Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in AFCON Predictions
Equatorial Guinea and Sudan started their 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) campaign with a loss and will feel the need to get points on matchday two. This Group E match between the third-placed Red Devils and the fourth-placed Falcons in Casablanca on Sunday comes with our prediction of a win for Equatorial Guinea.
Equatorial Guinea lost 2-1 to Burkina Faso on matchday one, where they conceded twice in stoppage time. Sudan were beaten 3-0 by Algeria in their first game of the tournament. Equatorial Guinea will end their group phase with a match against Algeria, while Sudan will play Burkina Faso on the same day.
It was a heartbreaking loss for the Red Devils on matchday one, and they will be eager to not leave their qualification late for matchday three. Sudan found it tough against Algeria, which was as per their recent form. Will that continue here and open the doors for Equatorial Guinea to win full points? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions of this matchday two fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Equatorial Guinea v Sudan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.38 | 3 | 3.3 |
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2.4 | 2.88 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.8 | 3.25 |
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2.43 | 2.95 | 3.15 |
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2.3 | 3 | 3.3 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Equatorial Guinea and Sudan?
Our prediction for the Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan match is: Equatorial Guinea wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/12/2025 between Equatorial Guinea and Sudan in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.64% for a win of Equatorial Guinea against Sudan with odds of 2.44 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan is 27.64% with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Sudan vs Equatorial Guinea with odds of 3.35 at Stake.
Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan Form
Equatorial Guinea and Sudan's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
|
4
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 |
Equatorial Guinea and Sudan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
26 Nov 2025 - Arab Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Equatorial Guinea - Sudan: Form Analysis
Equatorial Guinea lost 2-1 to Botswana in their opening group fixture. Despite losing Basilio Ndong to a 50th-minute red card, they took a lead in the 85th minute through Marvin Anieboh. That wasn’t enough, though, as Botswana struck late in stoppage time.
The loss marked a fourth defeat in their last six matches (W1, D1), including an awarded match. Having qualified for the knockouts in each of their last four appearances in the AFCON finals, Equatorial Guinea will look to make the most of this fixture.
Equatorial Guinea and Sudan met only twice before, back in 2018-2019.
Sudan lost both those games and also started this tournament with a 3-0 defeat to Algeria. After conceding a second-minute goal, Sudan were left ruing a 39th-minute red card for Adil Salaheldin as they conceded two more beyond the hour mark.
The result was in line with how poor their recent form has been. Sudan were beaten in nine of their last 13 matches, drawing three and losing just once, with two of those defeats coming beyond regulation time.
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Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Equatorial Guinea & Sudan Squad Analysis
Ndong is out of contention for Equatorial Guinea after his red card on matchday one. They shuffled the pack by introducing Charles Ondo in that game, and he could start from the offset here.
The Red Devils lined up in a 4-4-2 formation in that loss to Botswana and could use the same system here. That could leave them recalling Emilio Nsue to be one of the strikers to add teeth to their attack.
Nsue is their all-time top scorer with 22 goals from 49 matches.
Sudan will be without Alhassan after he received his red card on matchday one against Algeria. There are also doubts over the availability of Eisa Abobaker and Mohamed Abuaagla.
The Falcons lined up in a 4-3-3 system with Alhassan as one of their strikers. That could pave the way for Mohamed Abdelrahman to be recalled, after he played only 23 minutes against Algeria. Abdelrahman has 23 goals from 62 international appearances and could be their go-to man to get something from this fixture.
Most goals and assists
Equatorial Guinea
Sudan
Equatorial Guinea and Sudan Stats in AFCON
Equatorial Guinea - Sudan Key Points
- In six of their last ten matches, Equatorial Guinea saw both teams score goals.
- In four of their last seven matches, Equatorial Guinea conceded 2+ goals.
- Sudan conceded 2+ goals in their last three fixtures.
- Sudan lost nine of their last 13 matches, winning only once.
- Equatorial Guinea have won both their previous matches against Sudan, although those were in 2018-2019.
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Our Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan Prediction
With Algeria more likely to win the top spot in the group, the teams are perhaps playing for the second and third spots. That puts pressure on both teams for this fixture, as the loser is more likely to be eliminated from even the possible third-place knockout berths. Equatorial Guinea had a slightly better game against Burkina Faso on matchday one, but with Algeria next, they can’t afford to drop points here.
Sudan’s recent poor run could end up as their bane, and our Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan prediction is Equatorial Guinea wins.
Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan - Other Interesting Predictions
Emilio Nsue to score anytime
Emilio Nsue is Equatorial Guinea’s top scorer in their history with 22 goals. The 36-year-old veteran was an unused substitute in their first match, perhaps because the red card changed their plans. He could be set for a starting role in this fixture and may respond with a goal.
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Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan - FAQs
The Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan AFCON match will be televised live on Channel 4, E4 and 4seven in the UK. Live streaming can also be viewed on Channel 4, as well as Channel 4 Sport YouTube.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our AFCON Livescore page!
Egypt is the most successful nation in the history of AFCON, winning seven titles. The last of those wins came in 2010, and they have also been runners-up on three occasions, the last coming in 2021.
Cameroon are next in that list with five tournament wins, the last coming in 2017. Ghana won the competition four times, while Nigeria and Ivory Coast have had three wins each.
Ivory Coast are the defending champions from the 2023 edition.
The 24 teams are divided into six groups, with the top two teams of each group advancing to the round of 16. Joining them would be the best four third-placed teams.
Group A: Morocco, Mali, Zambia, Comoros.
Group B: Egypt, South Africa, Angola, Zimbabwe.
Group C: Nigeria, Tunisia, Uganda, Tanzania.
Group D: Senegal, DR Congo, Benin, Botswana.
Group E: Algeria, Burkina Faso, Equatorial Guinea, Sudan.
Group F: Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Gabon, Mozambique.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
