England vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations Championship
Rugby Union - Nations Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Nations Championship Predictions
England have still got a chance of making it to the final of the Rugby Nations Championship. They are second in the northern hemisphere group and this weekend are home to Japan who are fifth in the southern table. England have won all six of their previous matches against the Brave Blossoms. Our prediction is an England win on a -28.5 handicap.
The last two matches between these nations have both seen England win by a margin of more than 29 points. They will be going all out to get a win this weekend and earn a bonus point too. Their final match in this group stage is a tough one as they will host New Zealand who are yet to lose in this tournament.
This match sees former England coach Eddie Jones make his return to Twickenham. He's now in charge of Japan and they have had a difficult time in this first ever Rugby Nations Championship. Only Fiji are below them in the southern hemisphere table and their final group fixture will see them travel to Murrayfield to take on Scotland.
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England v Japan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
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1.02 | 50.00 | 21.00 |
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1.02 | 49.00 | 20.00 |
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1.02 | 49.00 | 20.00 |
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1.01 | 51.00 | 19.00 |
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1.01 | 20.00 | 13.00 |
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England vs Japan Form
England and Japan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
6 Nov 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
19 Jun 2026 - Test Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
8 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
6 Nov 2026 - Test Matches
21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
7 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
23 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
19 Jun 2026 - Test Matches
14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
7 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
24 Oct 2026 - Test Matches
19 Sept 2026 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
12 Sept 2026 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
15 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
24 Oct 2026 - Test Matches
12 Sept 2026 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
19 Sept 2026 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
England vs Japan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
17 Sept 2023 - Rugby World Cup
England - Japan: Form Analysis
England have rallied well in this tournament since an opening loss to South Africa. Since being beaten by the world champions, they had wins during the summer over Fiji (scoring 73 points) and Argentina. Last weekend as the tournament moved to the northern hemisphere, they defeated Australia 45-22.
England can't afford a slip-up here.
As you'll read in the next section, England have made plenty of changes for this match against Japan. It's their penultimate match before a massive showdown with New Zealand next weekend. England have played Japan six times and won on each occasion with 111 points scored against them in the last two matches.
Japan's only win in this Rugby Nations Championship has been a home win over Italy in their opening fixture played in July. Since then, there have been defeats by Ireland and France at home and then a loss in Wales last weekend. Their last two matches have ended in defeat after losing a friendly to Fiji.
The last two times they have played England at Twickenham, over 50 points were conceded by the Brave Blossoms.
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England & Japan Squad Analysis
Back row Henry Pollock will earn his second start for England this weekend. The home side have made plenty of changes for this match with only three players playing in the same position as last week against the Wallabies. Changes for this match against Japan. Pollock usually starts matches on the bench, but has managed to score eight tries in the 14 games he’s appeared in.
That included a couple in England’s win over Australia last weekend.
Others coming into the starting line-up include Will Joseph, Max Ojomoh and George Ford who returns at fly-half. On the bench is Archie McParland who will be making his debut if making it onto the field of play.
Jones returns to Twickenham.
Eddie Jones may be Australian but he's been on the coaching staff of not just his native country but also South Africa, England and now Japan. He'd love to cause a shock and get a win for Japan against his former employees. His aim is "to get in there, cause some havoc, cause some chaos, put them off their game, get the crowd booing."
If that can be achieved, then he says that "you never know what can happen." Can Japan do that though after a loss at Wales last weekend? They make three changes to their starting line-up with Inoke Burura missing out. They are also without impressive Ryunosuke Ito. The fly-half is playing for his university instead.
England - Japan Key Points
- England have won their last three matches in this tournament.
- England have won all six of their previous matches against Japan.
- England have scored 111 points against Japan in their last two matches.
- Japan have lost their last two matches.
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Our England vs Japan Prediction
England have made several changes for this match with an eye on next weekend's fixture against the All-Blacks. They were impressive against Australia last weekend and will see this as an easier assignment considering they have won all six of their previous matches.
Japan are down at fifth in the southern hemisphere group, but started the weekend only three points adrift of third-placed Australia. The Brave Blossoms lost narrowly to Wales last week, but even with England making changes, this is tougher. Our main England v Japan prediction is England wins on a -28.5 handicap.
England vs Japan Alternative Predictions
England wins
Henry Pollock scores a try
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England vs Japan - FAQs
The Rugby Nations Championship match between England and Japan is being played on Saturday November 14 and will commence at 16:40 UK time.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
