Italy vs Argentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations Championship
Rugby Union - Nations Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Nations Championship Predictions
Argentina will be aiming to beat Italy for the tenth consecutive meeting. The two countries meet in Genoa in their penultimate matches in the group stages of the Rugby Nations Championship. Italy have lost their last five matches and our prediction here is Argentina wins on a -8.5 handicap.
With two games remaining in the group stages, Italy are rock bottom of the northern hemisphere table with four defeats and not a single point. They are ten points adrift of fifth-placed Wales. The first three games were played in the southern hemisphere in July and saw the Blues lose to Japan, New Zealand and Australia.
The tournament resumed last week and Italy suffered a crushing 66-7 loss at home to South Africa.
Their last six defeats have all been by at least nine points with 170 points scored against them in their last three matches.
Argentina are fourth in the southern hemisphere table and cannot finish any higher than third. The Pumas have won just one of their four matches. That was a 35-21 home win over Wales. Their other games against Scotland, England and Ireland have all been lost.
The last nine against Italy have all been won with the winning margin being at least nine points in the last three, all played in Italy.
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Italy v Argentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.54 | 23.00 | 1.21 |
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5.01 | 26.00 | 1.18 |
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4.62 | 23.00 | 1.18 |
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3.75 | 26.00 | 1.25 |
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4.30 | 20.00 | 1.20 |
|
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Italy vs Argentina Form
Italy and Argentina Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
7 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
7 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
7 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations
22 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
6 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
6 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship
23 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
16 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
9 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
Italy vs Argentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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100 %
9 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
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Italy - Argentina Key Points
- Italy have lost their last nine games against Argentina with their last victory being 18 years ago.
- Their last three matches against Argentina were all played at home and saw them lose by at least nine points.
- Italy's last six games have all been lost by at least nine points.
- Italy's last three internationals have seen them have 170 points scored against them.
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Our Italy vs Argentina Prediction
Italy have had a disastrous time in this Rugby Nations Championship. They have lost all four of their matches and have a points difference of -153. Just 44 points have been scored by them in their opening quartet of matches in this new tournament.
Argentina have had their fair share of problems too with just one win, but are only a point behind third place in their group. They lost to Ireland last week but have a good record against their opponents. Our Italy v Argentina prediction is Argentina wins on a -8.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
