to book their place in the Champions League, losing 6-2 on aggregate to Bodo/Glimt.
Last season, Die Schwoazn found it tough going against Europe’s elite, managing just two wins in eight games (W2 L6), which was not enough to see them progress beyond the League Phase.
The visitors will enter this contest with confidence after beating the Red Bulls 2-0 on the road over the weekend, marking their third consecutive clean sheet in away games.
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The Best Betting Odds for FC Midtjylland v Sturm Graz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 4 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between FC Midtjylland and Sturm Graz?
Our prediction for the FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2025 between FC Midtjylland and Sturm Graz in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.18% for a win of FC Midtjylland against Sturm Graz with odds of 1.67 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz is 9.33% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Sturm Graz vs FC Midtjylland with odds of 5 at Betfred.
FC Midtjylland - Sturm Graz Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Midtjylland Sturm Graz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland wins | 53.18% | 1.67 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.53% | 1.5 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 31.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : FC Midtjylland/FC Midtjylland | 21.39% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Form
FC Midtjylland and Sturm Graz's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
|
25
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
FC Midtjylland and Sturm Graz Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Superliga
17 Sept 2025 - DBU Pokalen
14 Sept 2025 - Superliga
31 Aug 2025 - Superliga
28 Aug 2025 - Europa League
24 Aug 2025 - Superliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Superliga
24 Aug 2025 - Superliga
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
10 Aug 2025 - Superliga
28 Jul 2025 - Superliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - DBU Pokalen
14 Sept 2025 - Superliga
31 Aug 2025 - Superliga
28 Aug 2025 - Europa League
17 Aug 2025 - Superliga
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - ÖFB Cup
14 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
26 Aug 2025 - Champions League
10 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - ÖFB Cup
30 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
1 Aug 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Nov 2022 - Europa League
8 Sept 2022 - Europa League
FC Midtjylland against Sturm Graz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Most goals and assists
FC Midtjylland
Sturm Graz
O. Kiteishvili
(6 Goals)
A. Simsir
(10 Assists)
T. Horvat
(4 Assists)
FC Midtjylland - Sturm Graz Key Points
- Midtjylland have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 matches.
- Ten of Midtjylland’s last 15 competitive home games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Sturm Graz have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
- Nine of Sturm Graz’s last 15 competitive away games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz Prediction
While Midtjylland have dropped points in their domestic league, they were excellent during qualifying for this competition and will be confident in getting a result here, given their excellent home record.
However, Sturm Graz are a Champions League-level side and enter this match off the back of a very impressive performance to beat rivals RB Salzburg on the road over the weekend. There is a case to be made for both these teams, and we’re expecting plenty of chances to be created in this match. Our Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Midtjylland Sturm Graz
| FC Midtjylland vs Sturm Graz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland wins | 1.67 | 1.65 | -1.2% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.5 | +12.5% |
| Sturm Graz wins | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FC Midtjylland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 60.6% (0.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the FC Midtjylland vs. Sturm Graz game!
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Try your luck on this year's Europa League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
